🏀 NBA Player Props Today: March 25 Bets for Bennedict Mathurin & Nic Claxton
📡 SBR Edge: NBA Player Props Today
My NBA player props today feature Jerami Grant Under 21.5 points + rebounds (-110), as he's dealing with a foot injury and could be limited. Bennedict Mathurin Under 24.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105) is my next NBA top pick. Mathurin has struggled recently against Toronto. I wrap up with Nic Claxton Under 2.5 assists (+130), as he likely won't play much in the second half, with the Nets listed as a 12.5-point betting underdog.
🏀 Best NBA player props today: March 25
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant Under 21.5 points + rebounds | -110 via BetMGM | 1.1u -> 1u | Should be less aggressive with foot injury |
| Bennedict Mathurin Under 24.5 points + rebounds + assists | -105 via BetMGM | 1.05u -> 1u | Has gone Under in 3 straight games vs. Toronto |
| Nic Claxton Under 2.5 assists | +130 via BetMGM | 0.77u -> 1u | Has gone Under in 5 straight games overall |
Total wagered: 2.92 units | Max profit: 3 units
💰 Best NBA player prop bet tonight
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Jerami Grant Under 21.5 points + rebounds (-110)
I'm fading Grant today because of his foot injury. While he's questionable for tonight's matchup, if he plays, he should be less aggressive as a scorer and rebounder. I would've considered adding assists into the mix, but his foot injury shouldn't get in the way of him being a distributor.
The Trail Blazers being a 12.5-point betting favorite also means there's a strong possibility they rout the Bucks, so Grant could play fewer minutes in the fourth quarter. BetMGM lists Grant Under 21.5 points + rebounds, but this bet is good up to -130 on the best sports betting sites.
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Spread: Trail Blazers -12.5 (-112 via FanDuel)
- How to watch Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin, KUNP 16
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
The Clippers have the 16th-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Bennedict Mathurin Under 24.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105)
Mathurin was born in Montreal, so you would assume that he would be more aggressive facing the Raptors, but that hasn't been the case. Mathurin has gone under this line in each of his last three games against the Raptors.
Additionally, this line accounts for Kawhi Leonard being questionable, but Leonard has missed just two of five games since injuring his ankle, so he's likely healthy enough to play tonight. Mathurin Under 24.5 points + rebounds + assists is -105 at BetMGM, but I would still play this up to -120 on the best NBA betting sites.
- Tipoff: 10:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: Clippers -4.5 (-102 via DraftKings)
- How to watch Raptors vs. Clippers: FanDuel Sports Network SoCal, TSN
Bennedict Mathurin prop trends
Here’s a breakdown of how Bennedict Mathurin has performed recently, both overall and specifically against the Raptors:
| Bet | Best odds | Last 5 games | Last 5 vs. Raptors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 16.5 points | -120 via BetMGM | 4-1 ✅ | 3-2 ✅ |
| Over 4.5 rebounds | -123 via DraftKings | 3-2 ✅ | 2-3 ❌ |
| Over 1.5 assists | -160 via BetMGM | 3-2 ✅ | 4-1 ✅ |
| Over 24.5 P/R/A | -117 via DraftKings | 4-1 ✅ | 2-3 ❌ |
Mathurin has been hitting the Over on most props lately, but tonight’s matchup will be impacted by whether Leonard plays, as it will likely reduce Mathurin’s usage. He hasn’t been as effective against the Raptors recently, aside from a game in November 2024, when Toronto’s defense was considerably weaker.
Nic Claxton Under 2.5 assists (+130)
I was surprised to see this line at +130. Claxton has recorded two or fewer assists in five straight games - and one or fewer in three of his last four.
He has played 23 or fewer minutes in seven consecutive games - he averages 28.2 on the season - and with the Nets listed as a 12.5-point betting underdog tonight, this game will likely get out of hand in the second half, meaning Claxton will play fewer minutes. BetMGM has Claxton Under 2.5 assists at +130, but this bet is good up to +110 on the best sports betting apps.
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Spread: Warriors -12.5 (-106 via FanDuel)
- How to watch Nets vs. Warriors: NBC Sports Bay Area, YES Network
🚀 Best NBA parlay picks tonight
The most likely path to Grant going Under 21.5 points + rebounds is if he plays fewer minutes in the fourth quarter as the Trail Blazers rout the Bucks. And with such a large spread, there’s solid value in parlaying these picks at this price.
💵 Best NBA parlay bet tonight
- Trail Blazers -12.5
- Jerami Grant Under 21.5 points + rebounds
Best odds: +310 via bet365 (0.32u -> 1u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 71-76-3 | -6.99 units ❌ | -4% ❌ |
| Player props | 69-64-3 | -6.05 units ❌ | -3.5% ❌ |
| Spreads | 1-0 | +1.5 units ✅ | 87% ✅ |
| Parlays | 1-12 | -2.45 units ❌ | -64.3% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting NBA player props tonight
I'm allocating 2.92 units so far on tonight's slate, which is slightly less than I would usually risk on three player props. While I'm confident directionally in these bets, they’re not priced too far from where I’d set them. I had a losing night on Tuesday, so I’m trying to gradually build back to zero while not being too aggressive unless I have a massive edge.
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