🏀 Hawks vs. Pistons Player Props Tonight: NBA Picks & Best Bets (March 25)
📡 SBR Edge: Hawks vs. Pistons Player Props Tonight
My Hawks vs. Pistons player props tonight back Jonathan Kuminga Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists (-125). He has taken on a larger role with the Hawks, and that should continue tonight. My other NBA best bet is Daniss Jenkins Under 24.5 points + assists (-115), as his line has been inflated after two games that were somewhat lucky.
๐ Best Hawks vs. Pistons player props tonight: NBA picks for March 25
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| ๐ฐ Pick | ๐ก Best odds | โ๏ธ Bet size | ๐ง Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kuminga Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists | -125 via BetMGM | 1.88u -> 1.5u | Has taken on larger role in offense over last 3 |
| Daniss Jenkins Under 24.5 points + assists | -115 via BetMGM | 1.73u -> 1.5u | Market is overreacting to 2 good games |
Total wagered: 3.61 units | Max profit: 3 units
๐ฐ Best Hawks vs. Pistons prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Jonathan Kuminga Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists (-125)
I'm projecting that Kuminga's role on offense will continue to grow tonight - especially if Jalen Johnson (shoulder) doesn't play. Kuminga has attempted nine or more shots in two of his last three games and has played 20+ minutes in each of his last two.
He's finished with 24 points + rebounds + assists in two of his last three contests, and his median P/R/A is 24 since he joined the Hawks. BetMGM lists Kuminga Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists at -125, but this bet is good up to -155 on the best sports betting sites.
๐ฅ More Hawks vs. Pistons prop picks
The Pistons have the seventh-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Daniss Jenkins Under 24.5 points + assists (-115)
I get it: Jenkins has recorded 30-plus P/A in each of his last two games. I think that's noise more than anything else, though. While Cade Cunningham is out with a collapsed lung - you can check his status in our NBA awards eligibility tracker - that doesn't mean Jenkins should be upgraded this much.
Jenkins has never cashed this Over in three career meetings with Atlanta, and his median P/A since the All-Star break is 9. Jenkins Under 24.5 P/A is -115 at BetMGM, but I would play this up to -140 on the best NBA betting sites.
🏀 More NBA player props tonight
I feature Bennedict Mathurin, Jerami Grant, and more in my NBA player props tonight.
๐ Hawks vs. Pistons same-game parlay
The two most likely paths for Daniss Jenkins to go Under his points + assists line tonight are:
- The Hawks defend him well and keep the game close.
- The Pistons blow out the Hawks, and Jenkins plays fewer minutes in the second half.
I believe thereโs value in the second outcome, as bet365 is offering +550 when the Pistonsโ spread is adjusted to -9.5.
💵 Hawks vs. Pistons SGP picks
- Pistons -9.5
- Daniss Jenkins Under 24.5 points + assists
Best odds: +550 via bet365 (0.27u -> 1.5u)
๐๏ธ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Here's my analysis of the most-bet NBA player props tonight (h/t BetMGM):
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | Pacers | Over 21.5 points | -125 |
| Andrew Nembhard | Pacers | Under 1.5 three-pointers made | -110 |
| Nick Richards | Bulls | Under 17.5 points + rebounds | -150 |
| Jalen Williams | Thunder | Over 21.5 points + rebounds + assists | -105 |
| Rudy Gobert | Timberwolves | Over 11.5 rebounds | -120 |
Pascal Siakam Over 21.5 points (-125) being the most popular player prop at BetMGM makes sense, as Siakam has scored 22 or more points in five of his six games since the All-Star break. He put up 26 against the Lakers in Los Angeles on March 6, so the matchup shouldnโt be a problem for him.
๐ต My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 71-76-3 | -6.99 units โ | -4% โ |
| Player props | 69-64-3 | -6.05 units โ | -3.5% โ |
| Spreads | 1-0 | +1.5 units โ | 87% โ |
| Parlays | 1-12 | -2.45 units โ | -64.3% โ |
๐ก How I'm betting Hawks vs. Pistons
I'm allocating 3.61 units for this game, which is more than I would usually risk on two NBA player props.
I believe both of these bets are mispriced. Kuminga Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists is -125 at BetMGM, but FanDuel is listing him at 19.5 P/R/A (Over: -120 | Under: -110). And Jenkins' prop is an overreaction to him putting up 30 or more points + assists in each of his last two gamesโhe should regress toward the mean tonight.
๐ Hawks vs. Pistons injuries
๐บ How to watch Hawks vs. Pistons
- Date: Wednesday, March 25
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Little Caesars Arena (Detroit)
- TV: ESPN
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Related Articles
