Wings vs. Liberty Prediction: WNBA Picks for Tuesday, July 7
📡 SBR Edge: Back Bueckers, Fade the Wings
My Wings vs. Liberty prediction includes Liberty -4.5 (-102) and Paige Bueckers Over 20.5 points (-110). Against top-three defenses, the Wings are 1-4 ATS, while Bueckers is 4-1 to the Over on this line.
🏀 Wings vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty -4.5 (-102 via DraftKings) | 2.04u → 2 | The Wings are 1-4 ATS vs. top-3 defenses. |
| Under 175 (-110 via Caesars) | 0.55u → 0.5u | The Liberty are allowing 82.2 PPG over their last 5 contests. |
| Paige Bueckers Over 20.5 points (-110 via FanDuel) | 1.65u → 1.5u | Bueckers has scored 23+ points in 4 of her 5 games vs. top-3 defenses. |
Total wagered: 4.24 units | Max profit: 4 units
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🏆 Who will win Wings vs. Liberty?
I like the Liberty to beat the Wings by six points today. New York is the third favorite in the WNBA championship odds, while Dallas is seventh, so it makes sense that the Liberty would be favored at home. While there is value in playing Liberty ML (-175 via DraftKings), some readers are uncomfortable laying -175, so I'm laying the points at better odds as my best bet.
Score prediction: Liberty 88, Wings 82
💰 Wings vs. Liberty prediction & best bet
Liberty -4.5 (-102)
While Dallas frequently beats up on inferior competition - it just beat Toronto by 13 after closing as a 6.5-point favorite - it struggles against strong defensive teams. Dallas is just 1-4 ATS against top-three-ranked defenses and has failed to cover in each of its last three games in this situation. The Liberty allow the third-fewest points in the WNBA (83.6 per game), so Dallas should struggle to stay competitive today.
Liberty -4.5 (-102) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting sites. I would make this line Liberty -5.5 (-105) at fair odds.
🔥 Best Wings vs. Liberty player prop bet
Paige Bueckers Over 20.5 points (-110)
Yes, Dallas as a team has struggled against elite defenses, but Bueckers hasn't been affected. She has scored 23+ points in four of her five games against top-three defenses, including a 24-point outing on 7-of-13 shooting against the Liberty on May 24. While the elite defenses in the W are great at limiting role players, stars such as Bueckers usually aren't as affected.
Bueckers Over 21.5 points (+102) is actually the best line available among the top sports betting apps, as buying from 21.5 to 20.5 isn't worth 12 cents. However, I'll use Over 20.5 (-110) at FanDuel for my personal tracking since it's a widely available line, and it would be misleading to recommend a bet that most readers can't get down on.
🚀 Wings vs. Liberty same-game parlay
Parlaying these three bets at FanDuel pays +773.
💵 Wings vs. Liberty SGP picks
- Liberty -4.5
- Under 175.5
- Paige Bueckers Over 20.5 points
Odds: +773 via FanDuel
📊 Live Wings vs. Liberty odds
🚑 Wings vs. Liberty injuries
Injury report last updated at 5:01 p.m. ET.
Wings
- None
Liberty
- Leonie Fiebich (foot) - out
- Satou Sabally (concussion) - out
📺 How to watch Wings vs. Liberty
- Date: Tuesday, July 7
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn)
- TV: ESPN
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