🏀 Sun vs. Liberty Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, May 8
As the WNBA season tips off tonight, the Connecticut Sun take on the New York Liberty at 7:30 p.m. ET (ION) from Barclays Center in Brooklyn.
While New York is dealing with several injuries, my Sun vs. Liberty prediction still expects the WNBA championship odds favorites to win decisively behind the play of Breanna Stewart. The Liberty are a 9.5-point betting favorite at home.
🏀 Sun vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty -9.5 (-115 via BetMGM) | 1u → 0.87u | Breanna Stewart and New York's depth will be the difference |
| Under 159.5 (-108 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.93u | Both teams are down three starters, so scoring could be inconsistemt |
| Breanna Stewart Over 18.5 points (-118 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.85u | Stewart will need to take on an even bigger role due to injuries |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.65 units
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🏆 Who will win Sun vs. Liberty?
The Sun are coming off an 11-33 season, and now have to deal with the fact that the team will be moving to Houston after this season. Meanwhile, even with the Liberty down several players, Stewart is the best player taking the court, and New York has the depth to win by double digits.
Score prediction: Liberty 82, Sun 71
💰 Sun vs. Liberty prediction & best bet
Under 159.5 (-108)
The Liberty have the talent to win and cover, but I'd expect their offense to be sporadic. This is Chris DeMarco's first game as head coach, and New York is without three starters in Sabrina Ionescu, Satou Sabally, and Leonie Fiebich.
With Stewart and Jonquel Jones being the only double-digit scorers from last year's Liberty team playing, the Sun should be able to do enough defensively for this Under, especially with the addition of Brittney Griner.
Offensively, the Sun were the worst in the league last season and are down three projected starters - Aaliyah Edwards, Shey Peddy, and Leila Lacan.
🔥 Best Sun vs. Liberty player prop bet
Breanna Stewart Over 18.5 points (-118)
Coming off her seventh All-Star season last year, Stewie remains one of the best players in the W. She finished last season in the top 10 in PPG (18.3), PER (23.7), and usage rate (27.2%).
Her usage should be through the roof tonight with both Ionescu and Sabally out; those two both averaged more than 16 PPG last season. And Stewart has historically gotten off to hot starts; she's averaged 20.3 PPG in May over the last three seasons.
And while the addition of Griner will help Connecticut's defense to some extent, the Sun allowed the highest field-goal percentage in the WNBA last season (46.6%).
🚀 Sun vs. Liberty same-game parlay
With both teams down three starters, I expect the offenses to be inconsistent and depth to be the name of the game. Not only does New York have far better depth than Connecticut, but Stewart is the best offensive threat taking the court.
💵 Sun vs. Liberty SGP picks
- Liberty -10.5
- Under 159.5
- Breanna Stewart Over 19.5 points
Best odds: +573 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.57u)
📊 Live Sun vs. Liberty odds
📺 How to watch Sun vs. Liberty
- Date: Friday, May 8
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn)
- TV: ION
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass
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