🏀 Sparks vs. Aces Prediction: WNBA Picks for Saturday, May 23
My Sparks vs. Aces prediction features a WNBA best bet on the spread, along with a Chennedy Carter player prop. Tipoff from Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas is set for 8 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+, Fubo).
The Aces are an 8.5-point betting favorite and are the second-most likely team to win outright in the WNBA championship odds.
๐ Sparks vs. Aces prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| ๐ฐ Pick | โ๏ธ Bet size (units) | ๐ง Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Aces -8.5 (-102 via DraftKings) | 1.02u โ 1u | Sparks have lost by a median of 10 points in their 3 defeats this season |
| Under 182 (-112 via BetRivers) | 0.56u โ 0.5u | Aces have allowed 84 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games |
| Chennedy Carter Over 15.5 points (-111 via DraftKings) | 1.11u โ 1u | Ranks 3rd in WNBA in field goal % (.672) |
Total wagered: 2.69 units | Max profit: 2.5 units
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๐ Who will win Sparks vs. Aces?
The Aces have looked unstoppable since dropping their opener (in one of the weirdest games of the season). Theyโve won four straight, including a 105-78 victory over the Sparks as a 1.5-point favorite in Los Angeles.
The spread is Aces -8.5 this time around, but I would price this game as high as Aces -10. The Sparks arenโt deep enough to compete with the Aces, especially with how well Carter has played since returning from overseas (19.4 PPG on a .717 true shooting percentage).
Score prediction: Aces 94, Sparks 84
๐ฐ Sparks vs. Aces prediction & best bet
Aces -8.5 (-102)
While the Aces have been upgraded since closing as a 1.5-point road favorite in the first meeting this season, I don't believe the market is upgrading them enough.
Forget that the Sparks have only three players averaging more than 8.4 PPG - they're not even competitive when they lose. Los Angeles has lost by a median of 10 points in its three defeats this season, not the kind of team you want to back as an underdog. The Aces are -8.5 (-102) at DraftKings, but I'd play this up to Aces -10 (+101) on any of the best sports betting sites.
๐ฅ Best Sparks vs. Aces player prop bet
Chennedy Carter Over 15.5 points (-111)
Carter is among the most dangerous players in the W right now, shooting 67.2% from the field - the third-best mark in the league. The last time she faced her former team (on May 10), she got whatever she wanted, scoring 22 points in 20 minutes on 9-of-13 (69.2%) shooting.
The Sparks simply arenโt good enough defensively to slow down both Carter and Aโja Wilson. Carter Over 15.5 points is -111 at DraftKings, but I'd be comfortable playing this up to 17.5 (with plus money on the Over) on the best NBA betting sites.
๐ Sparks vs. Aces same-game parlay
The Aces covering the spread would likely mean the Sparks miss a lot of shots, and the more shots Los Angeles misses, the more opportunities leading offensive rebounder Dearica Hamby would have to grab boards. Hamby has recorded nine or more rebounds in back-to-back games, including a nine-rebound performance in a 10-point loss to the Toronto Tempo. DraftKings offers this SGP at +335, while FanDuel lists this parlay at +255.
💵 Sparks vs. Aces SGP picks
- Aces -7.5
- Dearica Hamby Over 8.5 rebounds
Best odds: +335 via DraftKings (0.3u -> 1u)
๐ Live Sparks vs. Aces odds
๐บ How to watch Sparks vs. Aces
- Date: Saturday, May 23
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: CBS
- Streaming: Paramount+, Fubo
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