Mercury vs. Sparks Prediction, WNBA Betting Odds & Expert Picks Tonight: Aug. 26
Tonight's matchup between the Los Angeles Sparks (17-18) and visiting Phoenix Mercury (22-14) has major playoff implications, and I'm breaking it down with my Mercury vs. Sparks prediction.
The Sparks are one game back of the playoff picture as they look to hang around in the WNBA championship odds. Meanwhile, the Mercury are a 3.5-point betting favorite tonight and currently hold the No. 4 seed. Tipoff is at 10 p.m. ET at Crypto.com Arena (NBA TV).
I expect both offenses to put on a show tonight, and that's reflected in my WNBA prediction.
📊 Mercury vs. Sparks odds: Aug. 26
Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.
📈 Mercury vs. Sparks betting odds analysis
Phoenix opened as a 4.5-point favorite at the best sports betting sites, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the market prefers to back the visiting team in this one. The Mercury have won six straight head-to-head meetings with the Sparks, covering the spread five times. Phoenix is 2-0 against Los Angeles this year.
👀 Mercury vs. Sparks betting odds update
The spread moved in Los Angeles' favor as of Tuesday afternoon, with the matchup now lined at Phoenix -3.5. The Mercury are still seen as a sizeable favorite at -175 to win, which translates to a 63.64% implied probability, per our odds converter.
🏀 Mercury vs. Sparks expert picks
WNBA picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change.
✅ Moneyline pick: Mercury (-175 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Sparks +3.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 177.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🔮 Mercury vs. Sparks prediction & best bet
🔎 Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best WNBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Over 177.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
I project both teams to flirt with 90 points, making the Over my favorite play for what should be an exciting game.
The Sparks have become used to entertaining matchups. Games involving L.A. are 24-10-1 to the Over this year, including a ridiculous 14-3 clip in the last 17 contests. Since July 5, Los Angeles has led the league in offensive rating while ranking 12th in defensive rating.
The Mercury haven’t faced the Sparks during this recent stretch, but these two have scored a combined 340 points in their previous two head-to-head matchups. I’m counting on a slight bump in offensive production in the third meeting, which is why there is value on this Over at 177.5 or better.
A $10 bet nets a $9.09 profit at the current odds.
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💰 Best Mercury vs. Sparks player prop bet
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 assists (+100 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The league’s assists leader should have no problem facilitating tonight. Alyssa Thomas is averaging 9.2 assists per game this season, putting her well within reach of clearing this mark.
Only one team is allowing more assists per contest than the Sparks, who surrender an average of 22.1 per game. I’m willing to take the plus-money price on Over 9.5 assists for Thomas, which offers a profit of $10 on a $10 bet.
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🚑 Mercury vs. Sparks injuries
📺 Mercury vs. Sparks game info
- When: Monday, Aug. 25
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles, CA)
- How to watch: NBA TV
Expert WNBA predictions today 💡
- Mercury vs. Sparks prediction
- Storm vs. Fever prediction
Mercury vs. Sparks FAQs ❓
Who is the favorite to win Mercury vs. Sparks?
Phoenix is a 3.5-point road favorite against Los Angeles tonight at Crypto.com Arena.
How do WNBA spread odds work?
When betting on the WNBA, the favorite needs to win by a certain number of points to cover the "point spread" - also known as the betting line. Conversely, the underdog needs to lose by fewer than the points displayed in the spread or win outright to cash. For example, a 3-point favorite would need to win by 4 or more points to reward bettors.
How do WNBA moneyline odds work?
When betting on the WNBA, the underdog will have the "longer" odds and is typically priced at "plus-money" odds that indicate the profit on a $100 bet. For example, a team with +150 odds would turn a $100 bet into a $150 profit - or a $10 bet into a $15 profit - according to our odds converter.
Where can I find the best WNBA betting odds?
Shop around our best sportsbooks to find the best odds for your WNBA picks. Our best sports betting apps for all sports include BetMGM, bet365, Caesars, FanDuel, and DraftKings.
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