Mercury vs. Tempo Prediction: WNBA Picks for Saturday, June 27
Marina Mabrey and the Toronto Tempo are back in action when they host the Phoenix Mercury today, and my Mercury vs. Tempo prediction expects the Tempo star to struggle, with tipoff from Scotiabank Arena in Toronto set for 2 p.m. ET (CBS).
Mabrey matched the WNBA record for most points in a game (53) on Thursday, so she'll have a tough act to follow in a game where the Tempo are a 4.5-point betting favorite.
🏀 Mercury vs. Tempo prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Tempo -3.5 (-110 via bet365) | 1u → 0.91u | Toronto is 5-3 with a +5.4 net rating at home. |
| Marina Mabrey Under 4.5 assists (-140 via theScore Bet) | 1.4u → 1u | Mabrey has only cleared this assist line in four of her 18 games this season. |
| Marina Mabrey Under 5.5 first-quarter points (+102 via FanDuel) | 1u → 1.02u | She averages 6.6 first-quarter minutes and has only cleared this prop six times in 2026. |
Total wagered: 3.4 units | Max profit: 2.93 units
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🏆 Who will win Mercury vs. Tempo?
I predict the Tempo to earn a five-point victory over the Mercury in Saturday's matinee matchup at home. Toronto is 5-3 with a +5.4 net rating at home in its first season as an expansion franchise.
Score prediction: Tempo 90, Mercury 85
💰 Mercury vs. Tempo prediction & best bet
Tempo -3.5 (-110)
Compared to the market, bet365 offers the best value for Tempo backers. That shop has Toronto as a 3.5-point favorite as of Friday evening, whereas the rest of our best sportsbooks have set this line at 4.5.
The reason that matters is that 3.5 is worth a play based on my projection, but I'd stay away at -4 or higher.
The Tempo have performed well at home this year, which is notable because they are playing their second game of a nine-game homestand. There will be more opportunities to back Toronto at home these next few weeks.
🔥 Best Mercury vs. Tempo player prop bet
Marina Mabrey Under 4.5 assists (-140)
Would you pass the ball two nights after matching a WNBA record for most points scored in a game?
Mabrey, who scored 53 points against the Sparks on Thursday, should be looking for her shot as much as possible. To be fair, that's how she typically plays anyway.
So far this season, Mabrey is averaging 3.6 assists per game. She's only cleared this assist line four times in her 18 contests. I'm comfortable betting on a similar output against Phoenix, especially given what happened in her previous outing.
I also like the idea of fading her first-quarter points prop, as it's a tad inflated after she scored 19 in the opening period last time out.
🚀 Mercury vs. Tempo same-game parlay
All eyes will be on Mabrey after she dropped 53 points and got a standing ovation on Thursday. With the increased attention from Phoenix and bettors, there is more value in fading Mabrey. That's why I've parlayed a pair of her Unders with Toronto's moneyline to create a +449 payout.
💵 Mercury vs. Tempo SGP picks
- Tempo ML (-172)
- Marina Mabrey Under 4.5 assists (-152)
- Marina Mabrey Under 5.5 first-quarter points (+102)
Best odds: +449 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.45u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 43-53-1 | +6.58 units ✅ | 9.3% ✅ |
| Player props | 17-10 | +5.66 units ✅ | 21% ✅ |
| Parlays | 2-22 | -1.69 units ❌ | -70.3% ❌ |
📊 Live Mercury vs. Tempo odds
📺 How to watch Mercury vs. Tempo
- Date: Saturday, June 27
- Tipoff: 2 p.m. ET
- Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)
- TV: CBS
- Streaming: Paramount+
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