🏀 Lynx vs. Valkyries Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, June 19
Two of the best teams in the WNBA square off for the second time this season tonight, as the Golden State Valkyries host the surging Minnesota Lynx at 10 p.m. ET (ION, WNBA League Pass) from Chase Center in San Francisco.
Minnesota is a 2.5-point betting favorite on the road, with it looking like the most serious WNBA championship odds contender thus far, and my Lynx vs. Valkyries prediction is backing Olivia Miles to lead her team to victory.
🏀 Lynx vs. Valkyries prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Lynx -2.5 (-110 via Caesars) | 1u → 0.91u | Minnesota is the best ATS team in the W (12-3) |
| Under 165 (-105 via Caesars) | 1u → 0.95u | These two teams allow the fewest PPG in the league |
| Olivia Miles Over 28.5 points + rebounds + assists (-106 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.94u | Miles has been a dynamo as a rookie, averaging 29.6 points, rebounds, and assists |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.8 units
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🏆 Who will win Lynx vs. Valkyries?
The last time these two teams played, Minnesota managed a 3-point win, and I'm expecting a similar outcome this time around. These are the two best defensive teams in the W, but the Lynx have the clear advantage on offense, especially with Miles taking her game up to another level.
Score prediction: Lynx 84, Valkyries 79
💰 Lynx vs. Valkyries prediction & best bet
Lynx -2.5 (-110)
Despite being down Napheesa Collier to start the season, Cheryl Reeve has her team looking like the best in the W. The Lynx are No. 1 in the W in both offensive rating (114.1) and defensive rating (98), putting them No. 1 in net rating (+16.1) by a mile.
With Miles running the point, the Lynx are the most efficient offense in the league, leading the W in effective field-goal percentage (56.5%), and their shooting should be the difference.
Golden State is in the back half of the league in PPG (85.1) and has the second-worst field goal percentage (41%).
🗽 More WNBA action
For more WNBA action, don't miss my Mystics vs. Liberty prediction.
🔥 Best Lynx vs. Valkyries player prop bet
Olivia Miles Over 28.5 points + rebounds + assists (-106)
With each passing game it becomes more preposterous that the Dallas Wings past on Miles with the No. 1 pick. The runaway favorite to win WNBA Rookie of the Year, Miles is already one of the best players in the league.
The TCU product is one of two players in the W averaging 19-plus points, five-plus assists, and four-plus rebounds per game ... the other is Caitlin Clark. And the last time Miles faced the Valkyries suffocating defense, she put up a casual 28 points with seven assists.
Nobody has an answer for Miles, who now sits No. 3 in the league in offensive win shares (2.0) and PER (25.2). In Commissioner's Cup play, she's been a force, averaging 33.4 points, rebounds, and assists per game.
🚀 Lynx vs. Valkyries same-game parlay
Minnesota is the best team in the W on both ends, and its defense shouldn't have trouble slowing a Golden State offense that plays with the slowest tempo in the league. But to win the game, it will come down to Miles continuing to shine.
💵 Lynx vs. Valkyries SGP picks
- Lynx -2.5 (-112)
- Under 164.5 (-105)
- Olivia Miles Over 28.5 points + rebounds + assists (-106)
Best odds: +475 via FanDuel (0.2u -> 0.95u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 8.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-44 | -0.58 units ❌ | -0.9% ❌ |
| Game picks (spread/ML) | 13-7 | +4.53 units ✅ | 22.6% ✅ |
| Over/Under picks | 8-12 | -4.66 units ❌ | -23.3% ❌ |
| Player props | 12-10 | +0.57 units ✅ | 2.6% ✅ |
| Parlays | 3-15 | -1.01 units ❌ | -23.5% ❌ |
📊 Live Lynx vs. Valkyries odds
📺 How to watch Lynx vs. Valkyries
- Date: Friday, June 19
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
- TV: ION
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass
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