🏀 Mystics vs. Liberty Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, June 19
For the second time in less than a week, the New York Liberty host the Washington Mystics, with the pair set to hit the court tonight at 7:30 p.m. ET (ION, WNBA League Pass) from Barclays Center in Brooklyn.
With New York among the WNBA championship odds leaders, it's a 12.5-point betting favorite at home, and my Mystics vs. Liberty prediction expects Breanna Stewart and Co. to cruise.
🏀 Mystics vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty -12.5 (-115 via BetMGM) | 1u → 0.87u | Washington is 4-6 ATS since mid-May |
| Over 167.5 (-110 via Caesars) | 0.5u → 0.45u | These teams are a combined 16-12 betting the Over |
| Breanna Stewart Over 27.5 points + rebounds (-125 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.8u | Stewart is averaging 28.5 points and rebounds per game this season |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.12 units
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🏆 Who will win Mystics vs. Liberty?
New York is finally healthy with Sabrina Ionescu back on the court and just blew Washington out by 22 points on Sunday. With Stewart, Ionescu, Jonquel Jones, Satou Sabally, and Pauline Astier, the Liberty have too much offensive talent for the Mystics to keep up. I have New York winning by 14 at home.
Score prediction: Liberty 92, Mystics 78
💰 Mystics vs. Liberty prediction & best bet
Liberty -12.5 (-115)
After a bumpy start to Chris DeMarco's first season leading the Liberty, it's clear they're one of the few legitimate contenders in the W. New York is No. 2 in offensive rating (112.6), No. 4 in defensive rating (104.3), and has won eight straight.
During their eight-game winning streak, the Liberty have won four games by double digits, and now lead the league in true shooting percentage (60.1%) and assist rate (71.3%).
Washington doesn't have the offense to keep up. This young Mystics roster has been sporadic and has lost four of its last six road games by double digits.
🔥 Best Mystics vs. Liberty player prop bet
Breanna Stewart Over 27.5 points + rebounds (-125)
Stewart is ageless and the seven-time All-Star looks as good as ever at 31. She's one of two players in the league putting up 19-plus PPG (19.7) and eight-plus RPG (8.8), and in two games against the Mystics this season, she's averaging 29 combined points and rebounds.
No player in the league has a higher overall wRAPM (+6.8), and she's top 10 in PER (23.2), win shares (2.7), and usage rate (27.1%).
Against a Washington team that's allowed 90-plus points in six of 13 games this season, Stewart should continue cooking.
🚀 Mystics vs. Liberty same-game parlay
If the Liberty are going to blow the Mystics out again, it will be because of their efficiency on offense. With all of New York's talented scorers finally healthy, Stewart should also see less defensive attention, opening her up for a big offensive output.
💵 Mystics vs. Liberty SGP picks
- Liberty -12.5 (-115)
- Over 167.5 (-110)
- Breanna Stewart Over 27.5 points + rebounds (-125)
Best odds: +460 via DraftKings (0.2u -> 0.92u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 8.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-44 | -0.58 units ❌ | -0.9% ❌ |
| Game picks (spread/ML) | 13-7 | +4.53 units ✅ | 22.6% ✅ |
| Over/Under picks | 8-12 | -4.66 units ❌ | -23.3% ❌ |
| Player props | 12-10 | +0.57 units ✅ | 2.6% ✅ |
| Parlays | 3-15 | -1.01 units ❌ | -23.5% ❌ |
📊 Live Mystics vs. Liberty odds
📺 How to watch Mystics vs. Liberty
- Date: Friday, June 19
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn)
- TV: ION
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass
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