⚽ Best Christian Pulisic Props & Odds: Expert Prop Picks for Friday, June 19
It's matchday 2 for the United States, and Australia is on tap. America delighted home fans with a 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their opener, but concerningly, seemingly lost a key play to a minor injury. With his status still up in the air for this afternoon, we're look at the best Christian Pulisic props and odds.
"Captain America" suffered a calf injury, forcing him off at halftime. Despite saying he had just taken "a little kick" and stating he thought he'd better, things didn't go according to plan. He spent the week training alone, and his status seems genuinely up in the air.
Below I break down the best Christian Pulisic props as part of our World Cup predictions in the event he suits up.
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β½Best Christian Pulisic props: June 19
See all of our experts' World Cup picks based on the latest World Cup odds and favorites
| π° Best bets | π Best odds | βοΈ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Pulisic to score or assist | -105 via FanDuel | 0.25u -> 0.24u |
| Christian Pulisic to draw 2+ fouls | -120 via bet365 | 0.5u-> 0.42u |
| Christian Pulisic to commit 1+ fouls | -150 via bet365 | 0.75u -> 0.5u |
Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: 1.16 units
‼️ THE MOST IMPORTANT NOTE ON THESE PROPS
There is no note more important than this heading into the game: play these markets only on sites that offer "Sub On, Play On" offers without changing the odds.
If (when) Pulisic subs off, his substitute will pick up and add on to the market. Don't take slightly higher odds on sites that will end your wager when he leaves the pitch.
π° Best Christian Pulisic prop prediction
Christian Pulisic to commit 1+ fouls (-150) vs. Australia
This is a pretty solid price given the situation.
Pulisic may need to rely on cheap physicality to get the job done as he recovers from his injury, and Australia won't mind engaging in a physical battle (hence also having a play on 2+ drawn). He's also incredibly unlikely to play the full game if he does take the pitch; almost all of his sub possibilities are just as likely, if not more likely, to pick up a foul.
This is also a play on the price - the line at bet365 (-150) is so much better than across the market. FanDuel is offering -300 for the same prop; DraftKings has it listed at -215. Possible subs, like Gio Reyna (-600), Timothy Weah (-550), Brenden Aaronson (-295), and Sebastian Berhalter (-1000), all carry significantly longer odds across the market and are primed to pay off only if they get limited time off the bench.
If you're looking for a deeper dive on today's USA game, our Phil Wood's United States vs. Australia prediction has you covered.
💵 SBR Edge: The statistical case
Pulisic isn't exactly a foul machine, but having one called back isn't out of line for the forward. In both domestic and international play, he's generally averaged between 0.6 and 1.5 fouls/90 throughout his career. These -150 odds at bet365 carry an implied probability of 60%, which is very much toward the lower end of the scale. I probably won't play this any longer than -160, but at this price, it's my Pulisic play of the day.
π₯ More Christian Pulisic props for Friday
Christian Pulisic to draw 2+ fouls (-120) vs. Australia
This plays into all of the information above about Australia playing a physical game, about his subs being likely at drawing a foul himself, and about his career international stats trending above this number.
Pulisic's role often seems him in isolated battles, which in turn results in cynical tackles. The focal point of the USMNT attack, he's likely to grab heavy contact from Australian defenders.
Christian Pulisic to score or assist (-105) vs. Australia
The United States have a chance to close out the group with a win today, but it won't be an easy task. Australia plays a solid defensive game, holding Turkiye off the board in their opener; that won't be the case tonight, but they're unlikely to give up more than one or two.
With that in mind, targeting just a goal or just an assist market limits things considerably, so we'll roll the dice on Pulisic snagging one or the other, something he's adept at - across 71 games in his national career, he's averaging 0.52 goals/90 and 0.33 assists/9 (0.85 g+a/90). This price gives him just slightly more than a 50% chance of getting one or the other, but the actual probability should be closer to 65%.
This market does bring in a bigger sub concern than the foul markets, but even Gio Reyna (who came on late for Malik Tillman in matchweek 1) managed to find the back of the net. So it's not the end of the road necessarily when he heads to the bench.
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