Fever vs. Wings Prediction: WNBA Picks for Thursday, Aug. 20
The Indiana Fever are clearly not a genuine title contender, but they may look like one against the shorthanded Dallas Wings. My Fever vs. Wings prediction breaks down how the Fever should handle business tonight as a -144 moneyline betting favorite.
Tip-off from American Airlines Center in Dallas is set for 8 p.m. ET, airing on Prime Video.
๐ Fever vs. Wings prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| ๐ฐ Pick | โ๏ธ Bet size (units) | ๐ง Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Fever -2.5 (-110 at Caesars) | 1.1u โ 1u | Dallas's offense has collapsed |
| Paige Bueckers Under 5.5 Assists (+122 at FanDuel) | 1.1 โ 1.22u | Paige Bueckers' playmaking has suffered without Azzi Fudd |
Total wagered: 2.1 units | Max profit: 2.22 units
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๐ Who will win Fever vs. Wings?
The Wings may have a promising future led by Paige Bueckers, but their 2026 season is collapsing around them, even though they're still headed toward a playoff spot. Dallas has lost seven of its last nine games despite being favored in two of those losses and a one-bucket underdog in two more.
Meanwhile, Indiana is riding a five-game win streak, having righted the ship after off-court attention clearly distracted the locker room.
Score prediction: Fever 88, Wings 77
๐ฐ Fever vs. Wings prediction & best bet
Fever -2.5 (-110)
The Dallas Wingsโ collapse has gone largely unnoticed because they are still 4.5 games clear of missing the playoffs. But before this debacle, Dallas had a chance at the No. 5 or 6 seed in the postseason, rather than a first-round matchup with the Minnesota Lynx.
Dallas has gone 0-6 against the spread in its last six games, falling short of bookmakersโ expectations by an average of six points per game in that stretch. Losing Azzi Fudd for the season may seem like a small issue, but it may well be the problem.
The rookie shooter was averaging 13.1 points, in no small part thanks to shooting 39.7% from deep. In 30 games with Fudd, the Wingsโ offensive rating sat at 111.9, which would rank No. 3 in the WNBA across the season. In six games without her, including the last five, that offensive rating is just 104.6, which would barely be No. 11 in the league.
That kind of anemic offense will not keep up with the Kelsey Mitchell-led Indiana Fever, the best offense in the WNBA.
๐ฅ Best Fever vs. Wings player prop bet
Paige Bueckers Under 5.5 assists (+122)
In 28 games alongside Fudd, Bueckers averaged six assists per game. In six games without the rookie shooter, she has averaged only 4.8 assists per game.
That makes complete sense. First of all, there is one less bucket-getter to set up. Secondly, there is one less bucket-getter for the defense to worry about.
๐ Fever vs. Wings same-game parlay
As questionable as both these defenses are, the total market is failing to properly appreciate Dallasโs offensive dropoff. Since the All-Star Break, it has ranked No. 13 in the WNBA, 7.3 points worse per 100 possessions than before the break, when it sat at No. 4.
💵 Fever vs. Wings SGP picks
- Fever -2.5 (-110)
- Under 185.5 (-112)
- Paige Bueckers Under 5.5 assists (+122)
Best odds: +435 via DraftKings (1u -> 4.35u)
๐ต My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Aug. 18.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-4 | -2.22 units โ | -0.37% โ |
| Game picks | 0-3 | -3.2 units โ | -320% โ |
| Player props | 2-1 | +0.98 units โ | +32.7% โ |
๐ Live Fever vs. Wings odds
๐บ How to watch Fever vs. Wings
- Date: Thursday, August 20
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
- TV: Prime Video
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