🏀 Aces vs. Sparks Prediction: WNBA Picks for Sunday, May 10
Following a 33-point loss in yesterday's season opener, the Las Vegas Aces will be looking for their first win when they travel to face the Los Angeles Sparks at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on USA Network.
Las Vegas is a 2.5-point road favorite in a matchup between WNBA championship odds contenders. My Aces vs. Sparks prediction is counting on a bounce-back performance from the defending champions.
🏀 Aces vs. Sparks prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Aces ML (-135 via DraftKings) | 1.35u → 1u | This is a prime bounce-back spot for the defending champions after they were embarrassed on ring night. |
| Under 176.5 (-110 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.91u | This total has dropped one point overnight, but it's still a bit inflated based on my projection. |
| Chelsea Gray Under 4.5 rebounds (-125 via bet365) | 1u → 0.8u | The Sparks have more length than last year, which should limit rebound chances for a guard like Gray. |
Total wagered: 3.35 units | Max profit: 2.71 units
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🏆 Who will win Aces vs. Sparks?
This is a prime bounce-back spot for the Aces, who were embarrassed on their home floor in a 33-point loss on ring night. I expect an inspired effort from the defending champions in a 4-point win.
Score prediction: Aces 86, Sparks 82
💰 Aces vs. Sparks prediction & best bet
Aces ML (-135)
The Aces were playing from behind all day in their opener, a rematch of last year's WNBA Finals.
Sometimes, the Aces need a reminder like that to get back on track. The last time the Aces lost by 30 in a regular-season game, they responded with a 16-game win streak to close out the campaign last summer.
Since 2024, Las Vegas is 18-11-1 for a cover rate of 62.1% when coming off a loss. I'll settle for the moneyline value since DraftKings offers a great deal compared to the market.
🔥 Best Aces vs. Sparks player prop bet
Chelsea Gray Under 4.5 rebounds (-125)
Aces guard Chelsea Gray grabbed just one rebound in the first game of the season. But rebounding in the regular season hasn't been her strength of late anyway. She averaged 3.9 rebounds per contest in 2025 and 2.9 boards per game in 2024.
Against the Sparks last season, Gray's rebound line typically closed at 3.5, and she averaged 3.5 boards in four head-to-head meetings. With the addition of Nneka Ogwumike, Los Angeles has even more length, and that should limit rebound chances for players like Gray.
This prop is trading at 3.5 everywhere else, so I'll take a favorable Under at bet365.
🚀 Aces vs. Sparks same-game parlay
Since bet365 offers the best line on Gray's rebound prop, I had to sacrifice some value on the Aces' moneyline. But I'm still banking on Las Vegas winning in a game that features a bit more defense than the lofty total would suggest.
💵 Aces vs. Sparks SGP picks
- Aces ML (-150)
- Under 176.5 (-110)
- Chelsea Gray Under 4.5 rebounds (-125)
Best odds: +550 via bet365 (0.1u -> 0.55u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-3 | +0.09 units ✅ | 2% ✅ |
| Player props | 1-1 | +0 units ✅ | 0% ✅ |
| Parlays | 1-1 | +0.18 units ✅ | 90% ✅ |
📊 Live Aces vs. Sparks odds
📺 How to watch Aces vs. Sparks
- Date: Sunday, May 10
- Tipoff: 6 p.m. ET
- Location: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles)
- TV: USA
- Streaming: N/A
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