Aces vs. Sky Prediction: WNBA Picks for Saturday, Aug. 1
My Aces vs. Sky prediction believes Las Vegas will continue humming along in its first week after the All-Star break.
The Aces are a 6.5-point betting favorite today and have the second-shortest WNBA championship odds. Recent history suggests they have another gear after the break, which is why I'm willing to lay the points before tipoff from Wintrust Arena in Chicago at 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+).
🏀 Aces vs. Sky prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Aces -6.5 (-108 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.93u | This spread feels light, considering the Aces have shown a knack for playing their best ball after the break. |
| Under 182.5 (-108 via FanDuel) | 0.5u → 0.46u | Las Vegas hasn't given up more than 83 points to a non-playoff team since July 3. |
| A'ja Wilson Over 26.5 points (-122 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.82u | Wilson is in peak offensive form, averaging 33 points across her past three outings. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.21 units
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🏆 Who will win Aces vs. Sky?
I predict the Aces to secure a 10-point win over the Sky in Chicago on Saturday. Since 2024, Las Vegas has won seven straight head-to-head meetings with Chicago. These two teams remain a big mismatch on paper, with the Aces competing for championships and the Sky struggling to build a foundation. Las Vegas should roll.
Score prediction: Aces 95, Sky 85
💰 Aces vs. Sky prediction & best bet
Aces -6.5 (-108)
Backing the Aces after the All-Star break has proven to be a strong strategy in recent years.
Last season, Las Vegas finished the regular season on a 19-3 clip with a +9.6 net rating after the break. This came after the Aces went 11-5 (+6.1 net rating) after the break in 2024 and 15-4 (+11.2 net rating) in 2023.
After a 2-0 start with a +20-point differential this week following the break, Las Vegas is showing signs of hitting another gear. I'd back the Aces at -7.5 or better for a full-unit play.
🔥 Best Aces vs. Sky player prop bet
A'ja Wilson Over 26.5 points (-122)
It's worth taking advantage of DraftKings' discount on A'ja Wilson's scoring line. The rest of the market is sitting at 27.5 points for the MVP frontrunner.
After scoring 33 points against the New York Liberty on Thursday, Wilson has cleared this line three straight games. She's averaging 33 points per game over that span.
I think Wilson's heater will continue in Chicago because the Sky have no chance of slowing her down. According to Props Madness, they are 14th in defending opposing posts. They are also 14th in free-throw defense, which is how Wilson earns 21% of her production.
Wilson dropped 30 on the Sky last month, so don't be surprised by a similar showing.
🚀 Aces vs. Sky same-game parlay
DraftKings offers the best value on my Aces vs. Sky prediction, so placing a two-leg parlay there makes the most sense. I opted for just two legs, as I feel most confident about the Aces covering the spread and Wilson having another big performance. Those two things are typically correlated anyway, so it was an easy SGP to make.
💵 Aces vs. Sky SGP picks
- Aces -6.5 (-108)
- A'ja Wilson Over 26.5 points (-121)
Best odds: +214 via DraftKings (0.1u -> 0.2u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 78-97-1 | +8.99 units ✅ | 7.3% ✅ |
| Player props | 28-18 | +8.87 units ✅ | 19.4% ✅ |
| Parlays | 5-38 | -1.98 units ❌ | -46% ❌ |
📊 Live Aces vs. Sky odds
📺 How to watch Aces vs. Sky
- Date: Saturday, Aug. 1
- Tipoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Wintrust Arena (Chicago)
- TV: CBS
- Streaming: Paramount+
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