Sao Paulo Grand Prix Odds & Predictions 2025: Expert F1 Picks, Long Shot for Brazilian GP
We have a new Drivers' Championship front-runner, with Lando Norris leading the way prior to Sunday's Sao Paulo Grand Prix after winning the Mexican Grand Prix. My Sao Paulo Grand Prix odds and prediction focus on whether Norris will increase his slim one-point lead over teammate Oscar Piastri.
Norris and Max Verstappen are the betting co-favorites across the best F1 betting sites. The F1 picks below also feature the Dutchman and Charles Leclerc, who has impressed recently despite failing to win a race this season. Sunday's event starts at noon ET from Autódromo José Carlos Pace (ESPN).
Sao Paulo Grand Prix odds & favorites 2025
Sao Paulo Grand Prix odds to win via BetMGM.
| Driver | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | +150 | 40% | $15 |
| Lando Norris | +150 | 40% | $15 |
| Oscar Piastri | +500 | 16.67% | $50 |
| George Russell | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
| Oliver Bearman | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Carlos Sainz | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Fernando Alonso | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Alex Albon | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Isack Hadjar | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Liam Lawson | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Esteban Ocon | +40000 | 0.25% | $4,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +40000 | 0.25% | $4,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +150000 | 0.10% | $15,000 |
💰 Sao Paulo Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
Here are my best Sao Paulo Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at Autódromo José Carlos Pace. It's the 20th race of the 24 scheduled for the 2025 season.
🏆 Pick to win Sao Paulo Grand Prix: Lando Norris ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Norris continues to impress down the stretch run of the season, with seven podium finishes in the previous nine races. He broke a six-race winless streak and jumped ahead of Piastri by one point for the 2025 Drivers' Championship.
He has utilized every ounce of his experience advantage over Piastri, who has struggled to take a foothold since the summer break.
Piastri hasn't won in five races. With the momentum back in Norris' corner, I expect him to win for the second straight time and extend his Drivers' Championship lead. His best previous finish in Brazil was second in 2023. Caesars and bet365 offer +160 odds for Norris' win, and a winning $10 bet will profit $16.
I also backed Norris to erase Piastri's lead in my Formula 1 prediction.
Best odds: +160 via Caesars ($10 to win $16)
Implied probability: 44.44%
💎 Best value bet to win Sao Paulo Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Despite losing in Mexico, Verstappen remains the in-form F1 driver. The Dutchman has three first-place finishes in the previous five races and will require a victory in Sao Paulo to realistically keep his hopes of winning a fifth straight title alive. He has won the last two races in Brazil and has a superb chance of making it three in a row.
While I wouldn't be surprised to see Verstappen win, the slightly easier track at Autódromo José Carlos Pace should favor the faster McLaren MCL39. But if Verstappen finds a way and creates the magic like he did last year when he won despite starting 17th on the grid, a $10 bet at Caesars will profit $16.50.
Weather played a major factor in last year's improbable 17th-to-first run, so keep a close eye on whether rain is expected. At the moment, there is a 20% chance of late-afternoon rain.
Best odds: +165 via Caesars ($10 to win $16.50)
Implied probability: 37.74%
🎯 Best long shot to win Sao Paulo Grand Prix: Charles Leclerc ⭐⭐⭐
Leclerc was my long-shot pick in Mexico, and he finished second. Despite being over 30 seconds off the pace, the Ferrari driver continually inches closer to that elusive first win of the season.
He has back-to-back podium finishes and has a previous best of fourth in Sao Paulo, which he achieved in 2022. Of the best sports betting sites, FanDuel's +1600 represents the best value.
Best odds: +1600 via FanDuel ($10 to win $160)
Implied probability: 5.88%
🏆 Past Sao Paulo Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the last nine Sao Paulo Grand Prix winners.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2023 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2022 | 🇬🇧 George Russell | Mercedes |
| 2021 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2020 | Not held due to COVID-19 pandemic | Not held due to COVID-19 pandemic |
| 2019 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2018 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2017 | 🇩🇪 Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
| 2016 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2015 | 🇩🇪 Nico Rosberg | Mercedes |
📈 Sao Paulo Grand Prix trends & history
- The Sao Paulo Grand Prix will remain on the calendar until at least 2030
- It's one of the oldest circuits and has been around for over 50 years
- Sao Paulo, also known as the Brazilian Grand Prix, features a sprint session before qualifying
- Interlagos was built in 1940 but didn’t begin hosting a regular round of the F1 world championship until 1973
- Autódromo José Carlos Pace used to be known as Interlagos
- The circuit is located in the Sao Paulo suburb of Interlagos, which translates in Portuguese as "between the lakes"
- The circuit was renamed Autodromo José Carlos Pace in honor of Carlos Pace, a Sao Paulo local who won his only F1 race at the circuit in 1975 but died tragically in a light air crash in 1977
- Interlagos returned to the schedule in 2021. The event returned with a new name – the Sao Paulo Grand Prix – thanks to backing from the local government
- Ferrari are the most successful team at the Interlagos track, winning nine times
- Brazilian drivers have taken more poles than drivers from any other nation at Interlagos. A Brazilian has started from the front here on 10 occasions.
- Michael Schumacher is the most successful driver at Interlagos, with four wins
- Verstappen won the 2024 Sao Paulo Grand Prix from 17th on the grid, the first time that has happened in almost 20 years
- Pierre Gasly and Carlos Sainz recorded the first podium finishes of their careers at the 2019 Brazilian Grand Prix
📺 How to watch the 2025 Sao Paulo Grand Prix
- Race date: Sunday, Nov. 9
- Start time: Noon ET
- Track: Autódromo José Carlos Pace (Sao Paulo, Brazil)
- TV: ESPN
- Streaming: ESPN+
- Weather: 66 °F, 9-mph to 14-mph winds, 20% chance of precipitation
🗓️ Sao Paulo Grand Prix schedule
- Practice 1: Friday, Nov. 7; 9:30 a.m. ET
- Sprint Qualifying: Friday, Nov. 7; 1:30 p.m. ET
- Sprint session: Saturday, Nov. 8; 9 a.m. ET
- Qualifying: Saturday, Nov. 8; 1 p.m. ET
- Race: Sunday, Nov. 9; Noon ET
❓ Sao Paulo Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Sao Paulo Grand Prix?
Lando Norris and Max Verstappen are the +150 betting favorites to win the Sao Paulo Grand Prix.
What are the odds for the Sao Paulo Grand Prix?
Max Verstappen (+150), Lando Norris (+150), and Oscar Piastri (+500) top the Sao Paulo Grand Prix odds to win.
What time is the Sao Paulo Grand Prix?
The Sao Paulo Grand Prix starts at noon ET on Sunday, Nov. 9.
How to watch the Sao Paulo Grand Prix?
You can watch the Sao Paulo Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.
Who has won the most Sao Paulo Grand Prix races?
Michael Schumacher has the most Sao Paulo Grand Prix wins (four).
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