2025 NASCAR Long Shots at Phoenix: Bet These 5 Sleepers Today to Win Shriners Children's 500

Ahead of the first short track race of the Cup Series season, we're offering our best NASCAR long shots for the Shriners Children's 500 today at 3:30 p.m. ET (FS1) at Phoenix Raceway.

Ryan Blaney is the consensus favorite by the latest NASCAR odds at Phoenix, but we're looking further down the oddsboard with five sleepers to win the Shriners Children's 500.

💰 Best NASCAR long shots & sleepers for Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix

We're back to a traditional mile-long short track race, which means the favorites are dealing at short odds and long shots face a tougher path to winning outright.

Yet with fuel mileage and tire startegy playing such a key role today at Phoenix, you never know when a late caution could flip the field and help propel a long shot to Victory Lane.

Here are our best value bets to win the 2025 Shriners Children's 500 with raceday odds of at least +2500 across our best sportsbooks.

🎯 Carson Hocevar (+3000 via BetMGM)

These odds might feel a bit short for Hocevar to earn his first-ever Cup Series victory, but he did post the fastest lap in practice and third-best qualifying time on Saturday to start just outside the top row for today's race.

It was a banner weekend overall for Spire Motorsports, which has all three cars in the top eight and has clearly found something ahead of this race at Phoenix Raceway. Given how aggressively Hocevar has been making his way to the front of the pack each week, it truly wouldn't shock me if he wins today to turn a $10 bet into a $300 profit at BetMGM.

Bet on Carson Hocevar to win the Shriners Children's 500 and receive up to $1,500 in bonus bets if he doesn't using our BetMGM bonus code.

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🎯 Josh Berry (+3500 via bet365)

Another driver who helped his cause in Saturday's qualifying was Berry, who posted the fourth-best time to slot just behind Hocevar at the wheel of the No. 21 Ford for Wood Brothers Racing.

As our NASCAR betting expert Isaiah Sirois explained in his Shriners Children's 500 predictions, Berry's racing team is essentially powered by Team Penske, which won the last race at Phoenix and employs the raceday favorite in Ryan Blaney. Berry has kept pace with his unofficial teammates this season, and a win today would turn a $10 bet into a $350 profit at bet365.

Bet $5 on Josh Berry to win the Shriners Children's 500 and receive $150 in bonus bets with our bet365 bonus code.

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🎯 Austin Cindric (+4000 via BetMGM)

Sirois also highlighted Cindric earlier this week as a 65/1 long shot, but his odds tightened across the board after he posted the fourth-fastest practice lap and and third-best 10-lap average ... even though he qualified 14th for the race.

There's still value at these +4000 odds for the Team Penske driver, whose team always shows raw speed at Phoenix. Cindric has found success at this track dating back to his Xfinity Series days, and he'd turn a $10 bet into a $400 profit if he posts another Cup Series victory at a mile-long track.

🎯 Michael McDowell (+5000 via BetMGM)

While Hocevar stole the show for Spire by securing the third spot in today's race, McDowell qualified seventh and posted the best 10-lap average of any driver in practice.

The No. 34 Ford has quietly checked into the top 13 in all three races this year while leading laps in two of them, and he's finished in the top 10 in two of his last three races at Phoenix. If he gets his first win at his home track, he'd turn a $10 bet into a $500 profit.

🎯 Daniel Suarez (+20000 via BetMGM)

We highlighted Suarez in our NASCAR AI predictions for Phoenix thanks to his aggressive racing style and ability to navigate late-race chaos, which have helped him finish in the top 13 in each of his last three races at Phoenix.

He's scored three top-10s in 16 career races at this track, but he's dealing as one of the biggest long shots in the entire field. I don't mind taking a dart throw at these +20000 odds via BetMGM, which would turn a $10 bet into a $2,000 profit.

🏆 Expert Shriners Children's 500 picks

• 2025 Shriners Children's 500 predictions
• NASCAR AI picks and predictions
• NASCAR long shots at Phoenix
• Who is Katherine Legge?

📺 How to watch the 2025 Shriners Children’s 500: NASCAR at Phoenix

📅 Race date: Sunday, March 9, 2025
🕒 Start time: 3:30 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Phoenix Raceway (Phoenix)
📺 TV: FS1 | Streaming: FOX Sports App

🏁 Best NASCAR betting sites for Shriners Children’s 500 at Phoenix Raceway

Looking to bet on the Shriners Children’s 500 at Phoenix Raceway? Here are our top-rated NASCAR best sports betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of Sunday's race at 3:30 p.m. ET.

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