KSI vs. Tommy Fury Picks, Odds & Predictions: Fury Heavy Favorite in Manchester
KSI and Tommy Fury return to the ring Saturday in a cruiserweight bout scheduled for six rounds or less in Manchester, England as we make our top KSI vs. Tommy Fury picks based on the best odds.
KSI, born Olajide Olatunji, is set to face Tommy Fury under his own Misfits Boxing banner as part of the outfit's partnership with DAZN. Although some have regarded his previous boxing bouts as exhibitions, KSI comes into Saturday's event with an official record of 4-0 and one no-contest. He has taken on crossover boxers, fellow influencers, and even an unheralded opponent like Luis Alcaraz Pineda during the early stages of his boxing career. In his most recent bout against Joe Fournier in May, the fight went from a second-round KO to a no-contest due to an accidental elbow strike.
Competing for KSI's Misfits Boxing cruiserweight crown is Tommy Fury, who boasts an unblemished record of 9-0. The 24-year-old, known as the half-brother of heavyweight star Tyson Fury, has predominantly faced lesser-known opponents and secured victories in several crossover bouts. In 2021, he outpointed MMA fighter Anthony Taylor and more recently earned a split decision over internet sensation Jake Paul last February in a noteworthy win.
Here are our best KSI vs. Fury picks for Saturday (odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
KSI vs. Tommy Fury moneyline odds
Many of our best sports betting sites like DraftKings and Caesars have shunned this crossover boxing match (understandably so), although FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365 all have Fury as the sizable favorite of Saturday’s headlining pair, presumably due to his edge in reps and technical boxing savvy. FanDuel leads the pack on a Fury win at -320, so there isn’t much value in a straight-up bet on the favorite, but winning method and round props are far more interesting.
BetMGM is offering a Fury victory by decision at +187, while FanDuel has he and KSI going Over 4.5 rounds at a respectable -154.
KSI vs. Tommy Fury total rounds
While most of KSI’s bouts have ended within the distance, Fury has gone to the judges in five of his nine career victories, including his recent eight-round tilt against Paul. With KSI likely to claim the center and start swinging wild from the opening bell, Fury should submit a measured, methodical showing akin to his win over Paul, meaning the judges will likely get involved after six rounds.
It’s with this in mind that I lean toward the Over on this matchup, with FanDuel offering the best value at -154 on Over 4.5 rounds.
KSI vs. Tommy Fury pick
Fury by decision (+187 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Comparing these two based on strength of schedule is a fool’s errand, as both KSI and Fury meet with can-crusher resumes. That said, Fury is unquestionably the superior technician of the pair, and his sound fundamentals - comparatively speaking - should be enough to expose KSI’s varied, glaring flaws, several of which he has in common with Paul.
While undeniably athletic, KSI looks the part of a dabbler in the ring, often chucking one wild overhand right at a time and neglecting to tuck his chin. Furthermore, the influencer has yet to learn how to find his range behind the jab, with most of his punches either short of full extension or not at all. Fury, by comparison, is no worldbeater, but he’s far more active with the jab - often doubling and tripling up on it against Paul - can throw in combination, and isn’t averse to working from the outside. The younger Fury also boasts a four-inch edge in reach, and I like his chances of keeping a raw KSI on the end of his punches throughout the contest.
As KSI aims for another swift start and slings haymakers, Fury should easily prove he’s the real boxer, stick KSI with the jab early and often, remain wary of his foe’s raw power, and punch in bunches in a replica of his performance against Paul. Fury isn’t always one to fight with urgency, nor is he a purebred puncher, so expect this one to go to the scorecards.
If you’re looking to up your payout, you’ll find a unanimous verdict for Fury instead of a straight-up decision at a solid +260 with bet365.
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KSI vs. Tommy Fury tale of the tape
| KSI | Tommy Fury | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 24 |
| Height | 6’0” | 6’0” |
| Weight | 181.3 | 182.6 |
| Reach | 76” | 80” |
| Record | 4-0 (1 NC) | 9-0 |
KSI vs. Tommy Fury fight info
- When: Saturday, Oct. 14 (main event: approx. 5 p.m. ET)
- Where: Manchester Arena, Manchester, England
- How to watch: DAZN PPV
KSI-Fury pick made 14/10/2023 at 12:06 a.m. ET
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