Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Betting Action: Where's the Sharp Money Going For Netflix Fight?
When betting markets opened for Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua, oddsmakers didn’t hesitate to install Joshua as a massive favorite. However, early action shows a heavy tilt toward Paul, per BetMGM, with the majority of bettors backing the less experienced fighter in both ticket percentage and handle.
In a matchup that feels like a historic skill gap on paper, the best sports betting sites are going to need Joshua to pull off the win, with Paul becoming a huge liability.
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua betting action
| Fighter | Odds | % of Tickets | % of Handle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Paul | +550 | 93% | 83% |
| Anthony Joshua | -1000 | 7% | 17% |
Jake Paul drawing a ton of betting intrigue
Jake Paul is dominating both the handle and ticket percentage. A surprising number of tickets (93%) and handle (83%) are landing on Paul due to his massive underdog price.
For bettors who prioritize value over probability, Paul represents a high-upside gamble. His supporters believe:
- He has improved with each fight
- Joshua’s chin has been questioned in the past
- In an entertainment-first bout, he could make some noise
This creates an interesting storyline, where the public could cash in big if Paul were to somehow win as a massive underdog.
Not a lot of love for Anthony Joshua
The logic backing AJ is straightforward, even though he owns just seven percent of tickets, and 17% of the handle:
- He has fought and defeated elite heavyweights
- His size, power, and technique present matchup nightmares for Paul
- Paul has never faced anyone close to Joshua’s level - or size
This combination created a snowball of early wagers on Joshua, inflating his already steep moneyline odds, which has now turned many to bet on Paul prior to the fight tonight.
Where's the betting line moving?
If current betting trends continue, sportsbooks may need to adjust the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua odds, and give Paul a tad more respect than they're giving him. That would likely bring in a second wave of bettors (likely on Joshua) who are simply waiting for the richest possible price.
Expect movement on:
- Joshua by KO (likely to shorten)
- Paul moneyline (likely to shorten)
- Fight not to go the distance props
Early betting action makes one thing clear: Paul is the people's choice. As the fight approaches, watch for dramatic swings in prop markets, especially if Paul continues to attract long shot money.
Most bet props for Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Where's the money going with the public? Here are the most bet props for tonight's fight, via BetMGM.
| Prop | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jake Paul (USA) by KO/TKO or DQ | +1200 |
| Anthony Joshua (ENG) on Points / Technical Decision | +450 |
| Jake Paul (USA) on Points / Technical Decision | +1200 |
| Anthony Joshua (ENG) by Unanimous Decision | +650 |
| Jake Paul (USA) by Split Decision | +2800 |
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