Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Best Bets & Odds: Can Verstappen Complete Historic Comeback?
We're down to the final race of the season as I offer my Abu Dhabi Grand Prix best bets, which feature the two drivers most likely to win the championship, Max Verstappen and Lando Norris.
After securing pole position, Verstappen is the -250 betting favorite to take the checkered flag in today's race at Yas Marina Circuit (8 a.m. ET, ESPN). However, McLaren driver Norris only needs a podium finish to win his maiden championship. Oscar Piastri is also in with a chance to win the title, but the Aussie requires much more help.
📊 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix odds & favorites 2025
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix odds to win via BetMGM.
| Driver | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | -250 | 71.43% | $4 |
| Lando Norris | +250 | 28.57% | $25 |
| Oscar Piastri | +700 | 12.50% | $70 |
| George Russell | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Charles Leclerc | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Fernando Alonso | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Isack Hadjar | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Oliver Bearman | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Carlos Sainz | +100000 | 0.1% | $10,000 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +100000 | 0.1% | $10,000 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +150000 | 0.07% | $15,000 |
| Alex Albon | +200000 | 0.05% | $20,000 |
| Liam Lawson | +200000 | 0.05% | $20,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +250000 | 0.04% | $25,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +300000 | 0.03% | $30,000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +300000 | 0.03% | $30,000 |
🔮 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets
Here are my Abu Dhabi Grand Prix best bets for Sunday's race at Yas Marina Circuit.
Pick to win Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐
Man on a mission aptly describes Verstappen's form since early September, with the four-time defending champion victorious in five of the previous eight races, including the last two.
He's in pole position, which bodes well for Yas Marina Circuit, as the last five drivers starting from first on the grid won the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, including a four-race win streak by the Dutchman.
Verstappen won this race from 2020 to 2023, but had to settle for second last year. His track record on this circuit and unwillingness to go quietly into the night should provide a grandstand finish to the season. While I expect him to win the race, he'll likely fall just shy of his fifth straight title.
The odds for a Verstappen win range from -230 to -330, with FanDuel providing the best value. Its -230 odds imply a 69.70% win probability, and a successful $10 bet will profit $4.35. It's only a three-star play due to the short odds.
Best odds: -230 via FanDuel
Best value bet to win Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: Lando Norris ⭐⭐⭐
McLaren has done its utmost to bundle Norris' bid for a first championship. The Constructors' Champions will be thrilled to see the end of this season, considering how poorly things have gone recently.
Another critical strategic error in Qatar led to Norris' demise. The Brit didn't cover himself in glory either as he struggled to make inroads for most of the race. In truth, he was fortunate to finish fourth.
Norris won last year's Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, so he has that going for him. Yas Marina Circuit is one of the faster tracks on the circuit, which should benefit the 26-year-old. He also knows that finishing on the podium would guarantee his maiden title.
I expect him to wrap up the title, albeit just, finishing second. Of the best sports betting sites, DraftKings has the best price. Its +300 odds will profit $30 on a winning $10 bet.
Best odds: +300 via DraftKings
Best long shot to win Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: George Russell ⭐⭐
With the woeful track record of long shots in the current F1 season, two stars for this pick is generous. As he has for most of the season, Russell represents the best long-shot pick. He is the only driver, excluding the big three, to win a race, with the Brit triumphant twice.
He finished among the top two in three of the previous seven races, taking second place in Las Vegas. In 2023, Russell took third place at the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.
Norris, Verstappen, and Piastri must make a mistake for Russell to win, but anything is possible considering the high stakes. The +3300 odds will profit $330 if Russell pulls off the improbable. According to the odds, he has a 2.94% chance of winning.
Best odds: +3300 via bet365
🏎️ Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Qualifying results
- Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing)
- Lando Norris (McLaren)
- Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
- Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
- Gabriel Bortoleto (Kick Sauber)
- Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team)
- Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls)
- Yuki Tsunoda (Red Bull Racing)
🏎️ Abu Dhabi Grand Prix FP3 results
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- Lando Norris (McLaren)
- Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing)
- Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
- Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
- Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team)
- Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team)
- Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
- Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
- Alex Albon (Williams)
🏎️ Abu Dhabi Grand Prix FP2 results
- Lando Norris (McLaren)
- Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing)
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team)
- Nico Hulkenberg (Kick Sauber)
- Gabriel Bortoleto (Kick Sauber)
- Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls)
- Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
- Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
- Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
🏎️ Abu Dhabi Grand Prix FP1 results
- Lando Norris (McLaren)
- Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing)
- Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
- Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
- Nico Hulkenberg (Kick Sauber)
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- Gabriel Bortoleto (Kick Sauber)
- Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team)
- Carlos Sainz (Williams)
- Franco Colapinto (Alpine)
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🏆 Past Abu Dhabi Grand Prix winners
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Lando Norris | McLaren |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2022 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-RBPT |
| 2021 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda |
| 2020 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda |
| 2019 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2018 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2017 | Valtteri Bottas | Mercedes |
| 2016 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2015 | Nico Rosberg | Rosberg |
📺 How to watch 2025 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix
- Date: Sunday, Dec. 7
- Time: 8 a.m. ET
- Location: Yas Marina Circuit (Abu Dhabi)
- How to watch: ESPN
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