Reds vs. Nationals Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Sunday, Aug. 9
My Reds vs. Nationals prediction expects Cincinnati to get swept on the road today. Each of these teams sits 4.5 to 5 games behind the final NL Wild Card seed, so there's still plenty to play for through the end of September.
My MLB picks break down today's pitching matchup featuring Brady Singer vs. Brad Lord. First pitch from Nationals Park in Washington, D.C., is set for 12:15 p.m. ET (Peacock). The Reds are a -108 betting favorite as they look to avoid their first series sweep since the All-Star break.
⚾ Reds vs. Nationals picks & odds today
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| ⚾ Pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Nationals Moneyline (+100 via FanDuel) | 1u → 1u | Nationals' lineup has a .250 batting average compared to .229 batting average (T30) for the Reds. |
| Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-124 via DraftKings) | 1.24 → 1u | Lile has 3 hits, 3 runs, and 4 RBIs during this series against the Reds. |
| Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs (+390 via bet365) | 0.26u → 1.01u | Stewart is 90th percentile in barrel rate (14.1) and 84th percentile for xSLG (.471) in 2026. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 3.01 units
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🏆 Who will win Reds vs. Nationals?
The Nationals have found their groove against one of the league's worst lineups during this series. Washington also draws a matchup against Brady Singer, who has a lowly fourth-percentile pitching run value this season. The Nationals beat the Reds 6-3 to complete the series sweep today.
Score prediction: Nationals 6, Reds 3
💰 Reds vs. Nationals prediction & best bet
Nationals Moneyline (+100)
The Nationals have a quality lineup this year, ranked inside the top 10 for batting average (.250) and second in OPS (.766) behind only the Dodgers.
Brady Singer's numbers are atrocious in 2026. Despite going 3-2 across his last five starts for the Reds, Singer ranks in the 19th percentile for xERA (4.95) and xBA (.266), while sitting even lower in the ninth percentile for avg exit velo (90.6).
The Nationals came out of a tough 1-7 stretch against top-tier opponents like the Braves and Phillies. Bet on the Nationals moneyline at even odds on FanDuel.
📡 SBR Edge: Home Edge
The home team has won each of the Reds' last six games played. The Nationals are also 4-1 SU against the Reds in 2026.
🔥 Best Reds vs. Nationals player prop bet
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-124)
Batting clean-up in the Nationals' lineup, Daylen Lile has been a stud in this series. The 23-year-old has collected 3 hits, 3 runs, and 4 RBIs in eight plate appearances against the Reds.
Lile has the second-most hits (109) for the Nationals in 2026. He's also facing Singer today, who has allowed at least five hits and three earned runs in each of his previous three starts for the Reds.
Since Lile has cashed Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs in each game played during this series, it feels inevitable that he does it one more time against a bottom-tier pitcher like Singer on Sunday.
Head to DraftKings for the best price on Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs at -124 odds.
💣 Reds vs. Nationals home run prediction
Sal Stewart to hit a home run (+390)
The only Cincinnati Reds player I'm interested in for today's game is Sal Stewart. The Reds 1B has an impressive hitting profile, posting a 14.1 barrel percentage (90th percentile) and xSLG at .471 (84th percentile) during his second MLB season.
Stewart has 25 home runs to lead the Reds this year. Due to his power at the plate, he's recording 90.5 on his avg exit velo.
Brad Lord ranks in the 31st percentile for hard-hit percentage (41.3) in 2026. He's returning to the mound as a starter after playing in the bullpen, which could lead to an early home run for Stewart.
Go to bet365 and bet on Sal Stewart's home run prop at +390 odds.
🚀 Reds vs. Nationals same-game parlay
I'm backing two of the hottest hitters in the Nationals lineup for an SGP at +128 odds on bet365. C.J. Abrams has eight hits in his last five starts, while Jacob Young has a four-game hit streak intact in a favorable matchup against Singer today.
💵 Reds vs. Nationals SGP picks
- C.J. Abrams Over 0.5 Hits (-260)
- Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits (-155)
Best odds: +128 via bet365 (1u -> 1.28u)
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 31.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 38-83-3 | -22.58 units ❌ | -21.0% ❌ |
| Game picks | 13-15-2 | -4.03 units ❌ | -13.43% ❌ |
| Player props | 15-48-1 | -10.78 units ❌ | -24.7% ❌ |
| Parlays | 10-20 | -7.77 units ❌ | -29.8% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Reds vs. Nationals: MLB strategy
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
A total of 3.5 units will be staked on four wagers in today's Reds vs. Nationals game. I'm dropping 1 unit on the Nationals as a home underdog at even odds (+100) to win 1 unit of profit. Then, it's a 1.24 unit play on Daylen Lile's Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs prop to win another unit.
A 0.26 unit play on Sal Stewart's home run prop nets just over 1 unit of profit if it hits. Then, 1 final unit on a two-leg SGP for Jacob Young and C.J. Abrams to each record a hit in the Nationals lineup at +128 odds.
📊 Live Reds vs. Nationals odds
Lines are tight in this game. The Reds have moved from -108 to -104 in the moneyline market since opening, while the run total has bounced between 9.0 and 9.5, currently sitting at 9.5.
63 percent of public money is on the Nationals moneyline, including 74 percent on their +1.5 run line. 61 percent of action is also on under 9.5 total runs.
📈 Reds vs. Nationals betting trends
| Reds | Statistic | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| 56-60 | W-L record | 58-61 |
| 60-56 | Run line record | 65-54 |
| 61-53-3 | O/U record | 64-49-6 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 4.45 | Team ERA | 4.74 |
| .229 | Team batting avg. | .250 |
| .708 | OPS | .766 |
🚑 Reds vs. Nationals injuries
📺 How to watch Reds vs. Nationals
- Date: Sunday, Aug. 9
- First pitch: 12:15 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Nationals Park (Washington, D.C.)
- Streaming: Peacock
- Reds starter: Brady Singer (5-10, 4.67 ERA)
- Nationals starter: Brad Lord (5-2, 3.81 ERA)
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