Red Sox vs. Yankees Player Prop Predictions, Odds: Expert Picks for Friday

The Yankees look to snap their losing streak in an AL East showdown with the Red Sox in what could be an explosive game for Aaron Judge.

Rob Paul

Last updated: July 5, 2024 11:07 AM EDT • 4 min read

New York Yankees designated hitter Aaron Judge rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run against the Cincinnati Reds during the seventh inning at Yankee Stadium. We're backing Judge in our Red Sox vs. Yankees Player Props. — New York Yankees designated hitter Aaron Judge rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run against the Cincinnati Reds during the seventh inning at Yankee Stadium. Photo by Brad Penner/USA TODAY Sports via Imagn.

The sky appears to be falling in the Big Apple with the New York Yankees (54-35) hoping to end a three-game losing streak against the Boston Red Sox (47-39), as we look at the best Yankees vs. Red Sox player props.

The two AL East rivals are set to take to the field at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx on Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET (NESN), and New York is a -140 moneyline favorite despite being in the middle of a 4-13 stretch.

Even with the recent struggles, the Yankees remain one of the favorites by the World Series odds behind the dominant play of Aaron Judge, who sits atop the MLB MVP odds in the AL.

Red Sox vs. Yankees player props

MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Rafael Devers 2+ total bases (+150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Gleyber Torres Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases (-111 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Red Sox vs. Yankees expert picks

Rafael Devers 2+ total bases ⭐⭐⭐

Between the play of Jarren Duran and Devers, Boston is 14-5 since mid-June with two wins against the Yanks. It's helped the Red Sox climb the AL standings to sit in the third Wild Card spot.

To catch up to the Yankees in the top Wild Card spot, they'll need Devers to keep delivering. The two-time All-Star is coming off an impressive June in which he slashed .300/.359/.656 with 59 total bases in 24 games. He's also kept up that hot play in July, adding six total bases in three games.

With Devers averaging 2.4 bases per game since June, I expect him to thrive against Nestor Cortes. Cortes leans heavily on his four-seamer - 46.6% of the time - and Devers is cranking them with a .616 SLG, per Baseball Savant. A $10 bet on this prop pays $25 for a $15 profit.

Best odds: +150 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 40%

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Gleyber Torres Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Without a doubt, there's no one Yankee who's to blame for the Pinstripes issues, but Gleyber Torres has fallen flat all season. The two-time All-Star is slashing just .221/.295/.343 and isn't showing any signs of turning it around after hitting .218 last month and going 1-for-11 to start July.

Torres is averaging 1.6 hits + runs + RBIs per game this season and has just two in his last three outings, including zero in back-to-back games. Now, he's facing Tanner Houck, a MLB Cy Young odds contender.

Houck has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 12 of 17 starts and uses his slider 41.8% of the time - Torres is batting just .172 with a .259 SLG against them this season. That's why these odds are so short at bet365, but they still pay an $8 profit on a $10 winning bet.

Best odds: -125 via bet365 | Implied probability: 55.56%

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Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Call me crazy, but I'm going to back Judge against Boston. Sure, he just went hitless in back-to-back games against the Cincinnati Reds, but he's as short as -350 at Caesars to win AL MVP for a reason.

It's not as if he's in some ridiculous slump either, as he opened July with a three-hit game and a dinger against the Reds. That was after slashing .409/.514/.864 in June and putting up 89 total bases in May. Since the start of May, he's averaging three total bases per game.

Between his last two stinkers and Boston putting Houck on the mound, these are the best odds for Judge going over 1.5 total bases in weeks. They pay a $9.01 profit on a $10 bet. And for as good as Houck is, Judge has a .833 or better SLG against three of his four pitches.

Best odds: -111 via Caesars | Implied probability: 52.61%

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Red Sox vs. Yankees odds & game info

When: Friday, July 5
First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
Where: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, N.Y.)
How to watch: NESN
Favorite: Yankees (-140 via bet365)

Red Sox-Yankees player props made Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Rob Paul

Rob is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review. He’s been with the team since early 2024, with this being his first full-time role in the sports betting industry. Before joining SportsbookReview.com, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network. During that period, he spent five years working full-time as a local community journalist, after attending Durham College for journalism and Wilfrid Laurier University for history. He previously hosted an NFL draft and college football-focused podcast where he had the opportunity to interact with future NFL players such as Maxx Crosby and Quinn Meinerz. Rob has spent multiple years working as a freelance podcast producer for numerous sports-related podcasts while making guest appearances on several college football shows. He’s also made guest appearances on SportsTalk Mississippi on several occasions to talk all things NFL draft. Rob values the way sports betting acts as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. He’s always been drawn to the more obscure teams and conferences in major college sports, but most of all, Rob loves using stats to find the best player props to back.