⚾ Best Home Run Predictions Today: MLB Odds & HR Picks for Sunday, May 31
Sunday's massive 15-game MLB slate provides plenty of home run potential to close out May with a bang. We've got a mix of stars and high-value players we're targeting to go the distance on an ideal day with clear skies and warm temperatures forecast across the country.
My home run predictions today include Manny Machado and Hunter Goodman, plus Ben Rice in a bomber's paradise at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California.
βΎ Best home run predictions today: MLB picks & odds May 31
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| π£ Home run pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (+451 via DraftKings) | 0.25u β 1.12u | Manny Machado faces Zack Littell, who has surrendered 15 home runs in just 7 starts. |
| Hunter Goodman (+289 via DraftKings) | 0.25u β 0.72u | Hunter Goodman has mashed 13 homers to lead the Rockies. |
| Ben Rice (+363 via DraftKings) | 0.25u β 0.93u | Ben Rice gets a lefty on lefty matchup against Jacob Lopez, who has given up 7 home runs in his last 5 starts. |
Total wagered: 0.75 units | Max profit: 2.77 units
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π£ Best home run prediction today
Manny Machado to hit a home run (+451)
Manny Machado just hit a bomb in Nationals Park on Saturday. The Padres' leading home run scorer has logged 10 homers this season, and now, he'll face off against Zack Littell, who has allowed 15 home runs in just seven starts.
While Machado has yet to log consecutive home runs this season, he'll be facing ideal scoring conditions against a weak right-handed pitcher, while boasting an above-average 75th-percentile bat speed.
The best odds on Machado are +451 at DraftKings, so bet on the Padres' power hitter to record his 11th home run of 2026 in D.C. this afternoon.
📡 SBR Edge: Limited Littell
Zack Littell has allowed multiple home runs in five of seven starts this season. This includes a career-high .524 SLG rate and a tendency to throw his four-seamer. This has led to a hard-hit percentage of 47.1%, ranking in the bottom 10% among MLB pitchers.
π₯ More home run picks today
Hunter Goodman to hit a home run (+289)
Colorado may not be a World Series contender any time soon, but Hunter Goodman is doing his part to keep the offense humming. The Rockies' catcher leads the team with 13 home runs, including two bombs in his last four starts.
Robbie Ray is a veteran on the mound for the Giants. In his last five starts, Ray has surrendered eight home runs, including at least one in every outing. Now, he'll be facing off against Goodman in high altitude and 80-degree temperatures, which present ideal home run conditions for Goodman.
Get the best line on Goodman's home run prop at DraftKings' +289 odds.
Ben Rice to hit a home run (+363)
Few hitters in the league have been more powerful and consistent than Ben Rice this year. He's ranked in the 90th percentile or higher in numerous key batting metrics, including xSLG (.566), barrel percentage (17.7%), and hard hit percentage (51.8).
The Yankees' lefty draws a fantastic matchup against Athletics pitcher Jacob Lopez on Sunday. Lopez is allowing an average exit velocity of 85.3, which ranks in the 94th percentile amongst MLB pitchers. His hard-hit rate and barrel rate are also in the 83rd percentile or higher, so Rice is set up for a monster outing in a shallow ball park.
Stay at DraftKings for the top number on Ben Rice to hit a home run at +363 odds.
π Best home run parlay picks today
We're going to bet a +1700 home run parlay on DraftKings for Goodman and Rice. Both of these hitters are set up favorably against opposing pitchers in ballparks that tend to yield a lot of home runs.
💵 Best MLB home run parlay today
- Hunter Goodman (+289)
- Ben Rice (+363)
Best odds: +1701 via DraftKings (0.1u -> 1.7u)
π‘ How I'm betting MLB home run picks today
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
Zack Littell, Robbie Ray, and Jacob Lopez are among the most vulnerable starters on the mound today.
Every batter I've selected leads his team in total home runs this season. It's why I've opted to increase the unit size from 0.1 to 0.25 for each home run prop, while reducing it to 0.1 units for the two-leg home-run parlay.
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