MLB Player Props Today: Expert Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Friday

The Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners get the Major League Baseball stage all to themselves on Friday night, and my best MLB player props today feature a mix of batter and pitcher props for this winner-take-all affair. 

The Tigers are the -140 betting favorite to increase their World Series odds by advancing to the ALCS. My MLB picks back reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal on two separate plays, which also coincide with my pessimism on two Mariners sluggers' props.

If you're looking some some dingers today, my best home run predictions today have you covered.

⚾ Best MLB player props today

MLB player props for Friday; MLB odds subject to change.

• Tarik Skubal Over 19.5 outs recorded (-114 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Tarik Skubal Under 1.5 earned runs (-145 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 hits (+101 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
• Eugenio Suarez to strike out 2+ times (-117 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐

💰 Best MLB player prop bets for Oct. 10

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⬆️  Tarik Skubal Over 19.5 outs recorded (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Instead of panicking and sending southpaw Tarik Skubal to the mound on Wednesday when facing elimination, Detroit now gets its ace on four days’ rest in Game 5. 

Skubal has recorded at least 21 outs in his first two postseason starts this year, and has averaged more than six innings pitched in his five career playoff starts. 

Detroit also showed plenty of its bullpen arms, with four relievers combining for six innings in Wednesday’s win. And manager A.J. Hinch usually takes more of an “old school” approach with letting his top arm work himself out of trouble, knowing he is better than any bullpen option they have.

Skubal’s two lengthy postseason outings have come with an average of 102 pitches per start. If he throws at least 6 2/3. Innings tonight, my $10 wager through Caesars’ -114 price and 53.27% implied odds would net $8.77 in profits.

If you'd rather fade the ace, our Shane Jackson's Tigers vs. Mariners player props have some plays that might interest you.

⬇️  Tarik Skubal Under 1.5 earned runs (-145) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Skubal went Over this projected total in Game 2 as Mariners second baseman Jorge Polanco tagged him for two solo home runs. Outside of that, Skubal limited Seattle to just three singles with one other baserunner reaching via walk.

These 59.18% implied odds through DraftKings’ -145 price are a great value on a pitcher who allowed one or fewer earned runs in seven of his eight starts prior to Game 2. 

In addition, T-Mobile Park has now seen eight straight playoff games end with the combined total at six or fewer runs. That is the longest such streak at any venue, breaking a tie with three other venues (Tropicana Field, Baltimore Memorial Stadium, and Yankee Stadium), two of which had streaks ending in 1983 or earlier.

If Skubal again finished with one or fewer earned runs allowed, my $10 winning wager at DraftKings would return $6.90 in profits.

⬇️  Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 hits (+101) ⭐⭐⭐

Cal Raleigh went 1-for-4 in Game 2 when Skubal toed the rubber for Detroit, but his lone hit was an eighth-inning double off of Kyle Finnegan. Skubal is going to force Raleigh to hit from the right side today, and that makes this one of my best MLB player props today, given the “Big Dumper’s” splits as a switch hitter.

Entering this series, Raleigh’s batting average and slugging percentage were 50 and 134 points lower, respectively, as a right-handed hitter.

He is now 2-for-12 in his career against Skubal, a southpaw who was one of five qualified pitchers to rank in the 80th percentile or higher in whiff rate and hard-hit percentage in the regular season. 

The Under on the high end of the market for Raleigh’s total bases is -110 at 52.38% implied odds. That makes these plus-money odds at DraftKings for Raleigh to go hitless a steal, and would net $10.10 on a winning $10 wager.

🔥  Eugenio Suarez to strike out at least two times (-117) ⭐⭐

Eugenio Suarez’s home run in the fourth inning of Game 3 snapped a 23 at-bat hitless streak dating back to the regular season. That included a 0-for-4 in Skubal’s start in Game 2, where he flew out to center and struck out twice in his three at-bats against the southpaw. 

Suarez has led the league in strikeouts in two of the last four seasons, and his 196 K’s from this year matched the same output from 2022, which was his second of three individual seasons where he ended with the most strikeouts.

These 53.92% implied odds are a great value on a player who has struck out multiple times in two of the four playoff games this year, and five of the final six games to end the regular season. If Suarez whiffs at least twice tonight, my winning $10 wager would net $8.55 in profits.