TPC Scottsdale's 16th Hole: Will There Be a Hole in One & More WM Phoenix Open Prop Bets
There might be only one more famous hole in all of golf outside of Augusta, Ga., so we're looking at TPC Scottsdale's 16th hole with our best WM Phoenix Open prop picks for the biggest party in golf at The People's Open.
⛳ WM Phoenix Open 16th hole specials: Will there be a hole-in-one?
DraftKings is helping us celebrate the 2026 WM Phoenix Open with a full array of 16th hole specials. The most popular of which being the odds for a hole in one to be scored during the touranament, or in the first round.
| Market | Yes | No | My pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hole in one (tournament) | +280 | -370 | Yes ($10 bet pays $28) |
| First-round hole in one | +1500 | Not offered | Avoid |
No is the betting favorite by the WM Phoenix Open odds for the tournament hole-in-one market, with the -370 odds representing an implied win probability of 78.72%.
There have been 12 holes in one scored on the 16th hole at TPC Scottsdale in the history of the WM Phoenix Open (and past tournament names). Emiliano Grillo was the lone player to do so during last year's event in Scottsdale, Ariz.
What is the scoring average on the 16th hole?
Through last year's WM Phoenix Open, the tournament scoring average on the 16th hole is 2.98, 0.02 strokes below par.
TPC Scottsdale's 16th hole stats
- Par: 3
- Yardage: 163 yards
- Grass type: Bermuda
🎯 Closest to the pin in Round 1
DraftKings also has a betting market under Hole 16 Specials for Player Nearest to the Pin on Hole 16 in Round 1. Here are the betting favorites, but the entire 123-man field is listed:
- Viktor Hovland: +6500
- Scottie Scheffler: +6700
- Collin Morikawa: +6900
- Hideki Matsuyama: +7000
- Kurt Kitayama: +7600
- Sepp Straka: +7600
- Nicolai Hojgaard: +8000
- J.J. Spaun: +8000
- Daniel Berger: +8000
- Tom Hoge: +8000
- Michael Thorbjornsen: +8200
- Emiliano Grillo: +8200
- Xander Schauffele: +8200
- Si Woo Kim: +8200
- Rickie Fowler: +8200
💡 How I'm betting closest ton the pin on No. 16
This is a pretty volatile betting market as we're talking about a single golf shot - on the loudest hole in golf. An unruly patron, a gust of wind, or a simple mishit could undo the best process in handicapping this pick.
But the long odds justify the unpredictability, and we're here for fun. I'm locking in on proximity to the pin on approaches from 150-175 yards and birdie-or-better percentage from the same distance.
My pick for closest to the pin on No. 16: Sam Burns (+9600)
Burns ranks third on the PGA Tour with an average proximity of 19-feet-1 on approaches from 150-175 yards this season. Though he's had just five such attempts (including from the fairway and rough), he was 65th last season as well at 27-feet-5.
Burns has also made two birdies out of nine holes where he approached the green from 150-175 yards. That 22.22% birdie-or-better percentage is good enough to rank 38th on Tour early in the season. As a bonus, Burns is fourth on Tour this season in par-3 scoring average, and he ranked 37th last season in the same metric.
🎉 More props for No. 16
Additional 16th hole specials at DraftKings this week are:
- Numbers of birdies or better in Round 1 - Odds for the Over range from 12.5 (-500) to 25.5 (+1000)
- Tournament birdies or better - Odds for the Over range from 79.5 (-420) to 115.5 (+1150)
- Total greens in regulation in Round 1 - Odds for the Over range from 98.5 (+600) to 101.5 (+1000)
⛳ WM Phoenix Open tournament info
- Where: TPC Scottsdale (Scottsdale, Ariz.)
- When: Thursday, Feb. 5 - Sunday, Feb. 8
- Field: 123
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+240 via BetMGM)
- Defending champion: Thomas Detry
- Purse: $9.6 million
- FedEx Cup points: 500
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