Canadian Open Odds & Picks to Win 2025: McIlroy Favored to Win at TPC Toronto
Rory McIlroy (+450) remains this week's golf betting favorite by the Canadian Open odds. The two-time Canadian Open winner will look to regain his title following Robert MacIntyre's victory last year, although this year heads to a new course. The action will get underway at TPC Toronto in Caledon, Ontario, on Thursday at 6:45 a.m. ET.
Read on for our breakdown of this week's PGA Tour odds and an AI pick to win the Canadian Open.
📊 PGA Tour odds this week: 2025 Canadian Open
Our live Canadian Open odds will update in real time based on the odds from our best sports betting sites to help with your golf picks.
🏌️ Who's favored to win the Canadian Open?
Rory McIlroy
Best odds: +450 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $45) | Implied win probability: 18.18%
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McIlroy won the Canadian Open (unofficially) back-to-back in 2019 and 2022, around a two-year hiatus due to the COVID-19 pandemic. In so doing, he became the unofficial face of this tournament, at least until Nick Taylor's playoff victory two years ago.
The 2025 Masters champion finished T-47 in the PGA Championship following a T-7 in the Truist Championship and will play just his third individual tournament since his breakthrough major championship.
He's among the top betting favorites by next week's U.S. Open odds and will use this as a final tune-up without nearly the same level of pressure. A winning $10 bet would return a profit of $45, and those winnings would hedge against any additional outright bets at higher odds.
🤖 Canadian Open AI prediction
I asked ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, for its best pick to win the Canadian Open. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor and should be used only to gather additional information and insights.
Corey Conners (+1900 via DraftKings)
🏌️ Why Conners is a smart pick
- Top-tier ball striking: Conners ranks among the top five on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approach and greens in regulation. His elite iron play is a perfect fit for TPC Toronto’s precision-based North Course
- Home advantage: As a Canadian, Conners will have massive crowd support and deep familiarity with local conditions. He's publicly stated how much this event means to him
- Course compatibility: TPC Toronto’s layout rewards accuracy and control, both of which are Conners’ strengths. He has quietly performed well at similar setups like Harbour Town
🧠 Value assessment
At +1900, Conners isn’t a deep sleeper, but he offers excellent value compared to McIlroy (+450), who faces immense expectations and pressure. The combination of recent form, course fit, and motivation makes Conners a high-upside play.
⛳ Course details: TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
- Par: 70
- Yardage: 6,966 yards
- Style: Parkland layout with strategic bunkering and undulating greens .
The course is expected to challenge players with its precision demands, favoring those with strong approach play and putting skills.
⛳ 2025 Canadian Open info
- Where: TPC Toronto (Caledon, Ontario)
- When: Thursday, June 5 - Sunday, June 8
- Field: 156
- Favorite: Rory McIlroy (+450 via BetMGM)
- Defending champion: Robert MacIntyre
- Purse: $9.8 million
- FedEx Cup points: 500
🕕 Tee time insights
The first golfers hit the course at 6:45 a.m. ET.
Justin Lower, Nicolai Hojgaard, and Dylan Wu set out on the first tee. Beau Hossler, Henrik Norlander, and Roger Sloan start out on the back nine.
Favorite Rory McIlroy sets out at 7:40 a.m. ET. His trio sets out on No. 10 with Ludvig Aberg (second-shortest odds, +1400) and Luke Clanton (+5000) making his PGA Tour pro debut.
💰 Canadian Open betting history
Here are the recent winners of the Canadian Open:
| Year | Winner | Score to par | Odds (prior to Round 1) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Robert MacIntyre | -16 | +8000 |
| 2023 | Nick Taylor | -17 (playoff) | +6000 |
| 2022 | Rory McIlroy | -19 | +900 |
| 2021 | Canceled | - | - |
| 2020 | Canceled | - | - |
| 2019 | Rory McIlroy | -22 | +1000 |
| 2018 | Dustin Johnson | -23 | +550 |
| 2017 | Jhonattan Vegas | -21 (playoff) | Field (+240) |
| 2016 | Jhonattan Vegas | -12 | +8000 |
| 2015 | Jason Day | -17 | +800 |
Historical odds via GolfOdds.com.
❓ How to bet on golf
When it comes to golf betting, it's essential to understand the various types of wagers available and how to assess player performance effectively.
- Outright winners
- Each-way bets (which encompass both a win and a top finish)
- Head-to-head matchups
- Proposition bets tailored to specific tournament events, like hole-in-one occurrences or player performances on designated holes
Delve into player statistics, recent tournament performances, course history, and any injuries or changes in form that may impact a player's chances of success.
⛳ Golf betting odds pages
| Masters Odds | PGA Championship Odds | U.S. Open Odds |
| British Open Odds | WM Phoenix Open Odds | Players Championship Odds |
| FedEx Cup Odds | Ryder Cup Odds | TGL odds |
🏌️Here are the best golf betting sites for the 2025 Canadian Open
Looking to bet on the Canadian Open? Here are the top-rated best golf betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with the best sportsbook promos ahead of Thursday's first round at TPC Toronto:
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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
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