3M Open Picks, Odds & Favorites: Sam Burns the Favorite to Win at TPC Twin Cities

Last Updated: July 22, 2025 7:36 AM EDT β’ 4 minute read X Social Google News Link

We're breaking down this week's PGA Tour betting odds with Sam Burns as the favorite to win with +1800 3M Open odds for the event at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn. Those betting odds represent an implied win probability of 5.26% in the 156-man field following the year's final major. A winning $10 bet on Burns would fetch a $180 profit, but bettors should note that Jhonattan Vegas won this event with +8000 long-shot odds a year ago.
The pressure is now on for the FedEx Cup Playoffs, as those will begin in just two weeks. Scottie Scheffler built on his lead as the consensus favorite by the FedEx Cup odds with his commanding win last week.
Read on for my best 3M Open picks as we target PGA Tour long shots this week.
π PGA Tour odds this week: 3M Open outright odds 2025
Our live 3M Open odds will update in real time based on the odds from our best sports betting sites to help with your golf picks.
π 3M Open betting pick to win 2025
Jake Knapp to win the 3M Open

π Best odds: +4000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $400) | Implied win probability: 2.44%
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
I'm not interested in betting on anyone with odds lower than Knapp's +4000 this week, with a winning $10 bet returning a profit of $400.
Knapp begins the week at No. 85 in the OWGR after narrowly missing out on playing the British Open. He tied for 22nd in the Scottish Open two weeks ago with a disappointing final round. He returned from Scotland last week and won't face the travel fatigue of many of this week's top contenders.
Knapp withdrew from this event after three rounds last year, but his driving distance and hot putter stand out in this field.
ποΈ Who's the favorite to win the 3M Open?
Sam Burns 3M Open odds to win 2025
π Best odds: +1800 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $180) | Implied win probability: 5.26%
Burns enters this week at No. 22 in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) following a T-45 finish in the British Open. He hasn't missed a cut since before the Masters but hasn't won since March 2023.
Burns made the cut each of the three times he's played this event, including a T-12 finish last year. His putter was a strength a year ago and his length off the tee has been an advantage for him at TPC Twin Cities.
However, based on the long-shot odds of the past winners of this event, I'll be passing on Burns at +1600 odds to win the 3M Open. The American spent the past two weeks in Scotland and Northern Ireland, and I'd rather focus on golfers who didn't need to travel across the Atlantic this week.
β³ 3M Open tournament info 2025
- Where: TPC Twin Cities (Blaine, Minn.)
- When: Thursday, July 24 - Sunday, July 27
- How to watch: Golf Channel and CBS (Saturday and Sunday only)
- Field: 156
- Favorite: Sam Burns (+1800 via DraftKings)
- Defending champion: Jhonattan Vegas
- Purse: $8.4 million
- FedEx Cup points: 500
π° 3M Open betting history
Here are the recent winners of the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities:
Year | Winner | Score to par | Odds (prior to Round 1) |
---|---|---|---|
2024 | Jhonattan Vegas | -17 | +8000 |
2023 | Lee Hodges | -24 | +8000 |
2022 | Tony Finau | -17 | +1400 |
2021 | Cameron Champ | -15 | +12500 |
2020 | Michael Thompson | -19 | +12500 |
2019 | Matthew Wolff | -21 | +12500 |
Historical odds via GolfOdds.com.
β How to bet on golf
When it comes to golf betting, it's essential to understand the various types of wagers available at our best golf betting sites and how to assess player performance effectively.
- Outright winners
- Each-way bets (which encompass both a win and a top finish)
- Head-to-head matchups
- Proposition bets tailored to specific tournament events, like hole-in-one occurrences or player performances on designated holes
Delve into player statistics, recent tournament performances, course history, and any injuries or changes in form that may impact a player's chances of success.
β³ Golf betting odds pages
Masters Odds | PGA Championship Odds | U.S. Open Odds |
British Open Odds | WM Phoenix Open Odds | Players Championship Odds |
FedEx Cup Odds | Ryder Cup Odds | TGL odds |
ποΈHere are the best golf betting sites for the 2025 3M Open
Looking to bet on the 3M Open? Here are the top-rated best golf betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with the best sportsbook promos ahead of Thursday's first round at TPC Twin Cities:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Esten McLaren X social