UNLV vs. Utah State Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 7

Utah State could be in for a world of hurt against a UNLV team that has scored 100 points in the last two weeks.

Last updated: October 10, 2024 6:03 PM EDT • 4 min read

UNLV Rebels head coach Barry Odom reacts during the second half against the Kansas Jayhawks as we offer our UNLV vs. Utah State prediction. — UNLV Rebels head coach Barry Odom reacts during the second half against the Kansas Jayhawks. Photo by Jay Biggerstaff via Imagn Images

After UNLV’s high-profile QB change to Hajj-Malik Williams following Matthew Sluka’s abrupt departure over an NIL dispute, the offense hasn’t missed a beat, scoring 100 points in the last two weeks.

Our UNLV vs. Utah State prediction, part of our Week 7 college football predictions, envisions the Rebels continuing to pour on the points on Friday night as they look to avenge last Saturday’s overtime loss to Syracuse.

The 4-1 Rebels are 18.5-point favorites at FanDuel.

Best UNLV vs. Utah State picks

College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.

Against the spread pick: UNLV -18.5 (-110 via FanDuel) vs. Utah State ⭐⭐⭐⭐
My best bet: Over 65.5 (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

UNLV vs. Utah State against the spread prediction: Week 7

UNLV to cover the spread: - 18.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

UNLV vs. Utah State opening odds:

UNLV: -18.5 (-110)
Utah State: +18.5 (-110)

UNLV will look to unleash some frustration after last week’s overtime loss against Syracuse likely took them out of the running for a bid into the College Football Playoff.

While the 18.5-point spread is large, it’s not been an uncommon margin of victory for UNLV, which has earned three of its four wins by 20 or more points.

Metrics love ‘em, bettors love ‘em

The Rebels are darlings of metrics, as ESPN’s Football Power Index ranks UNLV 13th in the nation in overall adjusted efficiency. Utah State ranks 125th in the metric, a sign of a potential lopsided affair despite it coming on the road for the Rebs.

Backing the Rebels has been a fruitful endeavor for bettors, with UNLV posting a 4-1 record against the spread. UNLV has the highest average margin against the spread in the country at +17.3.

Utah State is 1-4 ATS with an average margin of victory of -18.2.

Caesars and bet365 have moved this line to UNLV -19, while DraftKings has it a full point higher than FanDuel at -19.5. With standard -110 odds on an 18.5-point spread, FanDuel is the best spot to back the Rebels.

Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%

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UNLV vs. Utah State best bet

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Over 65.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Two Offenses that can move the ball down the field are coupled with defenses that can't stop anybody, making for an idyll Over play. Utah State ranks 132nd out of 134 FBS teams in opposing scoring average, allowing an unholy 48.3 points per game.

That could present scoring opportunities aplenty for a UNLV offense averaging 50 points per contest in the two games with Williams behind center.

Get it and go

While Utah State isn’t nearly as efficient offensively, they will contribute to this total because they waste little time and play a high-tempo style.

Utah State ranks 8th in pace on offense, averaging just 22.2 seconds per play.

UNLV and Utah State have gone 3-2 on Overs this season. After opening at 64.5, the total sits at 66.5 across all of our best sports betting sites except for Caesars, where you can still bet this Over at 65.5 with reasonable -115 odds.

Best odds: -115 via Caesars | Implied probability: 53.49%

UNLV vs. Utah State odds

See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.

UNLV vs. Utah State game info

When: Friday, Oct. 11
Kickoff: 9:00 p.m. ET
Where: Maverik Stadium (Logan, Utah)
How to watch: CBS Sports Network
Weather: 72 degrees, 10% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph S
Favorite: UNLV -18.5 (-110 via FanDuel)

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Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer

Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target NFL player prop markets as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.