Tulane vs. Memphis Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 7: Can Battle-Tested Tigers Produce Upset?

Check out our Tulane vs. Memphis prediction for their Week 7 college football matchup based on the best NCAAF odds.
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To help you get ready for the first game of Friday's college football tripleheader, our Tulane vs. Memphis prediction is based on the best college football odds and examines the battle-tested nature of the Tigers.

Tulane, with a 4-1 record, has launched this season impressively after its remarkable Cotton Bowl run last year. However, the Green Wave are about to encounter a challenging road environment in Memphis on Friday night, unlike any they've faced so far this season.

On the other hand, Memphis, also boasting a 4-1 record, has an opportunity to showcase its ability on a national platform, having performed admirably in consecutive high-caliber contests.

This matchup carries significant implications for the American Athletic Conference, making it a game worthy of our attention.

To help round out our college football predictions for Week 7 and our college football best bets, here is our best Tulane vs. Memphis prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Tulane vs. Memphis prediction 

Memphis +4.5 (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In Tulane’s only road game so far this year, the Green Wave beat one of the worst teams in the country (Southern Miss) by a score of 21-3. While that represented a cover on the point spread, it’s not indicative of the kind of environment or caliber of opponent that Tulane will face on Friday night in Memphis. 

The overall makeup doesn’t stand out for Memphis, who ranks near the middle of the FBS table in adjusted efficiency on both offense and defense. But the resume is notable. Within their last two games, the Tigers took Missouri down to the wire in a neutral-site contest and knocked off Boise State on the blue turf up in Idaho. This is a team that has been tested early and has responded favorably to those tests.

Memphis sits inside the FBS top 50 in total offense, averaging 411 yards per game. Piercing through the heart of Tulane’s 24th-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency could be a difficult — but then again, when has that Tulane defense had to face any sort of resistance to this point?

Aside from getting drubbed at home by a quality Ole Miss offense, Tulane hasn’t faced a noteworthy opposing offense, and certainly not on the road. Memphis will have the home environment and recent experience on its side.

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Tulane vs. Memphis best odds

Memphis +4.5 (-108)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars bet365
Memphis +4.5 Memphis +4.5 Memphis +4.5 Memphis +4.5 Memphis +4.5
-110 -108 -110 -110 -110

Aside from FanDuel, we’re seeing Memphis +4.5 at -110 odds across the board at our best sports betting apps. FanDuel offers slightly more favorable odds to -108, making it the preferred location to bet Memphis on the spread.

Given that the Tigers opened at +1.5, though, we like the value on Memphis no matter where you’re getting this line. If the movement reverses back toward the opening line, we would retain Memphis as a four-star play down to +3.5, and a three-star play down to +1.5. 

Tulane vs. Memphis odds

Tulane vs. Memphis odds analysis

Tulane opened as a 1.5-point road favorite and has seen that edge increase to -4.5 across our best sports betting sites, which is a favorable movement for Memphis backers. At this time, 62% of wagers have come in on Memphis.

The total opened at a lofty 61.5 before dropping by a full touchdown to 54.5 across our best sportsbooks. As of this writing, 60% of wagers have come in on the Over, likely due to the drastic movement.

Tulane vs. Memphis game info

  • When: Friday, Oct. 13, 2023 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 78 degrees, 11 mph winds, 32% precipitation

Tulane-Memphis prediction made on 10/11/2023 at 3:00 p.m. ET.

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