Tennessee vs. Georgia Picks, Predictions College Football Week 10: SEC Supremacy at Stake

College football Week 10 picks and predictions for Saturday's SEC matchup between Tennessee and Georgia.

Henry John

Last updated: November 5, 2022 5:29 AM EDT • 4 min read

The biggest college football matchup of the season to date pits newly-crowned No. 1 Tennessee against No. 3 Georgia in Week 10. Read on for our picks and predictions for the Tennessee-Georgia SEC clash.

Tennessee (7-1 ATS, 5-3 O/U) is ranked No. 1 in the College Football Playoff rankings for the first time in program history. The Volunteers' impressive resume improved with a blowout win over Kentucky last week to help set the stage for this massive SEC showdown in Athens, GA.

Georgia (4-4 ATS, 2-6 O/U) also remains undefeated on the season as the defending national champions. The Bulldogs returned from an open date to dismantle Florida in a rivalry game last week. Georgia will enjoy a home-field advantage for a matchup that will likely determine who represents the East Division in the SEC Championship Game.

Here are our college football betting picks for the Week 10 matchup between Tennessee and Georgia (odds via BetMGM and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5 star scale).

Check out our college football best bets and all of our top picks for Week 10.

Tennessee vs. Georgia Game Info

Date: Saturday, Nov. 5, 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
Weather: 80 degrees, 100% chance of precipitation, 9-10 mph winds S

Tennessee vs. Georgia Odds

Tennessee vs. Georgia Odds Analysis

The consensus spread has held steady with the reigning champion Bulldogs favored by 9 points despite the Volunteers drawing 75% of the tickets and 65% of the handle wagered on the spread as of Saturday morning.

The Over/Under line dropped from 65.5 to 65. Sixty-seven percent of wagers account for 80% of the cash on the Over.

Tennessee vs. Georgia Picks

Tennessee vs. Georgia ATS Pick

Georgia -8 (-110) ★★

The last time that Tennessee was a heavily-backed public underdog, some egregious officiating calls swayed the outcome. Fast-forward three weeks and Tennessee is once again the apple of the public’s eye. As such, our pick will naturally be to back the defending champs as a contrarian home favorite.

The first edition of the CFP rankings rightfully put the Vols at No. 1 given the strength of their resume to date. While Georgia may not have the same high-profile wins, the Bulldogs continue to have the higher power rating of the two teams.

Aside from a tight road win over Missouri, Georgia absolutely steamrolled each of its opponents this season. Does anyone have an answer for how Tennessee will be able to stop Stetson Bennett and the UGA offense? The Volunteers rank 33rd nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and have allowed a gaudy 298.6 passing yards per game.

What makes Georgia different?

With weapons like tight end Brock Bowers and wideout Ladd McKonkey, Bennett should have little difficulty picking apart the porous Tennessee secondary. As a result, the onus will be on Heisman Trophy frontrunner Hendon Hooker and the Vols’ offense to try and keep pace. While no team has proven capable of slowing down the UT offense so far this season, Georgia could very well be the first.

The ‘Dawgs rank first in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency. In terms of yardage, Georgia ranks eighth defensively against the run and 15th against the pass. A season-ending injury to linebacker Nolan Smith looms large, but Kirby Smart has plenty of capable playmakers ready and able to fill the void.

Tennessee vs. Georgia O/U Pick

Over 65.5 (-106) ★★★

As discussed above, one has to like the outlook for Georgia offensively in this matchup. In addition to all that Tennessee’s defense leaves to be desired, it should also be noted that offensive success has been a prevalent theme for UGA this season.

The Bulldogs scored at least 42 points in five of six games against Power 5 opponents. Missouri still stands as the only team to hold Georgia under the 30-point mark all season. Not only are the Tigers the best defensive team that UGA has faced to date, but their adjusted efficiency ranking of 12th is much better than where Tennessee sits to this point.

Much like people underestimated Missouri’s defense, they also fail to recognize that Georgia is no longer a ground-and-pound team offensively. In fact, the Bulldogs come in ranked one spot behind Tennessee for the most passing yards per game. The 2022 Georgia Bulldogs have the goods to exploit the vulnerable Vols secondary.

Tennessee vs. Georgia Prop Pick

Bennett Over 293.5 passing yards (-115) ★★★★

The crazy thing about Stetson Bennett’s passing yardage prop line is that it is actually situated five yards lower than what opponents have AVERAGED against Tennessee’s defense this season. It’s certainly difficult to view the Georgia offense as a “below average” unit.

Bennett has at least 284 yards passing in six of eight games. In the games where he failed to surpass this prop line of 293.5 yards, it has largely been because Georgia was way ahead on the scoreboard.

No amount of scoring may be enough for the Bulldogs on Saturday. What’s more, the fast-paced nature of the Vols’ own offense will only lead to more possessions and plays for both sides. As such, it’s well worth betting on the former walk-on quarterback to have a big-time performance.

Where to Bet on Tennessee vs. Georgia Picks

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Tennessee-Georgia picks made 11/02/2022 at 6:01 p.m. ET.

Written By:
Henry John

Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball, and NASCAR. He counts NFL, WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.