TCU vs. Oklahoma Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 13: Sooner Passing Game Finds a Rhythm

Check out our TCU vs. Oklahoma prediction for their Week 13 college football matchup based on the best NCAAF odds.
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A loaded Friday college football card begins with TCU taking on Oklahoma and we expect the Sooners to pick up a convincing victory against the troubled Horned Frogs defense as we make our TCU vs. Oklahoma prediction based on the best college football odds.

To secure its place in the Big 12 Championship Game, Oklahoma (9-2) needs a win on Friday and some help. Will the Sooners respond to this opportunity in a home finale against a TCU (5-6) that could achieve bowl eligibility with a victory? 

As part of our Week 13 college football predictions, here is our best TCU vs. Oklahoma prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

TCU vs. Oklahoma prediction: Week 13

Oklahoma -9.5 (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Oklahoma is coming off a close shave on the road against BYU in a game in which Dillon Gabriel missed time due to injury. Brent Venables expects the QB1 to be ready to go against TCU, which could spell bad news for the Horned Frogs.

Defensively, TCU ranks worse against the pass than it does against the run. The Horned Frogs rank 100th in the FBS in passing defense, allowing a gaudy 246.7 passing yards per game to their opponents. That’s a bad matchup against an Oklahoma team that should be motivated to ensure no stone is left unturned in their longshot CFP or New Year’s Six resume-building efforts this week.

With Gabriel slinging it against a woeful secondary, Oklahoma should find enough explosive plays to cover this line in OU’s final home game as a member of the Big 12. The offense that averages over 40 points per game on the year should go out with a bang against a TCU defense that slots outside the FBS top 50 in adjusted efficiency.

The Sooners are 4-1 ATS in home games this season. They get a TCU team that has struggled against expectations on the road, going 1-3 ATS in away games. OU also benefits from a line that has actually moved in its favor at FanDuel since it opened at -10.

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TCU vs. Oklahoma best odds

FanDuel -118

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars bet365
Oklahoma -10 Oklahoma -9.5 Oklahoma -10.5 Oklahoma -10 Oklahoma -10
-112 -118 -105 -110 -110

DraftKingsCaesars and bet365 offer Oklahoma -10 with odds between -110 and -112. Those are reasonable values for OU backers at our best sports betting apps and we prefer those options above the -10.5 line being offered by BetMGM. Even the reduced -105 odds there aren’t appealing given the premium on the line that you must pay to get them.

While FanDuel offers the worst value in terms of the odds, -118 is a reasonable premium to pay to get the hook and cover in the event of a 10-point win for the Sooners.

TCU vs. Oklahoma odds

TCU vs. Oklahoma odds analysis

Despite seeing the majority of wagers on their side, Oklahoma has watched the point spread drop from -12.5 down to between -9.5 and -10.5 across our best sports betting sites this week.

The total opened at 63.5 and has remained there across some of our best sportsbooks while dipping down to 63 at others. 71% of bets have come in on Over.

TCU vs. Oklahoma game info

  • When: Friday, Nov. 24, 2023 at noon ET
  • Where: OU Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
  • How to watch: FOX
  • Weather: 46 Degrees, 11 mph Winds, 0% Precipitation

TCU-Oklahoma prediction made Wednesday at 3:40 p.m. ET.

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