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Ole Miss vs. Penn State Prediction, Pick & Odds: Peach Bowl

Philip Wood

Last Updated: December 30, 2023 12:53 PM EST • 3 min 10 sec read.

The Penn State Nittany Lions and Ole Miss Rebels square off on Saturday in the 2023 Peach Bowl, and we have you covered with our best Ole Miss vs. Penn State prediction for the Peach Bowl based on the best college football odds at the best college football betting sites.

This year's Peach Bowl features two 10-2 teams, both having incurred losses only against teams ranked in the top seven in the country. Penn State boasts the third-ranked scoring defense nationally, but the Nittany Lions will encounter a formidable challenge in Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart.

Accumulating 2,985 passing yards, 20 touchdowns, and just five interceptions, Dart has propelled the Rebels to an average of 31.4 points per game entering Saturday's matchup. The looming question: Can he decipher Penn State's defense in the 2023 Peach Bowl?

As part of our look at all college bowl game odds, here is our best Ole Miss vs. Penn State prediction and our college football picks for Saturday's Peach Bowl (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Ole Miss vs. Penn State prediction: Peach Bowl

Under 48.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

The Nittany Lions have given up more than 15 points just three times this season. Two of those performances came against the Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan Wolverines, while the other came against the Indiana Hoosiers. They’re allowing just 11.4 points per game, third-best nationally, and they’ve held five opponents to single digits.

Though Penn State is averaging 37.2 points per game, this offense has faced very few teams as well-rounded as Ole Miss. The Rebels move the ball well offensively, which will prevent the Nittany Lions from scoring a bunch of points thanks to good field position.

But for as good as Dart and the Rebels’ offense has been, they’ve faced just one top-10 scoring defense this season. In that game, they scored just 17 points against the Georgia Bulldogs. The next-best defense they faced was that of the Alabama Crimson Tide. They scored just 10 in that contest.

Both of these offenses have the potential to put a lot of points on the board, but the defenses in this matchup are simply better. The fact that oddsmakers are reluctant to move this number up despite support from the betting public is a further indication that they expect this to be a low-scoring game.

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Ole Miss vs. Penn State best odds

FanDuel (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Under 48.5Under 48.5Under 48.5Under 48.5Under 48.5
-112-110-110-110-110

All of our best sports betting sites has the total for this year's Peach Bowl listed at 48.5, and every sportsbook except for DraftKings has the price listed at -110. With DraftKings asking a little more, they’re the only sportsbook we’d avoid right now.

We’ll give the edge to FanDuel for the moment because they’re also offering Ole Miss +4.5 for -105. That’s the best price for the Rebels, and in a game that should be low-scoring, it’s worth considering a parlay with the number listed at more than a field goal.

If you’re only interested in the Under, you can wait to get in, as the public is backing the Over - which means the number is more likely to rise than fall before kickoff. It's also worth checking out our best sportsbook promos to make the most of any bonus bets with whichever book you decide.

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Ole Miss vs. Penn State odds

Ole Miss vs. Penn State odds analysis

The Nittany Lions opened as 3.5-point favorites and the spread has moved to 4.5 at each of our best sports betting apps. We aren't expecting the spread to move any further, as just 53% of bettors are backing the Nittany Lions to cover the spread in this game.

The total opened at 48.5, and it has remained there despite 60% of bettors backing the Over in this game. With both offenses ranking in the top 35 nationally, it’s not surprising to see the Over receive support. However, with how good these defenses have been this season, it makes sense that oddsmakers are reluctant to raise the total.

Peach Bowl game info

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 30 at noon ET
  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: Indoors

Ole Miss vs. Penn State prediction made Thursday at 12:31 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.