College Football Player Props & Odds Week 1: Best Prop Bets This Week

Welcome to another season of betting on college football player props from our best college football betting sites.

For those who don’t know, I chose (read: was forced by my editors) to share player props weekly throughout the 2023 campaign.

I play in multiple college football fantasy leagues, but I wasn’t sure how prop betting would go, especially with the lack of public information on this sport.

As it turned out, oddsmakers are as much in the dark as bettors. Year 1 was a success; my player props column went 54-45 for a profit of +11.58 units. I learned a lot and am excited to do this weekly column again in 2024.

I make no promises that it will be another profitable year, but hopefully, you can learn a bit from my process and find some action every weekend, starting with our college football predictions for Week 1.

College football player props for Week 1

College football odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the college football scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Josh Hoover Over 276.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) at Stanford ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Nicholas Singleton Over 57.5 rushing yards (-121 via Caesars) at West Virginia ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Parker Jenkins Over 54.5 rushing yards (-115 via bet365) vs. UNLV ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Germie Bernard Over 47.5 receiving yards (-135 via Caesars) vs. Western Kentucky ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

College football picks made Thursday; odds subject to change.

Josh Hoover Over 276.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

As explained in my favorite TCU vs. Stanford player props, I’m starting Week 1 with a passing yards prop.

This line is too low for Hoover, who took over as TCU’s starting quarterback during the back half of the 2023 season. He averaged 339.5 passing yards per game over the final six weeks, clearing this mark in five contests.

In a matchup against the worst passing defense in the Power Five last year, I’m projecting Hoover to clear 300 passing yards. If this line moves too much before kickoff, consider alternate props markets to get more profit from your bet.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

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Nicholas Singleton Over 57.5 rushing yards (-121) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

I’m buying Penn State as a post-hype sleeper, as mentioned in my initial college football championship picks in January.

New offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki should help this unit make a massive leap in 2024, specifically in the run game.

Singleton and Kaytron Allen have similar rushing props at Caesars, but the former ran for 70 yards on 13 carries against West Virginia last year. The Mountaineers’ defense ranked 103rd in the country in EPA per rush allowed.

I project both Singleton and Allen to finish with 70-plus yards, and the market agrees. This line has moved from 57.5 to 64.5 at FanDuel, so take advantage of Caesars' discount before Saturday.

Best odds: -121 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.75%

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Parker Jenkins Over 54.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Running back Parker Jenkins is ready to take over the Houston backfield for new head coach Willie Fritz. Jenkins accumulated 464 yards and three scores on 99 carries during his first collegiate season in 2023.

But there is a path to a more significant workload, especially in Fritz’s system. Tony Mathis Jr., a transfer from West Virginia, was expected to split first-team reps before suffering a torn ACL in early August.

I don’t think oddsmakers understand Jenkins’ potential role here. I project him to clear 70 yards against UNLV and would be interested in betting on that in the alternate market. 

DraftKings is currently the only shop offering an alternate market, where a $10 bet on 70-plus rushing yards would net a $21.50 payout at +115 odds.

Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Germie Bernard Over 47.5 receiving yards (-135) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

This is one of those props that you will want to explore the alternate market before kickoff. I believe Germie Bernard, Alabama’s top receiver, will crush this total by a comfortable margin against Western Kentucky. I have him projected for more than 70 yards.

Kalen DeBoer has replaced Alabama as the head coach, and we can expect him to bring his pass-happy approach, which helped Washington reach the national title game last year. It certainly doesn’t hurt that he has one of the best quarterbacks in the sport this season with Jalen Milroe leading the way.

The only concern with this prop is that the Crimson Tide should cruise to victory, but Bernard doesn’t need much volume to clear this number. If this prop is below 55 yards, it’s worth pouncing on at Caesars.

Best odds: -135 via Caesars | Implied probability: 57.45%

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