College Football Parlay Predictions, Odds Week 6 : Will Oregon State Start Slow After Top-10 Win?

We're fading an Oregon State team coming off a massive win as part of our three-leg college football parlay predictions based on the best NCAAF odds.

Mike Spector

Last Updated: October 7, 2023 10:44 AM EDT • 5 minute read

For the second week in a row, we strive to achieve a flawless 3-0 record with our three-leg college football parlay predictions for Week 6, featuring odds exceeding +500, as we continue our successful run following last week's 2-1 performance, all based on the best NCAAF odds.

This week’s college football parlay involves two Pac-12 games. One of them focuses on the first-half spread, fading a team coming off an emotional win last week, while the other features an alternate spread that gives us more cushion.

Our parlay is rounded out with a moneyline play on a virtual coin-flip game in which the underdog is being overvalued based on a big non-conference win earlier in the season.

Here are our best college football parlay predictions for Week 6 (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

College football parlay predictions: Week 6

(Odds via DraftKings)

Louisiana-Lafayette (-115) vs. Texas State ⭐⭐⭐⭐
California +4.5 first half (-112) vs. Oregon State ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Washington State +4.5 (-175) vs. UCLA ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: +530 via DraftKings

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College football parlay Week 6

Louisiana-Lafayette ML vs. Texas State (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Texas State enters on a three-game winning streak and is one of two Sun Belt teams with a point differential of plus-72 or better. However, the Bobcats are still being overvalued for their season-opening win, their first in program history against a team from a Power Five conference.

Texas State’s TJ Finley is second among all Sun Belt quarterbacks in total QBR (72.5). However, he has padded those statistics mainly over the last three weeks, when he faced an FCS opponent (Jackson State), the 28th-worst defense in the country in total defense (Southern Miss), and the worst statistical defense in the county in terms of yards per game allowed (Nevada, 511.2 YPG allowed) and passing yards per game allowed (326.2). He will face a much tougher test from a Louisiana defense that ranks in the top 35 in passing success rate allowed and EPA/pass allowed.

Finley is behind Ragin’ Cajuns quarterback Zeon Chriss (78.2) on the Total QBR list, and Chriss’ running ability is a big reason the team ranks in the top 15 in rushing success rate. We expect plenty of chunk plays from the Ragin’ Cajuns, as the Bobcats rank outside the top 120 in rushing explosiveness allowed. Thus, Texas State’s lack of ATS success will continue, as it has covered just one of its last eight October road games.

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California +4.5 first half vs. Oregon State (-112 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Oregon State is coming off a big 21-7 win over then-No. 10 Utah, which vaulted the Beavers to No. 15 in the AP poll. At one point, the Beavers held the Utes scoreless on 10 consecutive drives, but Utah has struggled all season offensively without starting quarterback Cam Rising. We have doubts that Oregon State will play at the same level defensively on the road this week, considering the last time it was on the road, it was torched for 38 points and 528 yards by Washington State.

California can find offensive success behind a veteran offensive line that ranks 17th in stuff rate and 14th in line yards.

Even in one of the Golden Bears’ two losses, they had the lead at halftime against Auburn, and we expect them to play tough for the first 30 minutes against an Oregon State team that may have a hard time refocusing in a road game after a top-10 victory.

Washington State +4.5 vs. UCLA (-128 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Washington State made a splash hire when it brought in Ben Arbuckle as its offensive coordinator. Arbuckle spent the last two seasons at Western Kentucky, and, under his tutelage, the Hilltoppers led FBS with 4,929 passing yards last season and totaled 11,001 pass yards the previous two seasons. By comparison, the next-highest was Mississippi State, with 8,964 in that span.

Cougars quarterback Cameron Ward looks very comfortable in Arbuckle’s system, throwing for 1,390 yards and a 13-0 TD-INT ratio while completing 74.6% of his passes.

Though UCLA is the only defense that has allowed fewer than 59 points this season, it has not faced a passing attack nearly as explosive as Washington State’s, as its last two FBS opponents average fewer than 183 passing yards per game.

The Cougars are 8-1 ATS in their last nine October games against non-AP-ranked teams, but we are getting even more value with this alternate spread on the other side of the key number of four.

College football parlay picks made 10/3/2023 at 4:27 p.m. ET.

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Written by:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”