College Football Parlay Predictions, Odds Week 11: Back SEC West Favorites at Home

Last updated: November 11, 2023 2:35 PM EST • 4 min read X Social Google News Link

Our college football parlay predictions for Week 11 are rooted in the best NCAAF odds and feature a pair of SEC West home favorites as strong picks to pull off convincing victories.
Arkansas and Texas A&M, facing a challenging stretch in the SEC West this season, find themselves in a position for potential success as they head into home games in Week 11. Despite recent struggles, both teams aim to turn their fortunes around on their home turf, seeking to secure crucial victories that could potentially alter the trajectory of their respective seasons. The upcoming games offer an opportunity for redemption and a chance to rejuvenate their campaigns in the competitive SEC West.
We're also returning to a bet that the high-scoring USC Trojans have successfully cashed 90% of the time this year.
To accompany our Week 11 college football predictions and our Week 11 upset picks, here are our best college football parlay predictions for Week 11 (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
College football parlay predictions: Week 11
(Odds via Caesars)
- Arkansas -2.5 vs. Auburn (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- USC vs. Oregon Over 74 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Texas A&M -18.5 vs. Mississippi State (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +581 via Caesars
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College football parlay Week 11
Arkansas -2.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
I don’t believe the market has caught up just yet to the motivation that Arkansas will carry into each game down the stretch of its season. Although the losses have piled up, this is a team that has played within one possession in six of its last seven games against a remarkably daunting schedule.
The Razorbacks have underperformed at home to the tune of a 1-3 ATS record, but Auburn is also 1-3 ATS in road games. Coming off an overtime win over Florida that keeps bowl eligibility alive for now, Arkansas will play its most complete game of the season on Saturday. At -2.5, the line doesn’t reflect the mismatch we could see unfold in Fayetteville.
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USC-Oregon Over 74 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
USC leads the nation in scoring average (45.5 points per game), but has one of the worst defenses in college football this season. The Trojans have allowed 40-plus points in five of their past six games and now head to Eugene to face an Oregon offense that ranks second in the country in scoring (43.3 PPG). While Oregon’s defense (15th in FBS in adjusted efficiency) could challenge the Trojan offense, USC should still be able to contribute to this total in a meaningful way.
USC games are 9-1 to the Over this year. Unless the total hits 80-plus points, I would not be caught dead betting the Under in this game. Caesars has the total down to 74, providing solid value compared to the 75-point total we’re seeing at our other best sports betting apps.
Texas A&M -18.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Mississippi State’s role in the SEC this season has been to serve as the get-right game for otherwise underperforming programs. Most recently, Auburn and Kentucky coasted to wins over the Bulldogs. Mississippi State has scored a combined 23 points over its last three contests and will face an Aggie defense that ranks 20th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency.
Jimbo Fisher’s group hasn’t elevated the way anybody expected that it should, but the talent gap between the Aggies and Bulldogs feels significant. It’s going to manifest in College Station (where A&M is 3-2 ATS) this weekend. Mississippi State is 1-2 ATS in road games this year.
Texas A&M is -18.5 at Caesars, which also offers the best line on the USC-Oregon Over to render it the best book for this parlay.
College football parlay picks made 11/09/2023 at 3:00 p.m. ET.
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