Iowa State vs. Miami Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction: Pop-Tarts Bowl

Shane Jackson makes his Iowa State vs. Miami player prop picks for the Pop-Tarts Bowl, including a Damien Martinez play.
Miami Hurricanes running back Mark Fletcher Jr. celebrates with running back Damien Martinez as we make our Iowa State vs. Miami player prop picks ahead of the Pop-Tarts Bowl.
Miami Hurricanes running back Mark Fletcher Jr. (left) celebrates with running back Damien Martinez (right). Photo by Rich Barnes-Imagn Images.

The Pop-Tarts Bowl has become one of the top postseason contests in college football, and this year’s matchup is particularly appetizing. The Iowa State Cyclones (10-3) will face the Miami Hurricanes (10-2) at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC) on Saturday from Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla.

Our Iowa State vs. Miami player props prepare you for the first non-College Football Playoff bowl game to include a pair of 10-win teams. Our best college football betting sites list the Hurricanes as 4.5-point favorites. However, the Cyclones are coming off a record season and looking to rebound from losing in the Big 12 championship.

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Iowa State vs. Miami college football player prop picks: Pop-Tarts Bowl

College football picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

  • Damien Martinez anytime touchdown scorer (-115 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Rocco Becht Under 234.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Carson Hansen Over 40.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Iowa State vs. Miami touchdown prediction

Damien Martinez anytime touchdown (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.49%

Damien Martinez opened with an anytime touchdown price of -110 for this year’s Pop-Tarts Bowl, and the line has already moved to -115 at our best sports betting sites. That’s a short price for a running back, especially when Hurricanes receiver Xavier Restrepo has the steepest value (-165) in this market.

Martinez scored nine touchdowns this season, including one in the regular-season finale against Syracuse. He has earned double-digit carries in all but one game, indicating he’s a solid part of the offensive game plan.

I think Martinez’s scoring chances are better than the 53.49% implied probability of his anytime touchdown odds.

Best Iowa State vs. Miami prop picks

Rocco Becht Under 234.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

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In his Iowa State vs. Miami prediction, Mike Spector expects the Cyclones to struggle on offense. The Hurricanes rank in the top-35 in passing success rate on the defensive side of the ball while also demonstrating the ability to get after the quarterback.

That could make life difficult for Iowa State's Rocco Becht, who threw for 214 yards in the Big 12 title game. He’s only cleared this mark once in his past four outings. This Under is a solid play at 230.5 yards or better.

Carson Hansen Over 40.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

Miami’s primary weakness on the defensive end is allowing explosive runs. That bodes well for Cyclones sophomore Carson Hansen, who has earned more of a workload down the stretch.

Hansen has recorded double-digit carries in each of his past three games. During that stretch, Hansen has finished with at least 52 yards in all three contests. And that’s with his longest run being 24 yards.

If Hansen can rip off a long run on Saturday, I like his chances of getting enough carries to clear this FanDuel prop comfortably.

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Pop-Tarts Bowl live odds & game info

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 28
  • Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Fla.)
  • How to watch: ABC
  • Weather: 79 degrees, 25% chance of precipitation, wind 9 mph ESE
  • Favorite: Miami -4.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

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