Georgia vs. Texas Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 8
The last time Texas played Georgia, Bevo charged Uga before the Longhorns beat the Bulldogs in the Sugar Bowl. Could Saturday's game have a similar outcome?
- Steve Sarkisian's team leads the college football championship odds, and Uga won't even be attending the game in Austin, which is one of many reasons I like the Longhorns in my Georgia vs. Texas prediction
- With Uga being scared to compete, the Bulldogs' College Football Playoff odds (-500) could lengthen significantly with a second loss
- After returning from injury for the Red River Rivalry last week, Quinn Ewers needs a strong showing to get back into the Heisman Trophy odds race
In the biggest game of our Week 8 college football predictions, we expect the top team in the country to roll.
Mike Spector offers his best Georgia vs. Texas player prop bets for the marquee matchup.
Best Georgia vs. Texas picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Texas -4.5 (-115 via BetMGM) vs. Georgia ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: Isaiah Bond Over 48.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Georgia vs. Texas odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Georgia vs. Texas opening odds:
- Georgia: +3.5 (-120)
- Texas: -3.5 (+100)
Georgia vs. Texas against the spread prediction: Week 8
Texas to cover the spread: -4.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%
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Every team in the SEC that actually has a shot at the College Football Playoff has been caught sleeping this season, except for one. The Longhorns remain the only undefeated program in the conference and the No. 1 team in the AP Top 25 for a reason.
Sarkisian's team is about as well-rounded as it gets and isn't just the No. 1 team by SP+, but the only one to rank top five in both offense (2nd) and defense (4th). The offense will be the key in this matchup.
While Ewers isn't perfect, he's at his best against the best - he has 18 big-time throws in eight games over the last three seasons against Top-10 opponents/Oklahoma, per PFF.
With a dominant offensive line and several NFL-level pass catchers, Ewers should be able to hang points on a Georgia defense that's just 20th in EPA per dropback. Remember, the Bulldogs just gave up 31 to a putrid Mississippi State team.
A Bowers sized hole on offense
Georgia just doesn't have a star on its offense, and for as good as Carson Beck is, he's had eight turnover-worthy plays in his last three games. That's going to be an issue against a Texas defense that's third in EPA per dropback.
Without a dynamic playmaker to lean on, Georgia's going to have trouble scoring against a defense that's allowing the fewest points per game in the country (6.3). If Texas covers for the sixth time in seven games, a $10 bet pays an $8.70 profit.
Georgia vs. Texas best bet
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Isaiah Bond Over 48.5 receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%
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After exiting the Red River Rivalry win over Oklahoma with an ankle injury, Bond is expected to play against Georgia. The Alabama transfer has been one of the biggest gets of the offseason and has gone for 51-plus yards in every game except against OU because of the injury.
Bond's been one of the most dynamic receivers in the country this season - ranking top 20 in YAC per reception (9.2) and NFL QB rating when targeted (149.0). His speed should create issues for a Georgia defense that's allowed six receivers to go Over 48.5 yards in its last three games.
The Bulldogs' top cornerbacks - Daylen Everette and Julian Humphrey - have allowed 358 yards combined in those games. If Bond can toast them too, a $10 bet pays an $8.77 profit.
Georgia vs. Texas trends & head-to-head record
| Georgia | Texas | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Straight up | 6-0 |
| 1-5 | ATS | 5-1 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-3 |
| H2H | Texas won 28-21 on Jan. 1, 2019 |
Georgia vs. Texas game info
- When: Saturday, Oct. 19
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, Texas)
- How to watch: ABC
- Weather: 82 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph SE
- Favorite: Texas -5 (-110 via bet365)
College football betting odds pages
Here are our best college football betting sites:
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- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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