Fresno State vs. Kansas Prediction, Betting Odds & Expert Picks: College Football Week 0

Kansas is a massive moneyline betting favorite in its Week 0 contest with visiting Fresno State, so where's the value?
Fresno State vs. Kansas Prediction, Betting Odds & Expert Picks: College Football Week 0
Pictured: Kansas Jayhawks head coach Lance Leipold reacts as we look at our Fresno State vs. Kansas prediction. Photo by Chris Jones-Imagn Images.

As college football makes its return, I here to make my Fresno State vs. Kansas prediction for Week 0. The action gets underway Saturday at 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX) from David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, Kan.

Kansas enters the matchup as a 13.5-point betting favorite, with the line moving between 12.5 and 14.5 at our best sports betting sites since it opened. As our college football Week 0 prediction series continues, we’ll dish out the best expert pick for Saturday’s Fresno State vs. Kansas game - including a player prop for E.J. Warner.


📊 Fresno State vs. Kansas odds: Week 0

Live updated odds from our best college football betting sites. Follow the latest college football scores for line history and matchup info.

📈 Fresno State vs. Kansas betting odds analysis

When we published our Fresno State vs. Kansas early odds writeup, Kansas was a 12.5-point betting favorite at most of our best sports betting apps. That number has since ticked up to 13.5 at several books, and those that are still hanging a 12.5 are doing so with Kansas juiced.

The initial line movement toward Fresno State from 14.5 to 12.5 may have corresponded to hype surrounding the announcement that E.J. Warner, son of Kurt Warner, would take the controls of the Fresno State offense. But as that excitement has worn off, Kansas has ticked back up to 13.5.

This spread should continue to oscillate between 12.5 and 13.5 as kickoff approaches, but it probably will not tick back over the key number of 14.


🏈 Fresno State vs. Kansas expert picks

College football picks made Friday; odds subject to change.

✅ Moneyline pick: Kansas (-500 via DraftKings) ⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Kansas -12.5 (-120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 50.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐

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🔮 Fresno State vs. Kansas prediction & best bet

🔎 Our college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best college football odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

🐈 Kansas -12.5 (-120) ⭐⭐⭐

Kansas by 12.5 was a much better bet at -110 (52.4%), but playing the -120 (54.6%) juice for it isn’t a terrible proposition. Consistency matters, especially in the early part of the year, and that’s just what the Jayhawks have. 

Kansas returns head coach Lance Leipold, and while last year’s offensive coordinator is no longer with the program, his replacement, Jim Zebrowski, was the previous quarterbacks coach and co-offensive coordinator. They’ll work with longtime Kansas quarterback Jalon Daniels.

Fresno State turns to a new head coach, Matt Entz, whose success at the FCS level was impressive. Still, Entz will have to entrust a transfer quarterback, E.J. Warner, who struggles with interceptions. Warner has led every conference in which he has played in interceptions.

Lock in the Jayhawks to win and cover for a solid $8.33 profit on a $10 bet.

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💰 Best Fresno State vs. Kansas player prop bet

🔼 E.J. Warner Over 182.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

For as much faith as we have in Kansas - and as little as we have in Fresno State’s quarterback, Warner - this total for the gunslinger’s passing yardage is too low. Warner averages 275.4 per contest through his three-year collegiate career, going over in 28 of his 32 appearances.

If Fresno State trails, as we suspect, the Bulldogs will need Warner to keep throwing. Kansas ranked 105th in passing yards allowed per game last season (249.3) and 110th in yards allowed per pass attempt (8.4). With just one transfer expected to start in the secondary, those issues could continue. I have him going over this number as part of my Fresno State vs. Kansas parlay picks and predictions, too.

A $10 bet on the -115 (53.5%) at Hard Rock nets a tidy profit of $8.70 on a $10 bet. If you’re feeling more aggressive, you can get him for 200-plus yards at +114 (46.7%) on FanDuel.

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🚑 Fresno State vs. Kansas injuries


📺 Fresno State vs. Kansas game info

  • When: Saturday, Aug. 23
  • Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium (Lawrence, Kan.)
  • How to watch: FOX

❓Fresno State vs. Kansas FAQs

Who is the favorite to win Fresno State vs. Kansas?

Kansas is a 13.5-point betting favorite per the latest odds for Saturday’s Fresno State vs. Kansas game.

How do college football spread odds work?

When betting on college football, the favorite needs to win by a certain number of points to cover the "point spread" - also known as the betting line. Conversely, the underdog needs to lose by fewer than the points displayed in the spread or win outright to cash. For example, a 3-point favorite would need to win by more than a field goal to reward bettors.

How do college football moneyline odds work?

When betting on college football, the underdog will have the "longer" odds and is typically priced at "plus-money" odds that indicate the profit on a $100 bet. For example, a team with +150 odds would turn a $100 bet into a $150 profit - or a $10 bet into a $15 profit - according to our odds converter.

Where can I find the best college football betting odds?

Shop around our best college football betting sites to find the best odds for your college football picks. Our best sports betting sites for all sports include BetMGM, bet365, Caesars, FanDuel, and DraftKings.


🏆 College football betting odds

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