Florida vs. Georgia Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 10

Can Georgia keep rolling along off its bye against a better-than-expected Florida squad?

Shane Jackson

Last updated: November 1, 2024 7:05 AM EDT • 4 min read

Florida Gators running back Cam Carroll and quarterback DJ Lagway gesture to a camera as we make our best Florida vs. Georgia prediction. — Florida Gators running back Cam Carroll and quarterback DJ Lagway gesture to a camera. Photo by: Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images.

Our Florida vs. Georgia prediction expects the Bulldogs to get back on track after their bye week.

No. 2 Georgia (6-1) has won three in a row since losing to Alabama, including a 30-15 victory over Texas on Oct. 19. Florida (4-3) has been better than expected and is coming off a 48-20 win over Kentucky.

Still, the Bulldogs are 14.5-point favorites ahead of Saturday’s matchup with the Gators at 3:30 p.m. ET in EverBank Stadium on ABC. And I’m predicting a lopsided affair in favor of Georgia as part of our college football Week 10 predictions.

Best Florida vs. Georgia picks

College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.

Against the spread pick: Georgia -14.5 (-105 via FanDuel) vs. Florida ⭐⭐⭐
My best bet: DJ Lagway Under 196.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Florida vs. Georgia against the spread prediction: Week 10

Georgia to cover the spread: -14.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐

Florida vs. Georgia opening odds:

Florida +18.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
Georgia - 18.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

Over the summer, this line was as high as 22.5 in the lookahead markets before re-opening at Georgia -18.5 earlier this week. The Bulldogs are now laying -14.5 against the Gators, indicating that bettors are taking the underdogs.

FanDuel offers the best price on Georgia with a -105 value for the spread. That means bettors could get a better deal by shopping at that book for an alternate spread, but I don’t mind laying 14.5 points in this one.

This game feels like a chance for Georgia to remind everyone why it is still one of the best teams in college football.

Bulldogs vs. freshman QB

Florida thrust true freshman quarterback DJ Lagway into action sooner than anticipated. Given the circumstances, Lagway has done an admirable job in his debut season, throwing for 1,024 yards and five touchdowns in seven games.

But a matchup against Georgia’s defense is a different kind of test. The Bulldogs have ranked 20th in defensive success rate this season, including 19th against the pass. They have posted a PFF coverage grade of 86.3 this year, making life difficult for any signal-caller.

This matchup swings too much in Georgia’s favor to not believe in Kirby Smart’s Bulldogs.

Best odds: -105 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.22%

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Florida vs. Georgia best bet

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DJ Lagway Under 196.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The market seems to agree that it could be a long day for Lagway, as his passing prop has dropped since opening at 202.5. That’s a sign that the sharper college football bettors are on this Under.

Not only is Georgia’s defense a tough matchup, but the Gators haven’t asked Lagway to do too much in his debut season. He’s averaged 15.5 passing attempts over the last two games and only had one outing where he tossed the ball more than 17 times.

Even in a negative game script, I’d be surprised to see Lagway throw enough to flirt with 200 passing yards against the Bulldogs. I project him to finish below this mark by a solid margin.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

Florida vs. Georgia odds

See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.

Florida vs. Georgia game info

When: Saturday, Nov. 2
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: EverBank Stadium (Jacksonville, Fla.)
How to watch: ABC
Weather: 79 degrees, 40% chance of precipitation, wind 12 mph E
Favorite: Georgia -14.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

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Written By:
Shane Jackson

Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.