Florida State vs. Boston College Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 3: Will Weather Impact ACC Battle?
Our Florida State vs. Boston College picks and predictions based on the best college football odds from our best sports betting apps are exactly what you need to gear up for Saturday’s all-ACC contest.
The 66 points Florida State scored against Southern Miss in Week 2 were the most in the Mike Norvell era, and the school’s highest total since scoring 77 in 2017 while head coach Jumbo Fisher was at the helm.
Boston College is 1-1 following a a disappointing 27-24 home loss to Northern Illinois in its opener and a 31-28 victory over Holy Cross last week. The mediocrity isn’t surprising after the Eagles were picked to finish 13th out of 14 teams in the ACC Preseason Poll. It's 1-1 after a disappointing 27-24 home loss to Northern Illinois and a 31-28 victory over Holy Cross.
Here is our best Florida State vs. Boston College prediction and college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Florida State vs. Boston College prediction: Week 3
Under 48.5 (-109 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Florida State is a sizeable favorite in this matchup, but sets up to be a considerable trap/letdown spot for the Seminoles. A noon kickoff in sleepy Chestnut Hill is never an easy task, and the Seminoles’ College Football Playoff hopes hang in the balance next week with a road trip at Clemson looming.
Florida State has a history of playing down to Boston College’s level in recent trips up north, winning by a combined 10 points in its last two road meetings and losing outright 35-3 in 2017 when it still finished with a winning record (7-6).
Early weather forecasts suggest Hurricane Lee's path may affect the game this weekend, with strong gusty winds added to potential precipitation. Boston College would always have trouble moving the ball against a stout Seminoles defense that held LSU to 4.2 yards per carry on 27 attempts. Eagles quarterbacks Thomas Castellanos and Emmett Morehead combined to complete just 44.7% of their passes and averaged 4.4 yards per attempt against Northern Illinois.
If winds are worse than initially expected, look for Florida State QB Jordan Travis to hand off most of the game, as he did in last year’s contest when he attempted 26 passes, while the team had 33 rushing attempts after racing to a 31-0 halftime lead. That helps mask an Eagles' D that finished last year an FBS bottom 15 in coverage and Finishing Drives, especially when facing a Seminoles' offense that scored 35-plus points in eight straight contests (college football's longest active streak).
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Florida State vs. Boston College best odds
BetRivers (-109)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.5 | 47.5 | 47.5 | 48 | 48 |
| Over (-110)/ Under (-110) | Over (-110)/ Under (-110) | Over (-110)/ Under (-110) | Over (-110)/ Under (-110) | Over (-110)/ Under (-110) |
Our best sports betting sites are split between a total of 47.5 and 48, making an easy decision for Under backers on where to shop for the best value. All shops also charge standard -110 juice on either side of the total, letting bettors worry about fewer discrepancies. This total likely changes significantly if the hurricane remnants impact the northeast.
Florida State vs. Boston College odds
Florida State vs. Boston College odds analysis
As expected with a potentially significant weather impact on the game, the total plummeted from an opening number of 55.5. Considerable changes occurred even within the last 24 hours, as the most common number found among all of our best sportsbooks was a 49.5 Over/Under. Most shops saw a steady decline in their total, while Caesars was the only one to bounce back to 48 after reaching a week-long low of 47.5.
The weather impacted the spread more than the total, as Florida State opened as more than a four-touchdown favorite (-28.5) but was more commonly found between -25.5 and -26.5. BetMGM is on the low end among our best sports betting apps at -25.5, while FanDuel and BetRivers are at the high end at -26.5. Early point spread wagers are 2/1 in Florida State's favor, suggesting the line movement is all hurricane-related.
Florida State vs. Boston College game info
- When: Saturday, Sept. 16 at noon ET
- Where: Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, MA
- How to watch: ABC
- Weather: 66 degrees, 50% chance of precipitation, 15-25 mph NNW wind
Florida State-Boston College prediction made Wednesday, 9/13/23 at 12:04 p.m. ET.
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