California vs. Oregon State Picks, Predictions College Football Week 11: Golden Bears Look to End 5-Game Skid

College football Week 11 picks and predictions California vs Oregon State on November 12.

Philip Wood

Last updated: November 9, 2022 6:11 AM EST • 3 min read

The California Golden Bears have lost five in a row, and they will now travel to Corvallis to face the Oregon State Beavers, who have lost at home just once this season. Check out our California-Oregon State picks.

In the first College Football Playoff ranking, the Beavers were ranked No. 24. However, that was short-lived, as they lost 24-21 at Washington. Two of the Beavers’ three losses this season have been on the road. They are 4-1 at home.

Meanwhile, after starting 3-1, the Golden Bears are in the midst of a five-game slide. They have lost three of the five games by one possession, including last week’s 41-35 loss at USC. Can they cover as nearly two-touchdown underdogs in Week 11?

Here are our top picks for the college football Week 11 game between California and Oregon State (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our college football Week 11 roundup, games to watch, and best against-the-spread picks.

California vs. Oregon State Game Info

Date: Saturday, Nov. 12, 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: Pac-12
Location: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
Weather: 32 degrees, 11% chance of precipitation, 4-mph winds

California vs. Oregon State Odds

California vs. Oregon State Odds Analysis

The Beavers opened as 14-point favorites, and though they are still favored by as much on DraftKings, they are only 13.5-point favorites at FanDuel Sportsbook, PointsBet, and BetMGM. On Pregame.com, 74% of the cash and 58% of tickets are backing the Golden Bears to cover.

The total opened at 49.5, and it has dropped to 49 at most of the major sportsbooks. At FanDuel, it has dropped to 48.5.

California vs. Oregon State Picks

Spread: California +14 (-110)
Over/Under: Under 49 (-110)
Prop bet: Oregon State Under 30.5 (-105)

California vs. Oregon State ATS Pick

California +14 (-115) ★★★

Despite dropping five in a row, the Golden Bears are 5-4 against the spread this season. They covered last week, losing to USC by six as 21-point underdogs. The Beavers are 7-2 ATS with both of their losses coming on the road.

However, the Beavers have eclipsed 30 points just once in their last six games, and that was against Colorado. This game should be low-scoring, with the Golden Bears allowing only three teams to score more than 30 this season, two of which were the high-powered offenses of USC and Oregon.

This spread is too big for a game that will be played in the 20s.

California vs. Oregon State O/U Pick

Under 49 (-110) ★★★★

The Beavers are allowing just 16.2 points per game in home contests this season. In their most recent two games, they have given up a combined 19 points.

On the road, the Golden Bears are averaging just 18.5 points per game, a number greatly inflated by their 35-point performance at USC last week.

Neither of these teams wants to be involved in a shootout, and though the Beavers are averaging 31.6 points per game, they have cleared that point total only once in conference play.

California vs. Oregon State Prop Pick

Oregon State Under 30.5 (-105) ★★★★

Even at home, the Beavers just do not score this many points. Their 42-9 win over Colorado was the only time they scored 30 or more in a conference game. In their other home conference games, they scored 14 and 24.

Looking past the offenses of USC and Oregon, the Golden Bears have given up 30 points in just one other game this season. That was in a blowout win over Arizona.

The Golden Bears are in the middle of a slide, but they are not playing all that badly, and their defense has actually been quite good against average-to-good offenses.

Where to Bet on California-Oregon State Picks

California-Oregon State picks made 11/09/2022 at 7:38 a.m. ET

Written By:
Philip Wood

Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.