Today's Alabama vs. Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds
A lot has changed in the last two weeks, with both Alabama and Tennessee desperately needing a victory in today's SEC tilt. The game takes place at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville.
- Heisman Trophy odds candidate Jalen Milroe should heavily influence today's game, and our Alabama vs. Tennessee prediction expects the Crimson Tide to cover as 3.5-point favorites
- The Volunteers have plummeted down the College Football Playoff odds this month, from being a minus-odds favorite to falling below the top 10
- Despite their struggles in the last two weeks, Alabama is just one of five teams with college football championship odds shorter than 10/1
The below picks are part of our Week 8 college football predictions.
Best Alabama vs. Tennessee picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Alabama -3.5 (-102 via FanDuel) vs. Tennessee ⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: Ryan Williams anytime TD scorer (+115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Alabama vs. Tennessee against the spread prediction: Week 8
Alabama to cover the spread: -3.5 (-102) ⭐⭐⭐
Alabama vs. Tennessee opening odds:
- Alabama: -1.5 (-115)
- Tennessee: +1.5 (-105)
It's funny how similar Alabama's and Tennessee's seasons have gone in October. Both programs entered the month as top-five teams in the AP top 25 before proceeding to lose to unranked SEC opponents.
Then they both followed up their upset losses by nearly losing to unranked SEC teams again. However, there's one distinct difference: Alabama's win over Georgia.
The Crimson Tide are clearly one of the most talented teams in the country and sit No. 3 in SP+ with the No. 1 offense, led by Milroe. That unit is going to be the difference in this matchup.
Milroe has the Tide ranked fourth in EPA per rush and 11th in EPA per dropback with his duel-threat ability being a game-changer, even against a loaded defense like Tennessee's. He's seventh in the country in adjusted completion rate (81%) and 12th in rushing yards after contact among QBs (229), per PFF.
Nico, I'm not a believa
With Milroe's talent, I think Alabama will be able to put up enough points to cover, while Tennessee will struggle to sustain scoring drives. The Volunteers have averaged just 20.6 points per game in SEC play.
Only one of the defenses they've faced has ranked in the top 30 in SP+, while the Crimson Tide are 19th. Alabama also ranks top 12 in both EPA per rush and dropback on defense and should be all over freshman quarterback Nico Iamaleava.
Iamaleava has been dreadful as of late with as many big-time throws as turnover-worthy plays (three) in SEC play. The QBs are the difference in this matchup, and if the Crimson Tide cover, a $10 bet pays a $9.80 profit at FanDuel.
Best odds: -102 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 50.50%
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Alabama vs. Tennessee best bet
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Ryan Williams anytime TD scorer (+115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The most talented player on the field Saturday might be a true freshman.
Williams has been unstoppable this season, which is why this prop is as short as -130, implying a 56.52% win probability. But this price at Caesars pays an $11.50 profit on a $10 winning bet.
Williams has scored in five of six games and ranks 12th in the country in receiving yards (576) and 13th in receiving TDs (six). He's also second in college football in both yards per route run (4.17) and YAC per reception (11.4).
He's a walking big play and can get after a Tennessee defense that's given up more points the last two weeks than it did over the first four games of the season.
Shane Jackson is also backing Williams to reach the end zone as part of his best Alabama vs. Tennessee player props.
Best odds: +115 via Caesars | Implied probability: 46.51%
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Alabama vs. Tennessee odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Alabama vs. Tennessee game info
- When: Saturday, Oct. 19
- Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tenn.)
- How to watch: ABC
- Weather: 70 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 1 mph NE
- Favorite: Alabama -3.5 (-105 via FanDuel)
College football betting odds pages
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- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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