Liking Tipsy to Beat Ferrer

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  • PharaohUB
    SBR MVP
    • 01-23-07
    • 4865

    #36
    Originally posted by iifold
    great tennis...
    Now this is tennis. Not that Isner bullshit
    Comment
    • Trigger7672
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-24-12
      • 103

      #37
      Wow Tip hitting some incredible shots.
      Comment
      • iifold
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-25-10
        • 11111

        #38
        Comment
        • MrGambler
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-04-10
          • 973

          #39
          Originally posted by MeatWad
          Interesting match, Tipsarevic does have a slight power advantage, more aces and mph on serves. But both are groundstrokers and neither is overpowering or rely on power tennis to win matches.

          Not sure if this match is bettable, but I think Ferrer has a significant edge. His style makes him very underrated. He is unexploitable, supremely conditioned and is a master at sequencing groundstroke rallies to a position where he has an advantage, generally relying on his forehand to finish the point.

          He has played the big 4 frequently and better than anyone, many of his loses this year are to these elite players 7 out of 11 loses to the Big 4 this year. Once he gets past the first round of a tournament he either loses to the big 4 or wins the championchip as he has 5 titles this year.

          He has a better record overall record and on hardcourts than Tip this year. While Ferrer never wows you, I expect him to grind out another win here. In meaningful matches his form has been too good recently, unless you name is Murray, Nadal, Djoker, or Federrer he seldom loses. About the only blemish recently was his loss to Kei Nishi.... at the Olympics and the best of 5 set format suits his conditioning perfectly. He is better rested for this one as well.

          He is cleanly the 5th best player in the world, has beaten and played tougher opponents than Tips this year, he pushed Murray hard in the semi's at Wimbledon. He is soo consistent in these big events and soo hard to beat unless you have the vicious power and angled ground strokes of the big 4.

          I will probably pass unless I can find Ferrer closer to -200. I may wake up and bet this one though. Just too hard not to recognize how well Ferrer plays. I cannot see what Tips would do to beat him. Basically ferrer either tanks a tounrney in the first round(rare) or goes until he meets one of the elites and always plays a game match. His record against non top 4 players in major tournaments is ridiculously good, while Tips has alot more less quality losses blemishing his record. Tips lost to Gasquet I believe in straights at the Australian hard courts, who Ferrer has handled relatively easy a couple of times this year including his last match. Not much recent history between these two, think ferrer is 2-1 overall 1-0 on hard, but they haven't met in years.

          Bla bla bla bla bla....i guess this is not the case tonight
          Comment
          • Goat Milk
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-24-10
            • 25850

            #40
            Originally posted by MrGambler
            Bla bla bla bla bla....i guess this is not the case tonight
            i heard enough out of you rookie. hit the fukkin road
            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
            Comment
            • Linngari
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-28-12
              • 213

              #41
              Many people tipped a 5 setter. Lets go ferrer!
              Comment
              • MeatWad
                SBR MVP
                • 01-18-12
                • 1572

                #42
                Originally posted by MrGambler
                Bla bla bla bla bla....i guess this is not the case tonight
                Just an analysis, I never even declared a bet.
                Comment
                • Linngari
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 03-28-12
                  • 213

                  #43
                  Originally posted by MrGambler
                  Bla bla bla bla bla....i guess this is not the case tonight
                  Sore loser. Giving up early. Ferrer can still do this, he's a fighter
                  Comment
                  • MrGambler
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-04-10
                    • 973

                    #44
                    Originally posted by MeatWad
                    Just an analysis, I never even declared a bet.
                    of course u didnt. My bad. Sorry
                    Comment
                    • MrGambler
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-04-10
                      • 973

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                      i heard enough out of you rookie. hit the fukkin road
                      and whats your problem. Its a forum dork!
                      Comment
                      • MeatWad
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-18-12
                        • 1572

                        #46
                        Ferrer definitely doesn't mind going 5 sets for sure. He usually doesn't drop off at all, but damn Tipsy is playing the tennis of his life. Master technicians. Be interesting to see how Ferrer responds first few games of the new set.
                        Comment
                        • Linngari
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-28-12
                          • 213

                          #47
                          So important for Ferrer to win the first game. Now its time for a break. This will go 5
                          Comment
                          • MeatWad
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-18-12
                            • 1572

                            #48
                            Originally posted by MrGambler
                            and whats your problem. Its a forum dork!
                            Could you at least specify what I wrote was inaccurate or does not apply to today. You can at least be critical of specific points I made.

                            I definitely underestimated Tipsy's form based on his inferior track record and pedigree. But Ferrer is not a quitter and probably doesn't mind a 5 setter as much as anyone on tour.
                            Comment
                            • xstud
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-12-08
                              • 1643

                              #49
                              Match of the tourney so far. Tipsy in beast mode.
                              Comment
                              • Snowball
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 11-15-09
                                • 30057

                                #50
                                took Ferrer +145
                                Comment
                                • MrGambler
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-04-10
                                  • 973

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by MeatWad
                                  Could you at least specify what I wrote was inaccurate or does not apply to today. You can at least be critical of specific points I made.

                                  I definitely underestimated Tipsy's form based on his inferior track record and pedigree. But Ferrer is not a quitter and probably doesn't mind a 5 setter as much as anyone on tour.
                                  That was not an answer to your post but to Goat Milk.
                                  Comment
                                  • MeatWad
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-18-12
                                    • 1572

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Snowball
                                    took Ferrer +145
                                    Me 2, just bet it. Didn't wake up or I probably would have bet Ferrer prematch. I doubt there is anyone whose game stays soo strong 3 hours into a match. If he wins this set, we are a huge favorite.
                                    Comment
                                    • face
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-31-11
                                      • 14740

                                      #53
                                      me too
                                      Comment
                                      • MeatWad
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-18-12
                                        • 1572

                                        #54
                                        Lets get this in 5!
                                        Comment
                                        • MUHerd37
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-23-09
                                          • 12816

                                          #55
                                          Ferrer never gives up!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Linngari
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-28-12
                                            • 213

                                            #56
                                            Great game. Lets go Ferrer! Gamesmanship going on now with his 'foot injury'
                                            Comment
                                            • MeatWad
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-18-12
                                              • 1572

                                              #57
                                              Odds about where they were at prematch after Ferrer's break. Definitely seems like Ferrer backers have the momentum and the best conditioned player in the business. He is like a bottle of Bordeaux, gets better with time.
                                              Comment
                                              • Linngari
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 03-28-12
                                                • 213

                                                #58
                                                Ferrer used to be a brick-layer in Spain. Pretty crazy turnaround
                                                Comment
                                                • MeatWad
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-18-12
                                                  • 1572

                                                  #59
                                                  Tipsy is done! Stalling, winded, and getting pushed around the court side to side.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #60
                                                    Tipsarevic is about out of gas. He's going to need his serve to be balls-on accurate. The rallies I think have worn him down quite a bit. He's taking a lot more time between points.

                                                    I would venture to say if he [Tipsarevic] holds serve, you will see Ferrer winning a few love service games or Tipsarevic winning one point at most and trying to conserve energy for his serves.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #61
                                                      Tipsarevic is playing smart. Going for more big shots over long rallies on Ferrer's serve at least.

                                                      God damn this is a great match.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #62
                                                        Breaker Breaker to the Serb! Tremendous guts for him to keep grinding. Damn, don't blow it dude.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #63
                                                          Consolidates the break. 3-0. Quiet in here. Everyone disappear?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #64
                                                            Holy shit. Tipsarevic has got the best four-five points of the tournament today.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mikail
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-19-09
                                                              • 21689

                                                              #65
                                                              TIPSY!!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dmoneytx
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-09-12
                                                                • 6450

                                                                #66
                                                                Just my luck to have Ferrer & he is losing a 5 set match...... I have seen him win so many 5 setters. If he doesn't break next Tips serve, it's over.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Oh damn. Hope he didn't fukk up an ankle there.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • xstud
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-12-08
                                                                    • 1643

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Tipsy blew a tire fukkkkkkk
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Man whomever survives this is probably going to get raped in the semis tomorrow unless Djokovic-Delpo go 4-5 grueling sets tonight. Hard to imagine either of these guys having much in the tank after this, even if they are fit as fukkk.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Dmoneytx
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-09-12
                                                                        • 6450

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Is Tips hurt???? I'm not watching it.......
                                                                        Comment
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