Liking Tipsy to Beat Ferrer

[PharaohUB]

great tennis...

Now this is tennis. Not that Isner bullshit

[Trigger7672]

Wow Tip hitting some incredible shots.

[iifold]

[MrGambler]

Interesting match, Tipsarevic does have a slight power advantage, more aces and mph on serves. But both are groundstrokers and neither is overpowering or rely on power tennis to win matches.

Not sure if this match is bettable, but I think Ferrer has a significant edge. His style makes him very underrated. He is unexploitable, supremely conditioned and is a master at sequencing groundstroke rallies to a position where he has an advantage, generally relying on his forehand to finish the point.

He has played the big 4 frequently and better than anyone, many of his loses this year are to these elite players 7 out of 11 loses to the Big 4 this year. Once he gets past the first round of a tournament he either loses to the big 4 or wins the championchip as he has 5 titles this year.

He has a better record overall record and on hardcourts than Tip this year. While Ferrer never wows you, I expect him to grind out another win here. In meaningful matches his form has been too good recently, unless you name is Murray, Nadal, Djoker, or Federrer he seldom loses. About the only blemish recently was his loss to Kei Nishi.... at the Olympics and the best of 5 set format suits his conditioning perfectly. He is better rested for this one as well.

He is cleanly the 5th best player in the world, has beaten and played tougher opponents than Tips this year, he pushed Murray hard in the semi's at Wimbledon. He is soo consistent in these big events and soo hard to beat unless you have the vicious power and angled ground strokes of the big 4.

I will probably pass unless I can find Ferrer closer to -200. I may wake up and bet this one though. Just too hard not to recognize how well Ferrer plays. I cannot see what Tips would do to beat him. Basically ferrer either tanks a tounrney in the first round(rare) or goes until he meets one of the elites and always plays a game match. His record against non top 4 players in major tournaments is ridiculously good, while Tips has alot more less quality losses blemishing his record. Tips lost to Gasquet I believe in straights at the Australian hard courts, who Ferrer has handled relatively easy a couple of times this year including his last match. Not much recent history between these two, think ferrer is 2-1 overall 1-0 on hard, but they haven't met in years.

Bla bla bla bla bla....i guess this is not the case tonight

[Goat Milk]

Bla bla bla bla bla....i guess this is not the case tonight

i heard enough out of you rookie. hit the fukkin road

[Linngari]

Many people tipped a 5 setter. Lets go ferrer!

[MeatWad]

Bla bla bla bla bla....i guess this is not the case tonight

Just an analysis, I never even declared a bet.

[Linngari]

Bla bla bla bla bla....i guess this is not the case tonight

Sore loser. Giving up early. Ferrer can still do this, he's a fighter

[MrGambler]

Just an analysis, I never even declared a bet.

of course u didnt. My bad. Sorry

[MrGambler]

i heard enough out of you rookie. hit the fukkin road

and whats your problem. Its a forum dork!

[MeatWad]

Ferrer definitely doesn't mind going 5 sets for sure. He usually doesn't drop off at all, but damn Tipsy is playing the tennis of his life. Master technicians. Be interesting to see how Ferrer responds first few games of the new set.

[Linngari]

So important for Ferrer to win the first game. Now its time for a break. This will go 5

[MeatWad]

and whats your problem. Its a forum dork!

Could you at least specify what I wrote was inaccurate or does not apply to today. You can at least be critical of specific points I made.

I definitely underestimated Tipsy's form based on his inferior track record and pedigree. But Ferrer is not a quitter and probably doesn't mind a 5 setter as much as anyone on tour.

[xstud]

Match of the tourney so far. Tipsy in beast mode.

[Snowball]

took Ferrer +145

[MrGambler]

Could you at least specify what I wrote was inaccurate or does not apply to today. You can at least be critical of specific points I made.

I definitely underestimated Tipsy's form based on his inferior track record and pedigree. But Ferrer is not a quitter and probably doesn't mind a 5 setter as much as anyone on tour.

That was not an answer to your post but to Goat Milk.

[MeatWad]

took Ferrer +145

Me 2, just bet it. Didn't wake up or I probably would have bet Ferrer prematch. I doubt there is anyone whose game stays soo strong 3 hours into a match. If he wins this set, we are a huge favorite.

[face]

me too

[MeatWad]

Lets get this in 5!

[MUHerd37]

Ferrer never gives up!!!

[Linngari]

Great game. Lets go Ferrer! Gamesmanship going on now with his 'foot injury'

[MeatWad]

Odds about where they were at prematch after Ferrer's break. Definitely seems like Ferrer backers have the momentum and the best conditioned player in the business. He is like a bottle of Bordeaux, gets better with time.

[Linngari]

Ferrer used to be a brick-layer in Spain. Pretty crazy turnaround

[MeatWad]

Tipsy is done! Stalling, winded, and getting pushed around the court side to side.

[EaglesPhan36]

Tipsarevic is about out of gas. He's going to need his serve to be balls-on accurate. The rallies I think have worn him down quite a bit. He's taking a lot more time between points.

I would venture to say if he [Tipsarevic] holds serve, you will see Ferrer winning a few love service games or Tipsarevic winning one point at most and trying to conserve energy for his serves.

[EaglesPhan36]

Tipsarevic is playing smart. Going for more big shots over long rallies on Ferrer's serve at least.

God damn this is a great match.

[EaglesPhan36]

Breaker Breaker to the Serb! Tremendous guts for him to keep grinding. Damn, don't blow it dude.

[EaglesPhan36]

Consolidates the break. 3-0. Quiet in here. Everyone disappear?

[EaglesPhan36]

Holy shit. Tipsarevic has got the best four-five points of the tournament today.

[Mikail]

TIPSY!!!

[Dmoneytx]

Just my luck to have Ferrer & he is losing a 5 set match...... I have seen him win so many 5 setters. If he doesn't break next Tips serve, it's over.

[EaglesPhan36]

Oh damn. Hope he didn't fukk up an ankle there.

[xstud]

Tipsy blew a tire fukkkkkkk

[EaglesPhan36]

Man whomever survives this is probably going to get raped in the semis tomorrow unless Djokovic-Delpo go 4-5 grueling sets tonight. Hard to imagine either of these guys having much in the tank after this, even if they are fit as fukkk.

[Dmoneytx]

Is Tips hurt???? I'm not watching it.......