LF Tennis Predictions (2012)

[loufunk]

I think things are simple:
- if you like my picks, please take them when I publish them; if you don't like, skip
- if you want analysis, go to threads that write long pamplhets. My Rating just sums up all to give me a winner.
- I was asked to create a thread to post all my picks, I don't say I'm the best or bla bla, I publish my picks and that's it.
- if you don't like, just skip
- if you don't believe my picks, skip

No one tells you you MUST follow my picks, is it correct?


LUCK: SENECA says that LUCK is "only" skills that meet opportunity

[jbart28]

Hajek just WON

[hougigo]

Hajek just WON

I put down on him before I came in... happy he got it done.

Hajek and Dmitrov are winners!

[Altarath]

Keep up the good work Lou!

[TheBeastMode]

I should have known better when my almagro line dropped to -4 even

[jimm246]

[ATTACH]44506[/ATTACH] Keep up the good work Lou!

Good one Jan Hajek.

[crashera]

I should have known better when my almagro line dropped to -4 even

i think max -2.5 for the win

[loufunk]

Torunament: Palermo
Match: Cabeza Candela vs Begu
Pick: Begu -4.5 games
Odd: 1.92
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Cabeza Candela 115.77
Begu 121.14

[hougigo]

What do you think on the Dolgo line movement?
I didn't noticed till somebody made a thread that it dropped down pretty low

[loufunk]

What do you think on the Dolgo line movement?
I didn't noticed till somebody made a thread that it dropped down pretty low

It's one of the match I'm analyzing.. later I will see something to do

[Hangoverblack]

You best be sarcastic here! Dmoneytx knows his shit, but also balances a super busy outside life as well! and hes not always on guys that huge favorites. if your reading on some of his other post, he does break down alot of games. do some reserch befor u open your mouth!

Wow. I'm not this defensive of my wife! And we've been happily married for over a decade.

Remarkable how one poster will come to the defense of another poster. And so close in time in posts too.

I reserve that kind of love for..... Me. I love me. Good to know that others are so outward and protective here though. DMoney you are one lucky dude!

[loufunk]

Tournament: Palermo
Match: Suarez Navarro vs Robson
Pick: Suarez Navarro
Odd: 1.57
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Suarez Navarro 120.25
Robson 111.43




GL

[beefcake]

Agree 1000% on navarro here!!

[hougigo]

It's one of the match I'm analyzing.. later I will see something to do

Good ish. And saw you took Navarro over Robson..... I'm feeling a little more confident now

[jimm246]

Wow. I'm not this defensive of my wife! And we've been happily married for over a decade.

Remarkable how one poster will come to the defense of another poster. And so close in time in posts too.

I reserve that kind of love for..... Me. I love me. Good to know that others are so outward and protective here though. DMoney you are one lucky dude!

I like that. Real good.

[matt1216]

Wow. I'm not this defensive of my wife! And we've been happily married for over a decade.

Remarkable how one poster will come to the defense of another poster. And so close in time in posts too.

I reserve that kind of love for..... Me. I love me. Good to know that others are so outward and protective here though. DMoney you are one lucky dude!

Everytime ive asked Dmoneytx hes gave me alot of insight on tennis. He knows the players when their in form, and hes helping people for free. deserves a bit of respect in my opinion

[loufunk]

Picks = 92
Won = 58
Lost = 32
Void = 0
Pending = 2 (Begu, Suarez Navarro)
Winning % = +64.44%
Staked = 900.00 u
Won = 1063.30 u
Profit = +163.30 u
ROI: +18.14%

[loufunk]

Tournament: Umag
Match: Berlocq vs Dolgopolov
Pick: Berlocq +3.5 games
Odd: 1.84
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Berlocq 119.45
Dolgopolov 113.17




GL

[loufunk]

Tournament: Newport
Match: Becker vs Harrison
Pick: Becker
Odd: 2.12
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Becker 97.74
Harrison 92.18




GL

[kobee24]

I've been tailing Lou and Dmoney for a while now, have respect to both guys. I don't think there should be any discussion in this forum about who does what. As long as people are winning, having a good conversation, a good time on the forum, there's no need talking anything else. I respect Lou for being honest about the service he's giving, I don't think he was searching for anything more, he's already doing enough for everyone here. Hope everyone gets back to the positive side and we all can have a good time here . Let's keep on killin' em'!!

[tukkk]

I also read that you have a paid service. And the reason you don't post your picks unitl match time is because you are giving out your expertise for "free"..... It seems to me that you are baiting people into subscribing to your service so they can get these picks earlier. It wasn't hard to read between those lines I thought. The whole point of this entire website, is to help each other with plays and to do it without the intention of getting people into a service or to get paid. I hope no one pays for their picks in any sport.

There are alot of good people out here, who know a thing or two, who are willing to give out their info at ANY time for NO money. Kinda sucks you started a thread & post plays right before match time bec they are not "paid picks". It's obvious you are baiting people into wanting to pay you for picks so they don't have to wait till the last minute. I honestly don't care what other people do with their money, but there are people out there like me who try to help others out whenever we can out of the goodness of our hearts.
I thought that was what this website, SBR, was all about. I think alot of people would agree with me, bec I know ALOT of cappers here, other sports as well, that spend a ton of time posting plays and information to help others. And we always do it bec we are trying to get away from all the "amazing cappers" who just want our money for their picks. I have been popping into this thread & was really impressed at some of the plays & organization. But when I read that you only post near match time bec they are "FREE" picks, well....I guess I started thinking different about ya.

BOL!!

+1

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/1776096-lf-soccer-predictions-2012-a.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/1783258-lf_1to60toscore_method.html

Ofcourse you create a big edge when you continue to make threads until you run really hot.
Fortunately (for you only) that happened quickly.

[loufunk]

+1

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/1776096-lf-soccer-predictions-2012-a.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/1783258-lf_1to60toscore_method.html

Ofcourse you create a big edge when you continue to make threads until you run really hot.
Fortunately (for you only) that happened quickly.

Forgive me, if this was a bad consideration of what I post I did not understand it.. anyway.. that method, that I continue to use.. wasn't too much loved and criticized and I didn't want to carry on publishing FREE picks to listen only to critics Why should I? I use the forum also to relax myself
So I preferred carry on this one because I saw many visits and many posts. That's it.
When NHL Season will start I will go there veeeeeeeeery often.. but now I prefer posting on tennis.
Can I or should I ask the permission to do it?

Really... maybe it's the sun, hot temperature, but sometimes I don't understand why free critics w/o reason..

[tukkk]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/1783258-lf_1to60toscore_method.html

this thread clearly shows how much sportsbetting knowledge you possess

its rather obvious your tennis system cant be much more sophisticated

if people really believe that TENNIS (which is the one of the most player-centered sport and requires different kind of data, than what is on the web) is beaten like this, then srsly

[jimm246]

I've been tailing Lou and Dmoney for a while now, have respect to both guys. I don't think there should be any discussion in this forum about who does what. As long as people are winning, having a good conversation, a good time on the forum, there's no need talking anything else. I respect Lou for being honest about the service he's giving, I don't think he was searching for anything more, he's already doing enough for everyone here. Hope everyone gets back to the positive side and we all can have a good time here . Let's keep on killin' em'!!

Kobee you are a good peace maker. You are right we are all here to do one thing and that is to give the books a beating. Like kobee24 said "get back to the positive side and we all can have a good time here. Lets keep on killin em"

[loufunk]

strange day today not my best and I'm sorry for this but. .. always looking forward

[Blax0r]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...re_method.html

this thread clearly shows how much sportsbetting knowledge you possess

its rather obvious your tennis system cant be much more sophisticated

if people really believe that TENNIS (which is the one of the most player-centered sport and requires different kind of data, than what is on the web) is beaten like this, then srsly

He does preempt that quasi-strategy with "very simple method", so I don't think it's quite fair to judge his tennis expertise on anything but his results (which have been impressive).

And he's actually simplifying/explaining a concept that directly applies to something many posters here ask on *at least* a weekly basis, which is determining the arbitrage allocations of a "winning" bet. I don't think that's necessarily a trivial bit of knowledge; lots of people just load up Ganchrow's app rather than trying to understand how to do it.

Anyway, I am probably defensive of Lou because I employ a similar methodology for my own strategy (I do have ranking points, and recompute them based on new data). And I like to believe that my "system" is not simplistic, especially after reading academic papers, creating a backtester, data-scraper, and having a quantitative match model.

And Lou is clearly outperforming mine (which is also up several units YTD).

[Demonata]

Come on Guys let's just enjoy tennis.

[gregm]

I am a little late to this thread but great job Lou. I have only kept one tracker thread with betfair wagers and it was a real pain figuring up the commission charges and people questioning all the time whether a wager could be matched, tracker threads using exchanges are not the easiest to maintain. I havent really gone back and seen all your wagers but if they are all betfair wagers, how are you computing the commission charges in your ytd and have you ever used Betdaq? Any opinions on the two?

Good luck this year. Cheers

[loufunk]

Tournament: Stanford
Match: Wickmayer vs Bartoli
Pick: Bartoli -4.5 games
Odd: 2.22
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Wickmayer 115.63
Bartoli 120.47




Tournament: Stanford
Match: Cibulkova vs Cirstea
Pick: Cirstea +3.5 games
Odd: 2.16
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Cibulkova 108.58
Cirstea 109.00




GL

[ParlayininHTown]

I've been tailing Lou and Dmoney for a while now, have respect to both guys. I don't think there should be any discussion in this forum about who does what. As long as people are winning, having a good conversation, a good time on the forum, there's no need talking anything else. I respect Lou for being honest about the service he's giving, I don't think he was searching for anything more, he's already doing enough for everyone here. Hope everyone gets back to the positive side and we all can have a good time here . Let's keep on killin' em'!!

Kobee24 is right ... I thought this was the one subforum where people had mature, adult discussions that are free of insults and egos. If you don't like a guy's picks, his method of capping, a comment he made about a match, or something else he wrote, let it go. No one forces you to agree with a poster's picks or anything he says, but replying with insults or bringing up things that happened in the past is pointless (especially when it is done out of context). I hope you guys don't let others get to you. I just close that thread and move on to another.

I feel that everyone has their own way of living life, and anything any person does is not for my criticism. I am better than no man. This humble approach doesn't work well when I'm trying to find a woman, but it saves me from a lot of headaches in other parts of life.

Lou, dmoney, EP, and everyone else who caps tennis on SBR ... keep doing your thing. It's your life, and you call the shots. I'm not here just to tell people how they should do things or label them with insults, and I sincerely hope no one else is here for that reason. It'd be a waste of time. If I can meet some new people and provide some advice or analysis about a match, that's great. But at the end of the day, I'm not one to insult another poster or tell him how he should go about his capping. That's up to that person and only that person to decide, because it's his life, not yours.

Live and let live, fellas ...

[kobee24]

Kobee you are a good peace maker. You are right we are all here to do one thing and that is to give the books a beating. Like kobee24 said "get back to the positive side and we all can have a good time here. Lets keep on killin em"

There's no space or time for negativity in my life jimm. So when I see something I like I stick to it %100. These past weeks have been great on this forum, a joy. I'm glad you guys think the same. I'm sure everyone will be more motivated after reading these comments. With motivation will come greater success. We should all thank these guys for their efforts and shares on the site, no matter what the result. BOL all!!

[sfi50]

any thoughts on the serena match tonight, walk in the park?

[loufunk]

any thoughts on the serena match tonight, walk in the park?

1.06 .. hard to predict

no it's a joke.. don't know.. not interested on this match

[loufunk]

Picks = 96
Won = 59
Lost = 37
Void = 0
Pending = 0
Winning % = +61.45%
Staked = 960.00 u
Won = 1084.90 u
Profit = +124.90 u
ROI: +13.01%

[loufunk]

In one of the worst days I had, at the end of the day, I still can write +13.01% ROI ... and there are people still laughing at me and at my ratings.. can someone explain me why?
If people don't like my way, why do they waste their time reading me?
Skipping is not a fantastic solution in these situations?

People are never happy... that's so sad

anyway, I look forward.
See u