LF Tennis Predictions (2012)

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  • jimm246
    SBR MVP
    • 07-01-12
    • 1357

    #456
    Originally posted by loufunk
    In one of the worst days I had, at the end of the day, I still can write +13.01% ROI ... and there are people still laughing at me and at my ratings.. can someone explain me why?
    If people don't like my way, why do they waste their time reading me?
    Skipping is not a fantastic solution in these situations?

    People are never happy... that's so sad

    anyway, I look forward.
    See u
    I'll see you the next day. looking forward too.
    Comment
    • nj1035
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-19-09
      • 902

      #457
      Originally posted by loufunk
      In one of the worst days I had, at the end of the day, I still can write +13.01% ROI ... and there are people still laughing at me and at my ratings.. can someone explain me why?
      If people don't like my way, why do they waste their time reading me?
      Skipping is not a fantastic solution in these situations?

      People are never happy... that's so sad

      anyway, I look forward.
      See u
      If only there were an ignore button. Seriously, keep it up Lou. Most of us appreciate your picks and the hard work that goes into it.
      Comment
      • crashera
        SBR Rookie
        • 07-12-12
        • 17

        #458
        it was 13th of friday its oK
        Comment
        • Redman3693
          SBR MVP
          • 04-30-12
          • 1312

          #459
          Originally posted by loufunk
          In one of the worst days I had, at the end of the day, I still can write +13.01% ROI ... and there are people still laughing at me and at my ratings.. can someone explain me why?
          If people don't like my way, why do they waste their time reading me?
          Skipping is not a fantastic solution in these situations?

          People are never happy... that's so sad

          anyway, I look forward.
          See u

          Lou, I stumbled across your thread earlier today while browsing the forum.

          First and foremost, and a personal ThanX to you for taking the time to share your PiX! It really bothers me when someone goes out of their way to take the time and share their work, only to have other folks come out and bash it --WHATEVER THE RESULT-- I follow Roxxy and it's almost like a scene out of Tolkien where the trolls seem to be coming out of the funkin woodwork... EVEN though his winning ratio is 65.65%

          BUT

          I do feel a little better when I look at the big picture and see that your thread had 25k+ hits and a whole heaping pile of Thank you's and Great Job's.

          All in all, you need to embrace the fact that your fan base vastly outnumbers your detractors. Kobe, Jim, Parlay, & a mas of other folks really appreciate the fact that you are taking the time to share.

          There is enough real drama in the world... Folks do not need to manufacture any more.

          Kudos Lou & BOL on your PiX!
          Comment
          • adrenalinerush
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-13-10
            • 140

            #460
            I feel like I'm stating the obvious, but I'll do it anyway. I just don't get why people even waste the effort to bash someone else's picks. I don't care how bad their picks are, or if they do have some ulterior (sp?) motive, whatever, if you don't like the picks or whoever is offering the picks then move on. Why does someone even go into the thread of someone with whom they have some issue. It's just idiotic. Move on. Nobody comes to this thread to read someone else's sermon.

            Love what you do Lou. Keep it up! If the day ever comes that I don't care for your picks then I'll move on, and you won't hear a negative word from me.

            Rush
            Comment
            • BigPage25
              SBR MVP
              • 04-17-12
              • 3571

              #461
              pay no mind to the haters... Just continue to post your picks and if people want to follow them they can follow at their own risk... Simple as that

              Comment
              • jimm246
                SBR MVP
                • 07-01-12
                • 1357

                #462
                Originally posted by Redman3693
                Lou, I stumbled across your thread earlier today while browsing the forum.

                First and foremost, and a personal ThanX to you for taking the time to share your PiX! It really bothers me when someone goes out of their way to take the time and share their work, only to have other folks come out and bash it --WHATEVER THE RESULT-- I follow Roxxy and it's almost like a scene out of Tolkien where the trolls seem to be coming out of the funkin woodwork... EVEN though his winning ratio is 65.65%

                BUT

                I do feel a little better when I look at the big picture and see that your thread had 25k+ hits and a whole heaping pile of Thank you's and Great Job's.

                All in all, you need to embrace the fact that your fan base vastly outnumbers your detractors. Kobe, Jim, Parlay, & a mas of other folks really appreciate the fact that you are taking the time to share.

                There is enough real drama in the world... Folks do not need to manufacture any more.

                Kudos Lou & BOL on your PiX!
                Lou thanks man for the picks. I really appreciate it and so does 97%+ of the people around here does too.
                Comment
                • cheven
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 06-14-12
                  • 66

                  #463
                  Hey again Lou, congrats on the great results, and thanks so much for posting your picks here everyday.

                  I've been investigating the Isner v Harrison match at Newport being played later today, and think there is a bit of value backing Harrison at odds of 3.0? What's opinion?
                  You could change my opinion of course
                  Comment
                  • hardy4
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 07-09-12
                    • 23

                    #464
                    Originally posted by loufunk
                    first part of your pamphlet: I can agree about your analysis on Dimitrov and Ramos, but as said before, My rating works using some points, some parameters and I always use them, adding also my personal point of view (when possible) studying bf graph's. I posted also Ramos +2.5, that means he is underdog, and yes, he lost, but doesn't matter, because other 57 times I was right on what I wrote here.
                    second part: the fact I wrote I have a paying service was only to answer to the question "why" I wrote so close to matches start. And I was honest to say it. If you read back, you will never find these. And I am not here to "catch" someone. I respect your point of view about FREE PICKS, please respect mine, because what you say is not correct. There are tons of good services that sells picks. If I can have a profit from my skills, why not? It's a job, nothing more. And do not forget that here, on sbr I always posted true picks, and I was sincerely happy to let someone wins. If you don't consider paying to receive picks, ok, no problem at all, but I think there is nothing wrong on who decides to invest something to have money back with a good service.
                    Last but not least, I am not here to change your mind, so if you want to change opinion, please, you are welcome.

                    And if my way of posting is not liked, admins can just write to me and tell me to stop and I will do it for sure.

                    Once again, good lunch (to me)
                    okay i belive its time 4 my first post here on sbr < im a old danish guy with poor english skills so i read more than posting> the reason i signd here is guys like u loufunk and also dmoneytx and other good foks who are willing 2 share there opinions with us all and i belive wil´l have to respekt there way anytime and not go offence if wee dont aggre
                    loufunk u got my deepest respekt and dooing a great work hope u cary on a long time and even i miss most of ur pick´s coz the late posting well its ur way and ur still the mann thanks again lou
                    Comment
                    • loufunk
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-19-12
                      • 270

                      #465
                      Tournament: Stuttgart
                      Match: Tipsarevic vs Bellucci
                      Pick: Bellucci +2.5 games
                      Odd: 1.89 (BF)
                      Stake: 10 u

                      My Rating
                      Tipsarevic 112.05
                      Bellucci 120.81





                      GL
                      Comment
                      • loufunk
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 06-19-12
                        • 270

                        #466
                        Tournament: Umag
                        Match: Dolgopolov vs Cilic
                        Pick: Cilic
                        Odd: 1.56
                        Stake: 10 u

                        My Rating
                        Dolgopolov 114.44
                        Cilic 123.65




                        GL
                        Comment
                        • cheven
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 06-14-12
                          • 66

                          #467
                          interesting pick Loufunk, I saw a lot of people thinking that there was value in Dolgopolov.
                          and well done on the Bellucci pick, winning the 2nd set 6-2 makes it very hard for you to lose your +2.5 games bet
                          Comment
                          • DiggityDaggityDo
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-30-08
                            • 81450

                            #468
                            Good work Lou. Good work.
                            Comment
                            • cheven
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 06-14-12
                              • 66

                              #469
                              I was worried for a while Dolgopolov was on fire at the start of the set. I don't understand why does he ruins his service games by being so wreckless.
                              Comment
                              • benandjerry
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-01-11
                                • 697

                                #470
                                Originally posted by cheven
                                I was worried for a while Dolgopolov was on fire at the start of the set. I don't understand why does he ruins his service games by being so wreckless.


                                He's very wreckless indeed, enjoyable to watch him play though. He should easily have closed out that second set, he gave away that break earlier in it as well.
                                Comment
                                • loufunk
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-19-12
                                  • 270

                                  #471
                                  Tournament: Newport
                                  Match: Isner vs Harrison
                                  Pick: Harrison +2.5 games
                                  Odd: 1.89
                                  Stake: 10 u

                                  My Rating
                                  Isner 81.38
                                  Harrison 93.66






                                  GL
                                  Comment
                                  • GoBlue77
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-20-11
                                    • 9166

                                    #472
                                    Isner went from -220(highest) down to -160 right before match started...

                                    Come on Harrison!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • WSU_Tbone
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-08-08
                                      • 124

                                      #473
                                      Really don;t bet tennis much, but I've been tailing you for a week or so and just had a question about the +2.5 play. Basically are we banking on Harrison being able to win 1 set? If not, an outright win, we would need 7-6, 7-6 games to be able to win our play? Am i looking at this correctly?
                                      Comment
                                      • imzdeals
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-02-11
                                        • 735

                                        #474
                                        Originally posted by WSU_Tbone
                                        Really don;t bet tennis much, but I've been tailing you for a week or so and just had a question about the +2.5 play. Basically are we banking on Harrison being able to win 1 set? If not, an outright win, we would need 7-6, 7-6 games to be able to win our play? Am i looking at this correctly?
                                        yes
                                        Comment
                                        • loufunk
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 06-19-12
                                          • 270

                                          #475
                                          Picks = 99
                                          Won = 61
                                          Lost = 38
                                          Void = 0
                                          Pending = 0
                                          Winning % = +61.61%
                                          Staked = 990.00 u
                                          Won = 1119.40 u
                                          Profit = +129.40 u
                                          ROI: +13.07%
                                          Comment
                                          • jimm246
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-01-12
                                            • 1357

                                            #476
                                            Nice one Lou 2win and 1lost today.
                                            Comment
                                            • Coopertrooper
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-20-12
                                              • 925

                                              #477
                                              Have enjoyed seeing your work Lou, even if I don't bet on the tennis all that often.

                                              I remember someone mentioning about the use of Betfair and how the commissions effect your overall results. I use Betfair a fair bit too for tennis, and I've been on your picks a couple of times and received abut the same odds, before commission, so I'm pretty sure you post the odds you're getting before commissions? It is helpful to do that, as people may have different commission rates, but do you take out the commission that you pay and take it into account? Obviously it wouldn't change your numbers drastically while your sample of bets is still fairly small, but long-term if it has an effect of even 1% it can still appear to be miss-leading.

                                              I certainly don't think you try to miss-lead anyone, but if you don't already, I think it could be one thing you can improve on. If you're posting your true net results, and you're posting most of them before matches start (obviously real life can occasionally affect that) then you shouldn't worry about anyone detracting from your thread, because you're offering your picks out of goodwill, which is the entire reason for us to be on this forum.

                                              Keep up the good work bud
                                              Comment
                                              • loufunk
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 06-19-12
                                                • 270

                                                #478
                                                Tournament: Stuttgart
                                                Match: Tipsarevic vs Monaco
                                                Pick: Monaco
                                                Odd: 1.61
                                                Stake: 10 u

                                                My Rating
                                                Tipsarevic 112.40
                                                Monaco 123.21




                                                GL
                                                Comment
                                                • crashera
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 07-12-12
                                                  • 17

                                                  #479
                                                  hope he wins my balance is AwFUl
                                                  Comment
                                                  • nj1035
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-19-09
                                                    • 902

                                                    #480
                                                    Originally posted by loufunk
                                                    Tournament: Stuttgart
                                                    Match: Tipsarevic vs Monaco
                                                    Pick: Monaco
                                                    Odd: 1.61
                                                    Stake: 10 u

                                                    My Rating
                                                    Tipsarevic 112.40
                                                    Monaco 123.21




                                                    GL
                                                    GL with your pick, I'm on Monaco too
                                                    Comment
                                                    • crashera
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 07-12-12
                                                      • 17

                                                      #481
                                                      Fail pick..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jimm246
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-01-12
                                                        • 1357

                                                        #482
                                                        Originally posted by crashera
                                                        Fail pick..
                                                        Its not over till its over and if we do lose. We just have look ahead for the next one.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cheven
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 06-14-12
                                                          • 66

                                                          #483
                                                          what a come back, I backed Monaco for a small amount at +1000 when he was down 2 breaks just for fun
                                                          Comment
                                                          • kneighfe
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-11-12
                                                            • 994

                                                            #484
                                                            Originally posted by jimm246
                                                            Its not over till its over and if we do lose. We just have look ahead for the next one.
                                                            DEFINITELY RIGHT!!! Monaco, playing all out. On to the 3rd set now. Even if he loses, I still think that loufunk still made a good pick. BOL to us.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tb1984
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-11-08
                                                              • 3112

                                                              #485
                                                              The brief passing shower was also a big break
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jimm246
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-01-12
                                                                • 1357

                                                                #486
                                                                Now from here on its going to be a nailbiter guyz.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jimm246
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-01-12
                                                                  • 1357

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Monaco did try hard but a little short. O well
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kneighfe
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-11-12
                                                                    • 994

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Originally posted by jimm246
                                                                    Monaco did try hard but a little short. O well
                                                                    Indeed! On to the next match, loufunk.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • loufunk
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 06-19-12
                                                                      • 270

                                                                      #489
                                                                      Originally posted by jimm246
                                                                      Monaco did try hard but a little short. O well
                                                                      Monaco is a pussy I saw the match.. he hit the net 100000000000000 times like a 100 of WTA
                                                                      Janko just waited for unforced errors of Juan.. that's life.
                                                                      Looking Forward
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • loufunk
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 06-19-12
                                                                        • 270

                                                                        #490
                                                                        Tournament: Newport
                                                                        Match: Isner vs Hewitt
                                                                        Pick: Hewitt to win a set *
                                                                        Odd: 1.65
                                                                        Stake: 10 u

                                                                        My Rating
                                                                        Isner 82.59
                                                                        Hewitt 132.19




                                                                        * I usually don't bet this way, but when I saw +3.5 games odd, that is 1.50, I saw no value.
                                                                        To bet on under over 23.5 games is coinflip, so I just thought that if Hewitt remembers only for a set that was number one... in that 1.65 could be value.






                                                                        GL
                                                                        Comment
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