Taking over 22.5 games Fish/Haas match @ -115.
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Taking Haas ML @ -115.Comment -
I had to call and have them put the line back up when I was driving back to the hotel. I actually put the plays in on my phone in the elevator & then quickly posted here so if anyone was interested, they knew before the match who I liked. I think it will start in about 4-5 mins or so. I just cannot see Fish winning in straights today in easy sets. This is a set up play where ONE of the two should win. With some luck, the match is two tight sets or three and Haas comes out on top, winning both plays. If we split plays, only losing a small small ammount. I do see a very close match today, thinking the first set or second hits a breaker. Going to have a play on the second match later, will post much earlier. BOL to ev1 today!!Comment -
8/4
Play #4
Total games Over 22.5 Haas/Fish -130
Total = -130
1.1u / 0.85uComment -
8/4
Play #5
Haas ML -1115
Total = -115
1.05u / 0.91uComment -
8/4
Play #6
Athletics -168
Querrey -150
Dodgers -300
Total = apprx +257
0.75u / 1.91uComment -
Hey DMoney, thx 4 gettin back to me about the DelPo Djoker match. Do u plan on having any plays for the Gold Medal and/or Bronze Medal matches?Comment -
I honestly think Federer is going to win his last chance, more than likely, to win the Gold Medal for himself and Switzerland. He always plays amazing in big matches and especially big matches at Wimbledon. He just finds another level that most cannot find. It's simply amazing. I think he has had plenty of time to rest, which he needed!, and he will be fully ready to go tomm morning against Murray. I do not expect Murray to roll over and die. BUT, Andy has to beat Roger in THREE sets tomm, not just two. This favors Roger bigtime, IMO, and I do feel a close match for prob 3 sets and the 4th could be a total domination by Federer. I know Murray is a good value here and he might win this match, but in ANY huge match.........for something THIS important to Roger...........on Center Court in Wimbledon??? I have to go with Federer here & hope he makes his dream come true of being the best player of ALL time, the most major titles AND a Gold Medal. I HONESTLY feel like Murray will win the Gold in the Mixed with Robson. Gonna be really close, but I can't see him wearing two Gold Medals by tomm afternoon. He either takes two Silver Medals home or one Silver and one Gold. I am going with Federer to play 110% and with the most passion we will ever see out of Roger. He wants this win. And he wants it bad!
On the other match, I have a really really hard time NOT seeing Djokovic wear a medal after he made the semis in the Olympics. I think he takes the Bronze and prob does so in straight sets. He will be pissed off bec he let both those sets go towards the end against Murrray. And I just can't see Del Potro serving as amazing as he did against Federer. It will be much tougher for the big man to recover for this match & Novak should be playing mad, aggresive, I want to kill someone tennis. In that spirit, I would go with Novak for sure. Can Del Potro win??? Of course, but I think if they play this match 10 times, Juan Martin wins once. Again, IMO. I know the value on Djokovic is not great, so I will most likely parlay him with a few plays to see if I can get my day tomm kick started.
Any comments, suggestions or advice concerning these two matches tomm would be greatly appreciated. By anyone. Be back on later. Thanks.Comment -
8/4
Play #7
Querrey -150
Total = -150
1.0u / 0.67u
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Thanks D, I will be checking back in pretty often to see if you posted your parlay for tomorrow? I'm not trying to be a pain in the ass, but do you think youll post it tonight or tomorrow morning?Comment -
8/5
Play #1
Del Potro +4 games -120
Total = -120
1.15u / 0.96uComment -
Just woke up. I was going to parlay Djokovic with a few plays, but I think I would rather parlay Federer later. I do think this match will be close, I can't keep factoring out Del Potros heart playing for Argentina. Winning a medal would be huge! Djoker is gonna be playing aggresive I think, but if Del Potro is serving well, this match could see a breaker. If it does, getting 4 games is really alot. So I went with a small straight instead of throwing Djoker into several parlays. I'm waiting for the next match much more. Bookmaker put the Del Potro back up for me, off the board in 1 min. Sorry to post my play 4-5 mins before the start. Next plays to go up within the hour. GL to ev1!!Comment -
Sorry ill. My girl wanted me in the bed with her early last night, with NO computer. When she says that, the computer goes up immediately
I don't even think about it. Kinda wierd my brain gets me up 10 mins before first match, hahaha......
I am waiting to parlay Federer with several plays today, so really I am waiting for that match much much more. I went with the plus games today bec I don't see Djokovic winning 3&4 or destroying Del Potro today. It's only two set match, so Del Potro will go full steam right from the start. I think Djokovic wins, but not easily. The Federer parlays to go up prob by end of first set this morning in first match.Comment -
Yesterdays Record 8/4:
Parlays (2-2) +0.12 units
Straights (1-2) -1.19 units
Total = (3-4) -1.07 units
Overall Record as of 8/4:
Parlays (107-82) +9.58 units
Straights (47-35-5) -2.65 units
Total = (154-117-5) +6.93 units
Total Win % = 57.2%Comment -
8/5
Play #2
Federer -160
Total = -160
1.5u / 0.94uComment -
Well, I made a huge mistake & it might end up saving me money. I didn't check the court assignments & I ASSUMED that both medal matches were to be played on Centre Court. When Del Potro had a rain delay at 2-3, I assumed they would go on after the Williams sisters match, which was starting second set. So I naturally thought that the Fed/Murray would go on after & also be delayed. So I went back to sleep & when I got up at 8:15am, the match just started! What a bone head mistake.....
It looks like Murray is destroying Federer & I am surprised, to say the least. Murray winning 12 of the first 15 games??? I have no comment for that. Speechless.......
Congrats to Del Potro for winning Argentinas first medal of the games. Djokovic should of. broke to go up 4-2 in first set, he had so many chances!! The more breaks he pissed away, keeping Juan in the match, the less chance he would get to win today. Juan is playing at an amazing high level. It's scary! I thought Djokovic would win, but when u don't convert break after break chances, your odds considerably drop. He only has himself to blame.
Murray winning Gold & Fed never winning a Gold?? Unless Fed does something historic & amazing, that will be the case. As good as Feds form has been, losing 2&1 the first two sets is utterly shocking. At least to me it is.....Comment -
8/5
Play #3
Haas -160
Total = -160
1.5u / 0.96uComment -
Well, there ya have it. Haas wins the first set and 4-5 on serve in the second set, he only wins ONE more game. Tommy Haas with 12 double faults??? Even for a 5.0 guy like me, that is HORRIBLE. I hope he is embarassed, I hope.....
Querrey -150, loser. Djokovic -350, loser. Federer -170, loser. Haas -160, loser. All within 24 hours.......... All I can say is, fukking ouch!! I read in someones thread today that any tennis play around -150, is the biggest sucker play in the world. It has changed my way of thinking, quite a bit actually. I haven't seen a player at -150 dominate a match in a long time, at least I can't remember...... Maybe they won, but was prob close! The value is terrible. Good capping with a new perspective, hopefully leads to even better results for the future.Comment -
Yesterdays Record 8/5:
Parlays (0-0) 0.0 units
Straights (1-2) -2.04 units
Total = (1-2) -2.04 units
Overall Record as of 8/5:
Parlays (107-82) +9.58 units
Straights (48-37-5) -4.69 units
Total = (155-119-5) +4.89 units
Total Win % = 57.0%
***I am SO ticked off that the straight record is over .500, but down over 400 bucks!! I took some big blows when I lost the Anderson play & the few 2 or 2+ unit plays where the big favorite LOST. Otherwise, that total would be in the green for sure! The parlay record is getting back up to where I want it to be, but the straight results are really bs. No way I should be 9 games over .500 and down over 400 for straights! At least the overall is back near $500 & I HOPE to get this way up in the next few weeks.
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PS. I want ev1 to know that I am going to be changing things up a bit on my thread. I am DEFINITELY going to put my plays up much, much, much earlier. Even the night before if I can. I want to post my plays WAY earlier so I can get some better feedback from others. I just always run crazy with my kids, my teaching, my training & my girl. I have found a way to get my plays in WAY earlier & I plan on doing that when the next plays go up. This thread has been good in organizing my plays, but now its time to try to help others more by posting the night before or first thing in the morning before I go to teach my lessons. From time to time, I will post later in the day for various reasons.......but I think ev1 will see a difference. At least I hope so. Thanks to all the people who post on this thread. I'm gonna give it one more good shot to not only help myself, but to help others much more than I already have been. I hope ev1 stays safe & as always, GL!!Comment -
I don't see any tennis lines for tomm. I thought they had an ATP tment in Canada & about 4 Challangers events this week. Bookmaker has a crappy book for Challangers, they rarely have them. And as of now, they have NO lines out for Canada this week. What's up with that????
5 mins later: They posted 3 lines for tomm, they must be trying to get them up now. I think there are about 8 matches. I am going to bed now and since these are noon or later matches, I will post before work in the morning.
I see D Young is playing tomm We all know what that means, fade city! Chardy should kick his arsss. Right??
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I think Donald can take this one! Gotta happen eventually, Chardy isn't that great on Hard courts and Donald didn't look that bad in the Olympics. Maybe Chardy -3.5 but I wouldnt lay -265 on him.Comment -
I agree, DY has 2 win eventually. Good chance for h 2dayComment -
I can't argue with most of the D Young write ups. He does have to win eventually. But I can never put money on that loser. I have seen him cry & whine with my own eyes. It was so pathetic. He might win, Chardy is a bulldog, but this is a match I am not playing. Last time I bet Chardy, he had 14 double faults! So which Chardy shows up today??
Going to put plays up in about 20 mins. GL today!Comment -
8/6
Play #1
Lacko -290
Baghdatis -460
Total = apprx -170
1.0u / 0.64uComment -
8/6
Play #2
Triocki -295
Baghdatis -460
Total = apprx -172
1.0u / 0.62uComment -
8/6
Play #3
Total games Over 22.5 -110
Total = -110
1.0u / 0.91u
LOL!!! Forgt to put it was Tomic/Berrer. Sorry!! How funny.Comment -
8/6
Play #4
Pospisil +3 games -110
Total = -110
1.0u / 0.91uComment -
Looks like D Young had a chance to win that match in second set breaker, but now he's choking hard in the 3rd. This is exactly why I stayed away from that match.
Triocki won the first set 6-4
Second set is 2-2. Vamos Viktor!!Comment -
haha Bogomolov with a huge choke. Then smashes the ball 100 yards out of the court.Comment -
He did??? Nice I don't like Traitormolov. Hahaha.
Triocki gives up the break in second, but takes the breaker to win in straights. Good job Viktor!!
Berrer lost first 3-6. Shocked not to see a breaker first set. Second set he is up 3-2. Gonna need a break or hopefully he wins the breaker to go 3 sets. I hate losing overs by 0.5 games. Vamos Berrer!!Comment -
Berrer gets the break in second, up 5-2 now. Over looks great!!!
One more game to hold & it's going 3 sets
Lacko is down a break in first. I do not like Andujar at all, so I am really hoping he gets that break back this set! Vamos Lukas!!Comment
