Tennis thread

[gregm]

526-461 +43.18

Taking Lisicki on the ml. Vesnina off a title at Eastbourne but Lisicki has better numbers on grass and Lisicki did beat sharapova here at wimbledon last year before falling in the quarters. Lisicki has always done really well here at wimbledon ( two quarterfinal appearances and one semi) and looked impressive against Schiavone.

Lisicki -146 risk 1.46


Cibulkova -1.5 sets -142








Stosur -1.5 sets -300 risk 3


Tomic ml -155 risk 1.55


I am never confident with this guy but he should win if he doesnt mail it in.


cmon tomic


Lamborghini's, caviar
Dry martinis, Shangra-la
I got a burning feeling
Deep inside of me
It's a yearning
But, I'm gonna to set it free


I'm goin' in- to Sin City
I'm gonna win- in Sin City
Where the lights are bright
Through the town tonight
I'm gonna win in Sin City


Oh, I'm gonna roll you, baby
Snake eyes, wooo!


So, spin that wheel, cut that pack
And roll those loaded dice
Bring on the dancing girls
And put the champagne on ice

[frugalgambler]

Great calls, mate ! I was already leaning with Lisicki and Tomic, but also tailed you on Stosur and Cibulkova. Funny clips and pictures too. Thanks ! I hope this is not your last post on Wimby.

[gregm]

Thanks frugal. I dont think we are going to get alot of tennis in today, looks like centre court matches. I am going to take a punt on Melzer when he does play but I am thinking about that over on the total as well. Robredo is poor on grass but Murray did drop a few sets at queens club. I like the parlay the best, Ferrer should have plenty of recovery time and has a great chance to go deep here and should have beat murray here last year. He could end up number 2 in the world after this tourney, this 31 year old just gets stronger with age.

530-461 +47.18

Melzer +109 risk 1

Murray -2.5 sets -238 risk 2.38

Robson/Murray/ Ferrer/Atlanta dream wnba -204 risk 4.08

Almagro/Jerzy o42 -115 risk 1.15

[gregm]

Gulbis -1.5 -113 risk 1.13

[beefcake]

Still rolling greg..Nice!

[frugalgambler]

Still rolling greg..Nice!

Good calls again, even the WNBA parlay cashed. Cheers. Keep them coming, if you have time to post!

[gregm]

Thanks beef and fg. Good to see you around beef. I cant wait til the tour hits the states for the US Open, these time differences are killing me.

533-463 +48.99

Monday

Haas +2.5 sets +103 risk 1

Tomic/Berdych o41 -108 risk 1.08

Seppi +2.5 sets -165 risk 1.65

Bryan Brothers/ Murray/ Ferrer/Radwanska -101 risk 1.01

Bryan Brothers/Murray/Ferrer/ Verdasco -116 risk 1.16

Na Li -208 risk 2.08

Puig +4.5 -116 risk 1.16

Kubot -2.5 -107 risk 2.14

Melzer +2.5 sets -160 risk 3.2

Flipkens -285 risk 2.85

Lisicki +6.5 -120 risk 1.2

Bryan Brothers/Flipkens/Bartoli -111 risk 1.11

Ferrer/Dodig o39.5 -105 risk 1.05

Jerzy/Melzer o39 +102 risk 2

[gregm]

haas/djokovic o35.5 -115 risk 1.15

[frugalgambler]

haas/djokovic o35.5 -115 risk 1.15

Wow, seems you won every bet except for haas/puig/kubot. Congrats ! Any insight for tomorrow ?

[gregm]

Thanks FG. Puig just ran out of steam, still very young but could have won that one and should have covered wager, Haas was just overwhelmed from the beginning but he had his chances to cover the over and +2.5 sets at least. I won the kubot -2.5 bet but did lose the seppi wager.

Lisicki, Radwanska and Li all left in the same bracket and Li and Radwanska, the highest seeded players left in the tournament, have to play today. That other bracket is pretty weak. Bartoli, Stephens, Kvitova and Flipkens. Kvitova is still in the top 10 in the world but really hasnt been in good form this year.

The only one that really stands out to me is Bartoli/Stephens, I really like Bartoli here. I hate going against Sloane but she hasnt really looked that impressive in the matches I have seen her play and all the matches I have seen her play at wimbledon have been 3 set affairs. She has been pretty lucky to pull through at times and doesnt really have great numbers this year at all.

Bartoli has some great numbers at wimbledon and good stats on the surface, always worried about her serve and keeping it together for a whole match but going with the experience here.

544-467 +58.07

Bartoli -116

Bartoli -1.5 sets +211

Bartoli -1.5 games +103

Li -149

Lisicki -285

[lucasdawg]

i have a play on bartoli 2-1 sets over stephens BOL

[frugalgambler]

Thanks FG. Puig just ran out of steam, still very young but could have won that one and should have covered wager, Haas was just overwhelmed from the beginning but he had his chances to cover the over and +2.5 sets at least. I won the kubot -2.5 bet but did lose the seppi wager.

Lisicki, Radwanska and Li all left in the same bracket and Li and Radwanska, the highest seeded players left in the tournament, have to play today. That other bracket is pretty weak. Bartoli, Stephens, Kvitova and Flipkens. Kvitova is still in the top 10 in the world but really hasnt been in good form this year.

The only one that really stands out to me is Bartoli/Stephens, I really like Bartoli here. I hate going against Sloane but she hasnt really looked that impressive in the matches I have seen her play and all the matches I have seen her play at wimbledon have been 3 set affairs. She has been pretty lucky to pull through at times and doesnt really have great numbers this year at all.

Bartoli has some great numbers at wimbledon and good stats on the surface, always worried about her serve and keeping it together for a whole match but going with the experience here.

544-467 +58.07

Bartoli -116

Bartoli -1.5 sets +211

Bartoli -1.5 games +103

Li -149

Lisicki -285

Thanks for the insight! GL. Not sure I like the chalk on Lisicki, she might have a letdown after her big upset. Like she did at the last Wimbledon after beating pova.

[gregm]

You may be right. Kanepi seems to be the favorite on tennis insight but I will take the German on grass, huge difference in surface stats here and Lisicki loves this tourney. Great numbers here and Lisicki has looked pretty phenomenal so far

[frugalgambler]

You may be right. Kanepi seems to be the favorite on tennis insight but I will take the German on grass, huge difference in surface stats here and Lisicki loves this tourney. Great numbers here and Lisicki has looked pretty phenomenal so far

Greg, I was clearly wrong. And thanks for convincing me to go on Bartoli !

[ohumad]

On a roll, well done! I've seen some of your posts on sports analytics. Do you do any computer modeling yourself?

[gregm]

548-468 +61.72

I forgot to put units risked or to win on last post so just going to grade all todays wagers risk1/win1.

Thanks FG and ohumad. I am glad you went against Stephens fg, I have not been impressed with any of the matches I have seen her play but Bartoli wasnt exactly stellar out there either, especially on serve. Stephens won something like 4 total points on her serve after that delay. I dont like making these -285 (1.35) type wagers but I am pretty meticulous in recording my wagers and the prices and that -190 to -330 range have been some of my most profitable wagers,

Ohumad, I worked for about two years with a fews guys and our goal was to develop software for horse racing, our owner expanded it to include other sports but the tennis models that were developed were never successful. I researched some other software out there like sportpunter and there was a guy on ti who had an excel program and a few others I have seen that seemed pretty good, but in my experience I havent had much luck. I just try to use my limited programming knowledge and automate as much stuff as I can. I work in the stock market and and gamble as well so I just pick my spots and try not to not waste too much time. I would like to get into totals more and I have been collecting alot of data but I have been mainly trying to learn about tennis markets. As an American, we arent the most sophisticated gamblers when it come to tennis, its just the last few years I have really learned about betfair and with all the problems with my offshore it just seems sbo,pinnacle and betfair are the main books to deal with. Learning about betfair and trading has really been an undertaking for me but there is some great stuff out there I use.

I have been reading Jeff sackman for years and talked a little with him and he has a great site at tennis abstract that is a great tool and tennis insight has some incredible tools on that site, the TI model and all their filters are pretty phenomenal. Sackmann is brilliant. On court is great for getting alot of data but I only use certain things from there.

I came through tennis as a huge tennis fan who decided to gamble on tennis, more than a gambler who just decided to start wagering on tennis. So there is only so much I will rely on data, these forums are still a great tool for finding out about injuries and stuff and seeing what people think about a players latest matches and recent form. It would be nice to have a rotoworld for tennis for injuries but these forums are pretty good. Some smart punters on alot of these boards.

These are sackmanns numbers to win wimbledon title. Irregardless of numbers like these, it looks like he likes del potro to advance tomorrow, I am betting on Ferrer wednesday come hell or high water. Ferrer is my favorite player and one of my most profitable. 5'9, maybe lol , of pure spanish fight. Second incredible year in a row. Delpotro has been pretty flawless at wimbledon, hasn't lost a set at wimbledon and has only dropped serve twice. Ferrer has really been tested but we will get our money worth no doubt from Ferrer at least, the over should hit if Del Potro is in good shape and takes this. Ferrer will fight. If Ferrer wins this , I wouldnt be surprised to see this go under, if Del potro wins it I know Ferrer will give me a chance for my over to hit.

Tennisabstract likes Murray and really likes Radwanska to win it all.

tennisabstract.com beta

2013 Wimbledon Ladies' Draw Forecast


Player
(23)Sabine Lisicki (GER) Finals 19.2% Winner 7.9%
(4)Agnieszka Radwanska (POL) Finals 80.8% Winner 60.1%
(15)Marion Bartoli (FRA) Finals 58.4% Winner 20.3%
(20)Kirsten Flipkens (BEL) Finals 41.6% Winner 11.7%

2013 Wimbledon Gentlemen's Draw Forecast


Player
SF Finals Winner
(1)Novak Djokovic (SRB) sf 73.5% f 51.0% w 33.8%
(7)Tomas Berdych (CZE) sf 26.5% f 11.9% w 5.2%
(4)David Ferrer (ESP) sf 46.3% f 16.3% w 7.6%
(8)Juan Martin Del Potro (ARG) sf 53.7% f 20.7% w 10.3%
Lukasz Kubot (POL) sf 36.4% f 4.6% w 0.5%
(24)Jerzy Janowicz (POL) sf 63.6% f 12.5% w 2.1%
Fernando Verdasco (ESP) sf 11.3% f 5.5% w 0.7%
(2)Andy Murray (GBR) sf 88.7% f 77.4% w 39.9%

Wednesday

Ferrer -2 -105 risk 3.15

Ferrer/Del Potro o41.5 -110 risk 1.1

Berdych +1.5 sets -118 risk 1.18

Janowicz -6 +100 risk 1

Murray -2.5 sets -134 risk 1.34

[frugalgambler]

Greg, thanks for an interesting and very informative post. I like all your plays fortomorrow. I have Ferrer to win the quarter and I probably will not hedge (or maybe partially hedge only). I am not sure that Berdych can take a set from Djoker: the h2h stats are really not great for Berdych; but then again I have not watched a lot of men's tennis lately.

I really do not understand why Lisicki is such a favorite to win against A-Rad, ditto with Bartoli. Both matches look closer to coin-flips, with nerves playing a major role. Flipkens is crafty enough to make Bartoli move, especially forward, and Bartoli cannot do that well. A-Rad has a great track record and commits very few UEs. Anyway, I am not a very good tennis capper, so I will see what you and the other forum experts will say tomorrow.

GL with the men's quarters!

[gregm]

Good luck today Fg. I think Berdych will have a good shot to take a set, even Haas had a very good chance but just imploded after a wretched start. Nole looks unstoppable so far but I think we get a tiebreak in here and Berdych can cover this.

I really like Ferrer today but we shall see

[benrama]

Greg - great links re Sackman, I've just checked them out briefly but look like some great stats in there (mind you I'm yet to see one successful stats better, in any individual sport not just tennis)

His numbers for the men's quarters suggest there is big value on Kubot and Berdych, smaller value on Del Po and line on Murray/Verdasco is about right.

It would be interesting to know what factors he uses and with at weighting - how useful have you found these prediction %'s in the past?

[ohumad]

Interesting, thanks for the share greg and yes that Sackmann guy is into some serious stuff! Doesn't he have an archive of his Wimbledon forecast? I would love to get deeper into the analytics. Way above my head but very cool:

http://blog.smellthedata.com/2013/03/now-that-march-madness-is-officially.html

[gregm]

Thanks ben and ohumad, tennisabstract is great as well because it is one of the few sites that has alot of data on challengers. I really never bet challengers alot until recently, there wasnt alot to go on out there from what I found. I would just use Tennisabstract as a tool more than an actual predictive model to base wagers on. I have found the site to be a perfect fit, Tennis Insight has some great filters on their site and there is alot of stuff on tennisabstract that isnt on TI. Sackmann was probably right about Del potro but I was really surprised to see Ferrer fall in 3, pretty depressing day. Del Potro was making some insane shots but it is what it is. Incredible tourney by Del Potro.

Frugal, I am seeing radwanska +3 games and Flipkens +3 out there now. Radwanska is probably one of the smartest players and coolest customers on the womens tour, this is the wta and you know how serving can be. Bartoli looked horrible against Stephens on serve and Flipkens has had a phenomenal month. 3 games is a gift in any of these matches. I know there are concerns about Radwanskas leg injury. I saw this in tennis magazine

"Agnieszka Radwanska, who reached the Wimbledon semifinals despite a right leg injury, says pain won't stop her from playing on Thursday against Sabine Lisicki.

“I think if it's the end of a Grand Slam you don't really think about the pain or anything else,” she said. “You just fight until the end. That's what I was doing today. And I think I don't know how much pain I have to have just to give up. I think there's no limit.”

We saw how much the knee hindered del potro today, I like Radwanska and Flipkens and the +3 games. Bartolis serve is always tense viewing.

548-472 +54.95

Radwanska +3 -145 risk 1.45

Flipkens +3 -155 risk 1.55

[frugalgambler]

Thanks ben and ohumad, tennisabstract is great as well because it is one of the few sites that has alot of data on challengers. I really never bet challengers alot until recently, there wasnt alot to go on out there from what I found. I would just use Tennisabstract as a tool more than an actual predictive model to base wagers on. I have found the site to be a perfect fit, Tennis Insight has some great filters on their site and there is alot of stuff on tennisabstract that isnt on TI. Sackmann was probably right about Del potro but I was really surprised to see Ferrer fall in 3, pretty depressing day. Del Potro was making some insane shots but it is what it is. Incredible tourney by Del Potro.

Frugal, I am seeing radwanska +3 games and Flipkens +3 out there now. Radwanska is probably one of the smartest players and coolest customers on the womens tour, this is the wta and you know how serving can be. Bartoli looked horrible against Stephens on serve and Flipkens has had a phenomenal month. 3 games is a gift in any of these matches. I know there are concerns about Radwanskas leg injury. I saw this in tennis magazine

"Agnieszka Radwanska, who reached the Wimbledon semifinals despite a right leg injury, says pain won't stop her from playing on Thursday against Sabine Lisicki.

“I think if it's the end of a Grand Slam you don't really think about the pain or anything else,” she said. “You just fight until the end. That's what I was doing today. And I think I don't know how much pain I have to have just to give up. I think there's no limit.”

We saw how much the knee hindered del potro today, I like Radwanska and Flipkens and the +3 games. Bartolis serve is always tense viewing.

548-472 +54.95

Radwanska +3 -145 risk 1.45

Flipkens +3 -155 risk 1.55

Greg. Thanks for the advice. Bad day today with the Byrdman falling apart too early and Ferrer out. I did comment a few days earlier that Ferrer was making too many UEs, should have listened to myself and hedged on Del Po more aggressively. Made some of that money back in soccer so it is all good.

I am just not sure that taking +3 vs +2.5 is worth that much juice. Did you actually check how often this makes a difference ? E.g. for A-rad it is -145 for +3 and -110 for +2.5 games, big difference.

[benrama]

All predictions were off the mark for the men's quarters, the only match that got close was the one Sackman had at representative odds. Still more data is always a good thing.

Agree with frugalgambler, with that type of juice you would need to be hitting more like 60% of the time which is near on impossible. Anyways - BOL.

[gregm]

Which ones were you looking at Ben? There is alot of stuff on that site and his blog heavy topspin. He updated it through the tourney . Below is what he had from the other day for reaching the semifinals.

This is the page I love playing around with, the stats leaderboard page. Alot of stuff on here you cant find on ti or oncourt, tennis navigator ,etc

http://www.tennisabstract.com/cgi-bin/leaders.cgi?f=B2s00o1

2013 Wimbledon Gentlemen's Draw Forecast

Player
SF Finals Winner
(1)Novak Djokovic (SRB) sf 73.5% f 51.0% w 33.8%
(7)Tomas Berdych (CZE) sf 26.5% f 11.9% w 5.2%
(4)David Ferrer (ESP) sf 46.3% f 16.3% w 7.6%
(8)Juan Martin Del Potro (ARG) sf 53.7% f 20.7% w 10.3%
Lukasz Kubot (POL) sf 36.4% f 4.6% w 0.5%
(24)Jerzy Janowicz (POL) sf 63.6% f 12.5% w 2.1%
Fernando Verdasco (ESP) sf 11.3% f 5.5% w 0.7%
(2)Andy Murray (GBR) sf 88.7% f 77.4% w 39.9%

This is what he has up for the WTA

Player
(23)Sabine Lisicki (GER) Finals 19.2% Winner 7.9%
(4)Agnieszka Radwanska (POL) Finals 80.8% Winner 60.1%
(15)Marion Bartoli (FRA) Finals 58.4% Winner 20.3%
(20)Kirsten Flipkens (BEL) Finals 41.6% Winner 11.7%

These are the new numbers for the mens

tennisabstract.com beta

2013 Wimbledon Gentlemen's Draw Forecast

(1)Novak Djokovic (SRB) finals 67.9% winner 43.1%
(8)Juan Martin Del Potro (ARG) finals 32.1% winner 14.8%
(24)Jerzy Janowicz (POL) finals 14.9% winner 2.1%
(2)Andy Murray (GBR) finals 85.1% winner 40.0%

[gregm]

Sorry if you tailed on Ferrer and that berdych +1.5 set wager frugal, really disappointed Ferrer didnt get that last set and make a match of it. Berdych had his chances for that to cover, tough day all around . You wagering on Copa Libertadores or any mls tonight? I am on Atletico +.5 and Sporting KC and really like the Sounders tonight.

[frugalgambler]

Sorry if you tailed on Ferrer and that berdych +1.5 set wager frugal, really disappointed Ferrer didnt get that last set and make a match of it. Berdych had his chances for that to cover, tough day all around . You wagering on Copa Libertadores or any mls tonight? I am on Atletico +.5 and Sporting KC and really like the Sounders tonight.

No problem. I am on Sounders -1/-1.5. let's hope they score one more and was on Vancouver +1. Did not play the Copa games. Check out the MLS thread in the soccer forum: they guy seems to be good and knowledgeable. I also made some money on U20 betting this morning.

You did not answer my question: I asked if you thought that betting +3 vs +2.5 games for A-Rad tomorrow made a difference.

[benrama]

It would seem that Sackman is over valuing dogs, at least in comparison to Vegas odds. If you'd used his % you'd have only been led the right direction with Del Po, that's what I meant by being off the mark.

Great resources though, you are good at finding this stuff. Out of interest any particular cappers outside of SBR you follow?

[gregm]

Sorry I Missed your question Ben, kind of bored with posting after last year. If you are still around I will post some more folks, definitely check out the q+a with Ben weston that is posted on the pinny web site and the admin sbr forum posted a link on players talk, not sure why its not stickied in tennis subforum. http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...an-weston.html

I have talked to Dan numerous times in the past about betfair and tennis trading and his site tennisratings.co.uk is a site I always check out. http://www.tennisratings.co.uk/today-s-match-preview Definitely add him to twitter @tennisratings, I actually use twitter now more than anything else

548-471 +51.95

Long shot but worth it at this number

8023 Robert +237 risk 1

Adding

8504 Sorana Cirstea -2 -105 risk 2.10

8504 Sorana Cirstea (-1.5 Sets) +159 risk 1

8017 Grigor Dimitrov -6 -102 risk 1.02

8009 Nicolas Almagro (-2.5 Sets) -130 risk 2.6

8029 Simone Bolelli -6 +103 risk 1

8041 Gael Monfils -4.5 -118 risk 1.18

8049 Richard Gasquet-5.5 -109 risk 1.09

[gregm]

4-3 +2.01 today

552-474 +53.96

8187 Jarkko Nieminen +129 risk 2

Robredo/Agut/Nadal (thurs.)/Stosur/A.radwanska/Sharapova -121 risk 1.21

Garcia Lopez (thurs.)/Nadal (thurs.)/A.radwanska/Sharapova/Murray (Thurs)/Cornet -124 risk 2.68

Gulbis/ Nadal (thurs.)/A.radwanska/Sharapova/Murray (Thurs)/Cornet /Cilic -125 risk 2.5

Stepanek/Youzhny o39.5 -109 risk 1.09

Tursunov -3 -125 risk 1.25

Cornet -1.5 sets -160 risk 1.6

[beefcake]

Greg miss ya man.Glad to see some picks!!

[gregm]

Hey Beef! Good to see you brother, great seeing you still here. I just noticed Eagles is still posting. Glad to see some familiar faces.

Adding gulbis -2.5 sets -127 risk 1.27

adding a few more totals

Goerges/Bouchard o25 -105 risk 1.05

Jerzy/ Nieminen o39.5 -106 risk 1.06

Agut/Paire o36 -110 risk 1.10

[frugalgambler]

Good to see you back greg. GL with Gulbis, but I am not trusting that mental case to keep it together for 3 sets against a quality opp, not at -125 odds.

[gregm]

Hey FG, great to see you again. Yeah you are right, Gulbis is capable of smashing a racquet and losing a set anywhere to anyone at anytime. The games handicap is probably safer and I like Gulbis in some parlays today. Gulbis has looked impressive during clay season but has run into Ferrer. Purely on Bagnis and Gulbis stats and a really rough 5 setter for Bagnis taking a punt Gulbis here, but it is Gulbis and you never know what you are going to get. Really liking Cornet and Nieminen as well. Cheers

Adding a total on Tursunov/Querrey. Both have atrocious clay numbers and recent form, I like Tursunov here but Querrey serve capable of taking this to 4.

Tursunov/Querrey o39.5 -103 risk 1.03

Lisicki/Barthel 0 21.5 -110 risk 1.1

Venus -1.5 sets -130 risk 1.3

I just saw this twitter post, I was on gasquet but this sums up this pathetic match yesterday

"Bernard Tomic wore this jacket today". pic.twitter.com/Rfu1x0Rek6




Nigel Cozens @frankbutcher76 12h
@FortyDeuceTwits Is he wearing a large condom?

Bernard Tomic, asked whether his dad's court cases was distracting to his match : "That's a stupid question. How can you answer that? That's berserk"

Kevin Fischer @Kfish_WTA 1h
@FortyDeuceTwits did he moonwalk into the press conference?!

[frugalgambler]

Brilliant pictures ! Loving it. Was leaning RG-3@+160 but did not pull the trigger after all. Had I seen Tomic's attire I would've played it.

Saw Pervak's attire by chance yesterday, she was wearing khakis as her warmup clothes. WTF ? Her father is immensely rich by the way, god knows how much he managed to steal in Russia. Masha took care of her quickly.

[gregm]

He really is something.I like this one the best




Cornet and Nieminen ruined the day, still waiting on nadal parlay and Thursday matches, but I was really impressed by the 18 year old taylor townsend. Great serve and forehand, a little wild with backhand but really strong shots, good serve and volley. Only third match I have seen of her but she was phenomenal today, even Andy Murray praised her

Andy Murray ✔ @andy_murray
Follow
How good is Taylor Townsend! #talent

She needs some serious physical conditioning improvements and lose some weight but will be fascinating to watch her. I dont get excited about young american talent that much anymore as the latest few have been huge letdowns but she may be one to watch.

If you didnt sit in for twitter with Weston you didnt miss much, way too short at 30 minutes.He doesnt use oncourt (?), harvests his own in play data and uses it more in play wagering than watching matches(?), doesnt trade in other sports etc. Too short today to get much but I like the fact pinnacle has these, Pinnacle will be having some of the twitter Q&A for world cup. I was reading @tennisrankings stuff about break back statistics and Cornet, would have buried me even more live betting if I wasnt watching the match and how she was struggling. Weston mentioned he relies more on stats for in play for live wagering but the stats on townsend is so insignificant at this level.

Sock 1-5 -108 risk 1.08

Sock/Johnson o39.5 -104 risk 2.08

F.Lopez -5.5 -102 risk 1.02

Halep/Nadal/Tsonga (fri)/Murray/Lopez/Federer(fri) -119 risk 3.57

Fognini -6 -125 risk 1.25

Monfils -5.5 -116 risk 1.16

Anderson/Nadal/Tsonga (fri)/Murray/Lopez/Federer(fri) -115 risk 1.15

Seppi/Monaco o38.5 +100 risk 1

Nadal -2.5 sets -215 risk 2.15

Gabashvili +122 risk 1

Dusan Lajovic -7 -123 risk 1.23

Nadal/Murray/Anderson/Errani/Petkovic/G.Lopez -124 risk 2.48

G.lopez -7 -123 risk 2.46

Flipkens ml -217 risk 2.17

Monfils -.5.5 -116 risk 1.16

Kohli -4.5 +100 risk 2

Petkovic -1.5 sets -183 risk 1.83

K.Mladenovic -1.5 games +100 risk 1

Petkovic/Nadal/Murray/G lopez/federer (fri) -174 risk 1.74

Really like Petkovic tomorrow, Voegele has been in dismal form. I will do the petco dance around the house if we come up big tomorrow