Originally posted by MUHerd37
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woz ain't fat, but this picture is funny:
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27 unforced errors?Originally posted by EaglesPhan36Comment -
Soderling up 2 breaks in the 4th set. Dolgopolov bet that the match would go 5 sets. Did you?Comment -
Originally posted by MUHerd37
i bet on soderling in a parlay. wonder how many peoples he will wreck if he loses.
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Today was a day where I bet a lot of chalk parlayers might get killed. Only solid way to get a payout would be to take at least three of the big men's favorites .... and that's a recipe for disaster.Comment -
I have money on Soderling as well. He just won the 4th set. Hopefully he can get it done. I might go huge on Nadal. I really want to but I'm also nervous as hell.Comment -
Soderling got an early break in the 5th. Prolly gonna need 1 more tho.Comment -
Broken right back at love. Jackass.Comment -
its been a really good tourney! the time to go huge on anything has passed IMO. dolgo/soderling is a good example of that. i thought soderling would roll easily.Originally posted by MUHerd37
now he's about to go a break down in the last, after being a break up
I left Nadal out is because he didn't come in fit, its getting later in the tournament, cilic is no joke and Nadal hasn't looked fit.Comment -
You should never go huge on a tennis bet, ever. Seriously.Comment -
I really feel like Nadal is fit enough to beat Cilic. It took Cilic 5 sets to beat Isner who can't move around the court at all. If he gets up early I think Cilic will break mentally like he always does. Soderling down a break now. Dolgo is getting just about every shot back and making Soderling struggle. Soderling having a hell of a time to get anything past him.Comment -
I would never go huge on a tennis match except in a major. Also, only with certain players.Comment -
Even in a Slam, there is no point to going BIG. Fixes. Injuries. Poor play. Happen all the time. Tennis betting more so than all other sports IMO, you stay with the same wager size all the time and you'll be okay. All it takes is one time going BIG on chalk and you fukk yourself.Comment -
yup, at -800 or -1000, i reckon quite a few pepole would have thought soderling was easy money and lost big today. i thoguht he was an easy parlay booster. bah - but at least a normal bet is all i lost. The last leg of that parlay - Zvonereva is looking ordinary too so it may not have mattered (i hedged on Benesova at $9.00 after soderling won the first game of the last set... i'm now really hoping she pulls this one off - not used to playing from behind this open!)Originally posted by EaglesPhan36Comment -
Yeah obviously fukking myself is what I'm worried about. With the Nadal match I'm not worried about match fixing at all. Poor play I'm not totally worried about because the majors are what it's all about for Nadal. This is also the only major that he doesn't hold right now and he has said that it's really important for him to do that and this may be his only chance. The injury is what I'm most worried about. He might be coming in a little sick and of course you could always get hurt during a match. Nadal is at -770 and it's really tempting.Comment -
MUherd: the important question I ask myself before laying that kind of juice is how I would feel if I had $700 less in my account.
If the thought makes me sick, i don't make the bet. Make sure you don't play at a book that DOESN'T count it as action after the first set and requires the match to be completed (i know most American books grade action after a set, but Aus/Europe don't!Comment -
I said it before, a lot of people riding Cilic to pull the upset but I don't think people are thinking enough about how taxing his last match was ... they're caught up in the Nadal not 100% angle perhaps ... Cilic on the handicap might be a play, but ML it's been banging so hard, that there is only a small chance that it hits I think. Too many people on it. Of course part of it was the line was too high to begin with.Comment -
MU, my advice is a bit different because I bet relatively large amounts somewhat regularily and I vary my bet sizes ie I had a handicap play today for a certain amount and took the ML for about two thirds less. However I rarely bet large on chalk and definitely not on big chalk. And if my big bet loses, I can absorb the loss as it's never a huge percentage of the cash i have available for betting. If this huge bet won't kill you and you've done the research, then I say go for it as long as you're aware of the many risks involved.
Definitely don't listen to any of us though - it's not our money. Best of luck whatever you decide to do.
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Just getting in now guys.Can't believe Soderling lost. There goes my outright geez
Have no plays for today. I agree with you guys that the lines were a little to big today to take a change with anyone.
Still to come we have rafa and Ferrer matches. Nadal is to big to bet and Ferrer is also to big. I've noticed that the Ferrer line is coming down a bit so it looks like some people are going to take their chances on Raonic pulling an upset. I could see this happening.You never know really.If I am backing someone at -400 I want it to be rafa and not David Ferrer. I've always liked Ferrer though don't get me wrong. Just wouldn't bet him as a big fav
Left for the ladies is Clijsters who has another massive price. PassComment -
Have to also remember with Cilic that he is like Gulbis and one of the most inconsistant players on tour. If he came out and lost 61 62 60 to Rafa today I wouldn't sit here and be shocked. Can be either really good or really bad. If you had to bet on someone in the match you would have to put your money on a 75% Nadal over a Jekyll and Hyde player like Cilic.Comment -
Murray playing some great tennis wowComment -
Break Raonic wow. Playing some great tennis at the netComment -
Worth taking Ferrer at -200 or waiting for this Canadian kid to go farther?Comment -
Originally posted by Stacocakes
and he consolidates the break!!
must have been a wild first 8 games. Raonic: 16 winners, 16 unforced errors.Comment -
I wouldn't take Ferrer live right now he is being blasted off the court. Might still win the match in the end but he shouldn't be taken at big oddsComment -
Brad gilbert is basically jerking off Raonic right now. It's funny
His touch at the net is amazing. I remember seeing Raonic play Gonzalez in the first round in the canadian open and he almost beat Fernando.Could tell at that time that there was at least something there with himComment -
Do they ever know which name is the first name for the Chines broads? Shau Peng, they call her Peng Shua. Na Li, they call her Li Na. WTF?Comment -
Who knows.I have heard it both ways for each of them. I have no clue. I have always thought it was Li Na and Shau Peng.
Radwanska is looking damn good today. The hat is a better look for her because it hides a bit of her face
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28 unforced errors by Raonic and only 1 by Ferrer??? And Ferrer is losing? BP Ferrer thoComment -
Nadal line is up to -807Comment -
What's great about these upsets or close calls is it is keeping the lines in-check now. Djokovic is pretty tame and Federer even at -415 is tame against Wawrinka. I'm guessing quite a few will try Wawrinka because he beat up Roddick.Comment -
Ferrer finally broke himComment -
Break FerrerComment -
I think its a cultural thing.Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
I deal with a quite a few vietnamese people in my work and i can never friggin' figure out which way round to say their name - they write it one way, the papers say something else and they introduce themselves by a different name
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Why the hell is Wozniacki -800 over Schiavone? I know Schiavone just played a marathon but damn! Seems like it should be a matchup that scares Wozi.Comment