2019 Tennis Season - Picks and Analysis

[Jeff_Black]

6 - 9 - 2, -1.647u

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R1
Mirza Basic vs Henri Laakonsen
Moneyline: Mirza Basic @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R1
Marc Polmans vs Denis Kudla
Handicap: Marc Polmans +5.5 @ 2.12 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Conqueror]

I hope Basic isn't fool's gold. I really him but I'm scared.

[Jeff_Black]

Yeah just didn't show up today unfortunately

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R1
Lloyd George Harris vs Daniil Medvedev
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev -2.5 Sets @ 2.03 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R1
Gilles Simon vs Bjorn Fratangelo
Set Handicap: Gilles Simon -2.5 Sets @ 2.40 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R1
Luca Vanni vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta -6 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R1
Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Martin Klizan
Handicap: Jo Wilfried Tsonga -5.5 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R1
Alexander Zverev vs Aljaz Bedene
Total Score: Under 30.5 Games @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Feliciano Lopez +4 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Handicap: Janko Tipsarevic +9.5 @ 1.763 on Pinnacle
Handicap: Steve Darcis +7 @ 1.892 on Pinnacle
Handicap: Jason Kubler -1.5 @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Handicap: Cameron Norrie -1 @ 1.97 on Pinnacle
Total Score: Over 39.5 Games @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Set Handicap: Roberto Bautista Agut -2.5 Sets @ 2.21 on Pinnacle
Handicap: Matt Ebden +3.5 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Moneyline: Tennys Sandgren @ 2.03 on Pinnacle
Handicap: Gael Monfils -3.5 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle
Total Score: Over 36.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Moneyline: Mirza Basic @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Handicap: Marc Polmans +5.5 @ 2.12 on Pinnacle
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev -2.5 Sets @ 2.03 on Pinnacle
Set Handicap: Gilles Simon -2.5 Sets @ 2.40 on Pinnacle
Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta -6 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Handicap: Jo Wilfried Tsonga -5.5 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Total Score: Under 30.5 Games @ 1.909 on Pinnacle

15 - 18 - 2, -2.221u

Much better picking out the second days of games then the first, yikes. Few well juiced ones helped me out too

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R1
Nick Kyrgios vs Milos Raonic
Moneyline: Nick Kyrgios @ 2.19 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R1
Maximilian Marterer vs Gleb Sakaharov
Total Score: Under 35 Games @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Tomas Berdych vs Robin Haase
Set Handicap: Tomas Berdych -2.5 Sets @ 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u play

Not often I dig a little deeper but this seems like great value to me. H2H looks a little misleading but Haase has one of the worst records at the slams, only his third time and since 2011 being past the third round and didn't really beat a HC guy in Garcia Lopez to do it. I fully expect that price to drop. Similar to my De Minaur bets. And let's be honest the level between these two players is not even comparable when Berdych is healthy.

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Viktor Troicki
Total Games: Over 35 Games @ 1.97 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Gael Monfils vs Taylor Fritz
Handicap: Gael Monfils -3 @ 1.934 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Denis Kudla vs Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
Set Handicap: Diego Sebastian Schwartzman -2.5 Sets @ 2.429 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play


Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Marin Cilic vs Mackenzie McDonald
Handicap: Mackenzie McDonald +7 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Radu Albot vs Fernando Verdasco
Set Handicap: Fernando Verdasco -2.5 Sets @ 2.24 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[JC1186]

All the best in 2019 Jeff!

I’ve gone for just the one bet tomorrow - $310 @ 6.50 on Cuevas to beat Dimitrov.

Won’t ever post a bet on your thread again (for obvious reasons) but reckon this one could be a good.

[Jeff_Black]

All the best in 2019 Jeff!

I’ve gone for just the one bet tomorrow - $310 @ 6.50 on Cuevas to beat Dimitrov.

Won’t ever post a bet on your thread again (for obvious reasons) but reckon this one could be a good.

Not at all! You are welcome to any time!
I've been looking to fade Dimitrov for a while (hence the ridiculously tempting line on Tipsy) so totally get your reasonig for that.

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Dominic Thiem -5.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Set Handicap: Tomas Berdych -2.5 Sets @ 2.00 on Pinnacle
Total Games: Over 35 Games @ 1.97 on Pinnacle
Set Handicap: Diego Sebastian Schwartzman -2.5 Sets @ 2.429 on Pinnacle
Moneyline: Nick Kyrgios @ 2.19 on Pinnacle
Total Score: Under 35 Games @ 1.961 on Pinnacle

18 - 21 - 2, -0.29u

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Matthew Ebden vs Rafael Nadal
Total Score: Under 33 Games @ 1.884 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u play

This is another interesting one, maybe influenced by the fact that the Nadal and Duckworth game was closer then many expected, first match (officially) is out of the way, I think the cooler conditions will suit Nadal way better tonight, and Ebden isn't in great form. You are really relying on him to push to win a set or get a tiebreak but I think Nadal is physically a bad matchup for Ebden. Crowd influence, home court I think don't factor in as much, Nadal will be too good IMO.

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Roberto Bautista Agut vs John Millman
Handicap: Roberto Bautista Agut -5 @ 1.819 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play
Set Handicap: Roberto Bautista Agut -2.5 Sets @ 2.75 on Pinnacle)
Stake: 1u play

Bit of a double dip here but it's hard to ignore Bautista's form even though it took him five sets to put away Murray. Whilst Millman took four sets to put away Delbonis who isn't a hardcourt player and was 1-4 on hardcourts in 2018 (lifetime below .500) as well as someone who has only made it past the first round of the Australian Open once and once in the slams in the last 24 months.
Bautista is an all court player who I think with the more relaxed environment but still against the crowd should handle things better this time around IMO.

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Yoshihito Nishioka vs Karen Khachanov
Handicap: Yoshihito Nishioka +6 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Alex De Minaur vs Henri Laakonsen
Total Score: Under 31 Games @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Alex Bolt vs Gilles Simon
Set Handicap: Gilles Simon -2.5 Sets @ 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Taro Daniel vs Denis Shapovalov
Set Handicap: Denis Shapovalov -2.5 Sets @ 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
David Goffin vs Marius Copil
Set Handicap: David Goffin -2.5 Sets @ 2.26 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Alexei Popyrin vs Dominic Thiem
Set Handicap: Dominic Thiem -2.5 Sets @ 1.934 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Alexander Zverev vs Jeremy Chardy
Set Handicap: Jeremy Chardy +2.5 Sets @ 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, R2
Lucas Pouille vs Maximillian Marterer
Moneyline: Maximillian Marterer @ 2.16 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Still a few more I'm tossing up.

[Jeff_Black]

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R2
Borna Coric vs Marton Fuscovics
Total Score: Over 36.5 Games @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R2
Hyeon Chung vs Pierre Hughes Herbert
Total Score: Over 37.5 Games @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R2
Philip Kohlscriebber vs Joao Sousa
Total Score: Under 38 Games @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open, Men's Singles, R2
Stan Wawrinka vs Milos Raonic
Money line: Stan Wawrinka @ 3.77 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[leovegas]

Karlovic is a definition of 'A Tree'.

[Conqueror]

Thinking of taking Wawrinka ML on livebet.

[Jeff_Black]

He's struggling on serve hard but hanging in there
Not sure if its sustainable over 5 sets
Might look a big hampered movement wise but shot wise he's equal and can win if he moves Raonic around and attacks his second serve

[Jeff_Black]

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R2
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 2.05 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R2
Tomas Berdych vs Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
Set Handicap: Tomas Berdych -2.5 Sets @ 2.48 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R2
Roberto Bautista Agut vs Karen Khachanov
Handicap: Roberto Bautista Agut +3.5 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R2
Grigor Dimitrov vs Thomas Fabbiano
Total Score: Under 32 Games @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R2
Taylor Fritz vs Roger Federer
Total Score: Under 32.5 Games @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Poisec]

Karlovic is a definition of 'A Tree'.

Had no bet on this but as a Kei supporter that was extremely frustrating to watch

[Jeff_Black]

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R2
Francis Tiafoe vs Andreas Seppi
Moneyline: Francis Tiafoe @ 2.08 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R2
Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal
Handicap: Alex De Minaur @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R3
David Goffin vs Daniil Medvedev
Total Score: Over 38.5 Games @ 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R3
Fabio Fognini vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta +1.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R3
Alexander Zverev vs Alex Bolt
Total Score: Under 32 Games @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men's Singles, R3
Alexander Zverev vs Alex Bolt
Total Score: Under 32 Games @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Australia Open, Men’s Singles, R4
Francis Tiafoe vs Grigor Dimitrov
Handicap: Francis Tiafoe +4 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men’s Singles, R4
Rafael Nadal vs Tomas Berdych
Handicap: Tomas Berdych +5.5 @ 2.11 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Australia Open, Men’s Singles, R4
Marin Cilic vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Money line: Roberto Bautista Agut @ 2.16 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Australia Open, Men’s Singles, R4
Kei Nishikori vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Total Score: Over 36.5 Games @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

Australia Open, Men’s Singles, R4
Borna Coric vs Lucas Pouille
Total Score: Over 38 Games @ 1.854 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

Australia Open, Men’s Singles, R4
Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev
Total Score: Under 34 Games @ 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

[Jeff_Black]

31 - 37 - 2, -0.034u

Australia Open, Men’s Singles, QF
Rafael Nadal vs Francis Tiafoe
Handicap: Francis Tiafoe +8 @ 2.12 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u play

Australia Open, Men’s Singles, QF
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas -1 @ 2.04 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u play

[Jeff_Black]

33 - 38 - 2, +1.542u

Australian Open, Mens Singles, QF
Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori
Set Handicap: Novak Djokovic -2.5 Sets @ 1.884 on Pinnacle
Stake: 4.5u play

Australian Open, Mens Singles, QF
Rafael Nadal vs Francis Tiafoe
Money line: Francis Tiafoe @ 14.37 on Pinnacle
Stake: 0.5u play

[Conqueror]

Tailed.

[Jeff_Black]

Tailed.

BOL to us both

Australian Open, Womens Singles, QF
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Danielle Collins
Moneyline: Danielle Collins @ 2.10 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u

[Jeff_Black]

35 - 38 - 2, +6.862u


Australian Open, Womens Singles, QF
Ashleigh Barty vs Petra Kvitova
Moneyline: Ashleigh Barty @ 2.31 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u

[DavidGoliath5003]

Jeff, Kvitova is in beast form. I wouldnt be suprised if this was straights

[DavidGoliath5003]

BOL to us both

Australian Open, Womens Singles, QF
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Danielle Collins
Moneyline: Danielle Collins @ 2.10 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u

I had collins too, Great hit.

[Conqueror]

Nice comeback by Collins.

[Jeff_Black]

Jeff, Kvitova is in beast form. I wouldnt be suprised if this was straights

I actually just feel silly for just not taking the over for these games lol

More likely to be 3 sets lol

[DavidGoliath5003]

I actually just feel silly for just not taking the over for these games lol

More likely to be 3 sets lol

Yeah, the weird odds suggest this. I maybe off but Kvitova should be -200ish atleast here. -2 Games @1.84 has value

[Jeff_Black]

Yeah Kvitova too good, her and Osaka both in good form one of the better final fours looming

Australia Open, Women’s Singles, QF
Serena Williams vs Karolina Pliskova
Handicap: Karolina Ploskova +3.5 @ 2.08 on Pinnacle
Money line: Karolina Pliskova @ 3.44 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u and 1u

[Jeff_Black]

Australia Open, Mens Singles, QF
Milos Raonic vs Lucas Pouille
Handicap: Lucas Pouille +5 @ 2.03 on Pinnacle
Money line: Lucas Pouile @ 5.62 on Pinnacle
Set Handicap: Lucas Pouille +2.5 Sets @ 1.793 on Pinnacle
Stake: 3u, 1u and 4u

[Jeff_Black]

37 - 41 - 3 (+7.042u)

Tbh Would have been just happy to see Pliskova get the cover but to knock the beast and biggest sore loser in tennis history makes it even sweeter.

[Conqueror]

I'll be rooting for you but I'm afraid Pouile hasn't won a set against the Giraffe. Plus I'm never comfortable betting on a French player. I've no dog in the fight though.

[Jeff_Black]

I'll be rooting for you but I'm afraid Pouile hasn't won a set against the Giraffe. Plus I'm never comfortable betting on a French player. I've no dog in the fight though.

Yeah Pouille looking pretty terrible ey. Loose service game from him. Wonder if those long matches have effected him.
Problem is I've always underestimated him before so I have to give him some respect, he's beaten Nadal on HC amongst other wins...

Hard to gauge Raonic's form because his opponents have basically beaten themselves.

[Conqueror]

Agree with everything you said but we both know Pouile is better on clay than on hard court. He might eventually become the French version of Nadal.

On another note, I'll be playing the Greek kid against Nadal. I think Tsitsi has what it takes to beat Nadal. It's time for the kids to start etching their place in tennis. It's time for the rats to start chasing the cats (lol).