nishikori to win madrid +1525

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  • Geoff_Saari
    SBR High Roller
    • 04-30-14
    • 166

    #36
    awful first serving today , had me sweating hard especially when he got the massages , had 3k on him

    Ferrer looked better today. shall be interesting tomorrow .. (not betting it)

    GL
    Comment
    • bababooey13
      SBR MVP
      • 11-13-13
      • 1897

      #37
      Originally posted by Geoff_Saari
      awful first serving today , had me sweating hard especially when he got the massages , had 3k on him

      Ferrer looked better today. shall be interesting tomorrow .. (not betting it)

      GL
      ya i woulda been shitting with 3 k on him watching those massages. other than that though lopez had no chance at all today. ill be very surprised if kei moves past the next round @ this point.
      Comment
      • matt1216
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-27-11
        • 14683

        #38
        hedge out now, im pretty sure Ferrer is gonna take a MT Everest size dump on Kei tomorrow.
        Comment
        • Cappinpicks
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-11-10
          • 14986

          #39
          Originally posted by matt1216
          hedge out now, im pretty sure Ferrer is gonna take a MT Everest size dump on Kei tomorrow.
          no way, unless hes injured
          Comment
          • matt1216
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-27-11
            • 14683

            #40
            Originally posted by Cappinpicks
            no way, unless hes injured
            ferrers out for revenge. I see a blood bath
            Comment
            • tipsadontlikehim
              SBR MVP
              • 11-14-13
              • 2569

              #41
              Originally posted by matt1216
              hedge out now, im pretty sure Ferrer is gonna take a MT Everest size dump on Kei tomorrow.
              This.
              Comment
              • SirtySree
                SBR MVP
                • 12-19-13
                • 2370

                #42
                Unless Nish is injured, I can see him winning this. They are both similar players but what I like about Nish is that he actually has a good first serve now which was the difference maker in their previous encounter.

                Regardless, will be a good match to watch as there will definitely be some good rallies.
                Comment
                • bababooey13
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-13-13
                  • 1897

                  #43
                  if hes healthy he can obviously win that's not even an argument but he was clearly injured today don't see how he gets better overnight. lot of tennis for the jap lately.
                  Comment
                  • SirtySree
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-19-13
                    • 2370

                    #44
                    Originally posted by bababooey13
                    if hes healthy he can obviously win that's not even an argument but he was clearly injured today don't see how he gets better overnight. lot of tennis for the jap lately.
                    not sure to the extent of the injury bt lower back problems could be back spasms which means theres a chance that hes fine.

                    will prob need to c him in a action first before playing a bet live
                    Comment
                    • bababooey13
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-13-13
                      • 1897

                      #45
                      Originally posted by SirtySree
                      not sure to the extent of the injury bt lower back problems could be back spasms which means theres a chance that hes fine.

                      will prob need to c him in a action first before playing a bet live
                      hey im hoping for the best just trying to be realistic.

                      good point on betting live.
                      Comment
                      • tipsadontlikehim
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-14-13
                        • 2569

                        #46
                        Comment
                        • bababooey13
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-13
                          • 1897

                          #47
                          if he doesn't withdraw, ive made some nice coin.
                          take notes kenz
                          Comment
                          • tb1984
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-11-08
                            • 3112

                            #48
                            Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                            Comment
                            • Cappinpicks
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-11-10
                              • 14986

                              #49
                              What are nadals odds
                              Comment
                              • w@lt
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-08-10
                                • 2594

                                #50
                                -825 right now.
                                Comment
                                • bababooey13
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-13-13
                                  • 1897

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by w@lt
                                  -825 right now.
                                  Christ almighty
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #52
                                    Do you realize yet how Nishikori's odds for winning the SF and F are far greater than +1525?
                                    Comment
                                    • bababooey13
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-13
                                      • 1897

                                      #53
                                      Guess I gotta hope for a break live. Take notes kenz?
                                      Comment
                                      • Tmuston Beltics
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-14-13
                                        • 1253

                                        #54
                                        Unlucky. You basically got like +100 odds for Nishikori to make the finals..
                                        Comment
                                        • Cappinpicks
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-11-10
                                          • 14986

                                          #55
                                          Going huge on kei each match up to nadal seemed best
                                          Comment
                                          • Dmoneytx
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-09-12
                                            • 6450

                                            #56
                                            I can't believe ya'll were dumping on Kei before this match. The dude is playing the BEST tennis of his life & the heart he showed in the third set today was exceptional IMO.. Ferrer has been average at best lately & this was gonna be a battle from the start. I wanted to post something earlier when I saw the comments, but couldn't. I was SO happy to see him win this match, esp that first set
                                            I went with Kei +3 in two parlays today with basketball, I couldn't pull the trigger on his ML. I was just surprised to see everyone saying Ferrer would trash Kei hardcore, that's all..

                                            Nadal vs Nish in the finals will be solid, but we know who will win.. I wonder how many games Nadal will give up, this match may be too tough to bet, arg.. BOL to everyone if they wager tomm
                                            Comment
                                            • matt1216
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-27-11
                                              • 14683

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by bababooey13
                                              Christ almighty
                                              Maybe parlay Nadal with someone on the Rome side
                                              Comment
                                              • Dmoneytx
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-09-12
                                                • 6450

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by matt1216
                                                Maybe parlay Nadal with someone on the Rome side
                                                Comment
                                                • bababooey13
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-13-13
                                                  • 1897

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by matt1216
                                                  Maybe parlay Nadal with someone on the Rome side
                                                  Im hoping/preying nishikori puts up a fight early cuz they'll have to gimme better odds for nadal live.
                                                  I havent taken a look at anything in Rome yet ill take a look thank you.
                                                  Clips moneyline tomorrow is a lock imo. Nba will rig that shit hard.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • gasto
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-30-11
                                                    • 330

                                                    #60
                                                    So would it have been wiser to have an open parlay and bet Nishikori all the way up to today. Just wondering what the odds of that would have been. Maybe something to consider next time. At least you could be cashing something right now. Assuming your book is like 5dimes that allows Open parlays for unlimited time span
                                                    Comment
                                                    • matt1216
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-27-11
                                                      • 14683

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by bababooey13
                                                      Im hoping/preying nishikori puts up a fight early cuz they'll have to gimme better odds for nadal live.
                                                      I havent taken a look at anything in Rome yet ill take a look thank you.
                                                      Clips moneyline tomorrow is a lock imo. Nba will rig that shit hard.
                                                      You think so? I had okc last night when many were on the Clipps. I just find okc is a bad matchup for the Clipps.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                        • 15606

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by gasto
                                                        So would it have been wiser to have an open parlay and bet Nishikori all the way up to today. Just wondering what the odds of that would have been. Maybe something to consider next time. At least you could be cashing something right now. Assuming your book is like 5dimes that allows Open parlays for unlimited time span
                                                        About three times as high.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Tmuston Beltics
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-14-13
                                                          • 1253

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by gasto
                                                          So would it have been wiser to have an open parlay and bet Nishikori all the way up to today. Just wondering what the odds of that would have been. Maybe something to consider next time. At least you could be cashing something right now. Assuming your book is like 5dimes that allows Open parlays for unlimited time span
                                                          Using closing odds @ Bet365, you get 5,31 for Nishikori to make the finals if you go all in each game from the first round.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bababooey13
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-13-13
                                                            • 1897

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by matt1216
                                                            You think so? I had okc last night when many were on the Clipps. I just find okc is a bad matchup for the Clipps.
                                                            i had okc last night as well. match ups dont matter in the nba dont you know that? shit is like the wwe.
                                                            this series will go 7 games, guaranteed.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • matt1216
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-27-11
                                                              • 14683

                                                              #65
                                                              gulbis @2.50 vs nishikori in Rome 12 may 2014.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bababooey13
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-13-13
                                                                • 1897

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by gasto
                                                                So would it have been wiser to have an open parlay and bet Nishikori all the way up to today. Just wondering what the odds of that would have been. Maybe something to consider next time. At least you could be cashing something right now. Assuming your book is like 5dimes that allows Open parlays for unlimited time span
                                                                i only use pinnacle. probably should open an account somewhere that allows open parlays. its not like i risked a lot on this. I took nishikori live today ive made nice coin, this is all for fun now. hoping he puts up a fight tomorrow. maybe coach chang will have some secret green tea for rejuvenation.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HeeeHAWWWW
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 06-13-08
                                                                  • 5487

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by Tmuston Beltics
                                                                  Using closing odds @ Bet365, you get 5,31 for Nishikori to make the finals if you go all in each game from the first round.
                                                                  6.41 at pinnacle :-)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gasto
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-30-11
                                                                    • 330

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Its cool Bababooey, actually the intended word was "better alternative" instead of wiser. You clearly have been right up to now which is awesome on its own.

                                                                    English is my second language. Good read on Nishikori though.

                                                                    Hardcoar, can you answer this. I know once we had an argument about if games are fixed or not. I observed this. In third set BET365 was clearly favoring Ferrer to win after he had just broken Nishikori and was up 2 to 1. Makes sense ok. On the other had total games played at over under 34.5. At that point the only way the game would go Under would be if one of the players won 3 or less games.

                                                                    They were clearly making a lean that one of the players would not win 4 games, which seems statistically speaking a low probability given how close the games were going. Even when Nishikori broke to make it 3:3 they did not move total games from 34.5. Just found it odd. And believe anyone watching the game would have thought Over 34.5 was the right choice. We all know what happened.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Cappinpicks
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-11-10
                                                                      • 14986

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Match was fixed else Ferrer could have broke eventually with 9 MP's missed
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • CindyCryBaby
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 07-16-10
                                                                        • 303

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by gasto
                                                                        Its cool Bababooey, actually the intended word was "better alternative" instead of wiser. You clearly have been right up to now which is awesome on its own.

                                                                        English is my second language. Good read on Nishikori though.

                                                                        Hardcoar, can you answer this. I know once we had an argument about if games are fixed or not. I observed this. In third set BET365 was clearly favoring Ferrer to win after he had just broken Nishikori and was up 2 to 1. Makes sense ok. On the other had total games played at over under 34.5. At that point the only way the game would go Under would be if one of the players won 3 or less games.

                                                                        They were clearly making a lean that one of the players would not win 4 games, which seems statistically speaking a low probability given how close the games were going. Even when Nishikori broke to make it 3:3 they did not move total games from 34.5. Just found it odd. And believe anyone watching the game would have thought Over 34.5 was the right choice. We all know what happened.
                                                                        You followed the score incorrectly. There were no breaks in the 3rd until Nishikori broke to make it 4-2.
                                                                        Comment
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