nishikori to win madrid +1525

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  • bababooey13
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-13
    • 1897

    #1
    nishikori to win madrid +1525
    he's been as hot as anybody recently. not much explanation needed here, but he has a nice draw opposite nadal. wawa will be very tough if he makes if that far, but he has looked great so far this season and I really liked how he looked on clay last week losing 1 set all week. good luck to me.


  • Cappinpicks
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-11-10
    • 14986

    #2
    start by going all in vs Dodig
    Comment
    • gaebiskon
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-10-12
      • 869

      #3
      sushi has been great recently but i doubt he will go far in madrid
      Comment
      • cryptocap
        SBR MVP
        • 03-04-14
        • 1528

        #4
        he'll be lucky to get by dodig...over inflated by that weak lineup to the barca title...took a tired cilic who came from a 3 set tie break extravaganza and a cup is half empty giraldo...wont be easy for him tnite
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #5
          I can tell you like your odds shitty.
          Comment
          • bababooey13
            SBR MVP
            • 11-13-13
            • 1897

            #6
            Originally posted by cryptocap
            he'll be lucky to get by dodig...over inflated by that weak lineup to the barca title...took a tired cilic who came from a 3 set tie break extravaganza and a cup is half empty giraldo...wont be easy for him tnite
            dodig didn't have a chance.

            in his last 10 matches kei's beaten federer, ferrer, dimitrov, gulbis & bautista-agut.

            price may be inflated.. as hardcore loves to point out, but I still made the small risk.
            Comment
            • Hardcoar
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-17-13
              • 15606

              #7
              He's 4:th favorite at least.
              Comment
              • cryptocap
                SBR MVP
                • 03-04-14
                • 1528

                #8
                6-4 6-4 was hardly easy especially @5.8 ML lol
                Comment
                • cryptocap
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-04-14
                  • 1528

                  #9
                  Nishi got down to 1.09 at my book....risk 100 to win 9...urghh so gross
                  Comment
                  • cryptocap
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-04-14
                    • 1528

                    #10
                    no chance to win madrid
                    Comment
                    • SirtySree
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-19-13
                      • 2370

                      #11
                      Originally posted by cryptocap
                      6-4 6-4 was hardly easy especially @5.8 ML lol
                      scoreline inflated. nish had him at deuce in almost all of dodigs serve games. without his big serve, he wouldn't have won many games. also nish looked great thru out the match. prob wont win madrid bt he should do well
                      Comment
                      • matt1216
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-27-11
                        • 14683

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Hardcoar
                        I can tell you like your odds shitty.
                        Comment
                        • bababooey13
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-13
                          • 1897

                          #13
                          no more picks matt?


                          Originally posted by cryptocap
                          6-4 6-4 was hardly easy especially @5.8 ML lol
                          doesn't get much easier. what's your beef with the jap?
                          Comment
                          • matt1216
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-27-11
                            • 14683

                            #14
                            Originally posted by bababooey13
                            no more picks matt?




                            doesn't get much easier. what's your beef with the jap?
                            ive done enough for the forum... ill start posting again soon enough. im not great with clay. baseball is my thing.
                            Comment
                            • bababooey13
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-13-13
                              • 1897

                              #15
                              Originally posted by matt1216
                              ive done enough for the forum... ill start posting again soon enough. im not great with clay. baseball is my thing.
                              what up with your avatar?
                              Comment
                              • kenz
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-09-12
                                • 4879

                                #16
                                Future bets are a no-no. If you take them often, 99.9999% you lose money
                                Comment
                                • bababooey13
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-13-13
                                  • 1897

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by kenz
                                  Future bets are a no-no. If you take them often, 99.9999% you lose money
                                  simply wrong. you can make good coin.

                                  Ive made a lot of money with futures the past 2 years. had fognini a bunch of times last season during his run. gulbis a couple months ago. dimitrov in acapulco. murray at wimbledon last year. & bartoli at like 55 to 1 at wimbledon last year as well(courtesy of EP).

                                  nadal is nadal.. probably will win, but he looked out of form last week. with joker injured i think it's worth taking a chance with some other guys this week.
                                  Comment
                                  • kenz
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-12
                                    • 4879

                                    #18
                                    I am still not convinced future bets are profitable. It is not easy to cap a single game, let alone a tourney
                                    Comment
                                    • bababooey13
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-13
                                      • 1897

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by kenz
                                      I am still not convinced future bets are profitable. It is not easy to cap a single game, let alone a tourney
                                      so then what is your explanation to my profits on them since betting them? luck? maybe your approach isn't profitable.
                                      no offense meant at all kenz.
                                      Comment
                                      • kenz
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-09-12
                                        • 4879

                                        #20
                                        I think you are minority.

                                        An Australian won $196,000 US Dollars from Li Na * Wawrinka outright parlay, betting $435 @452

                                        http://espn.go.com/tennis/aus14/stor...-one-australia

                                        This guy is also a minority. I think losing money is a lot easier on Futures and bookies view Futures as their admiral ships.

                                        Still congrats on your wins
                                        Comment
                                        • bababooey13
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-13-13
                                          • 1897

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by kenz
                                          I think you are minority.

                                          An Australian won $196,000 US Dollars from Li Na * Wawrinka outright parlay, betting $435.

                                          http://espn.go.com/tennis/aus14/stor...-one-australia

                                          This guy is also a minority. I think losing money is a lot easier on Futures and bookies view Futures as their admiral ships.

                                          Still congrats on your wins
                                          we are the minority, posting on gambling forums.
                                          i think there are lots of sharp dudes out there making a killing on tennis futures.
                                          i guess we'll have to agree to disagree.
                                          either way, keep on truckin nishikori.
                                          Comment
                                          • kenz
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-09-12
                                            • 4879

                                            #22
                                            I agree to diasgree BOL bababooey13
                                            Comment
                                            • bababooey13
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-13
                                              • 1897

                                              #23
                                              bye bye federer.
                                              bye bye wawa.
                                              Comment
                                              • Marillion
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-06-14
                                                • 1453

                                                #24
                                                IMO they can be worth it if you play them selectively. This will mean that you are going to bet a few times per year and your sample size is never going to be decent enough (i.e. Cornet to win Katowice at @13 was fat value imo)

                                                Having said all that, skipping futures at all is never going to be a mistake.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by kenz
                                                  Future bets are a no-no. If you take them often, 99.9999% you lose money
                                                  The only way you consistently lose money is if your player loses in their first match (terrible luck or bad capping maybe) or you're stubborn and don't trade out when the opportunity is there. Otherwise, there is no reason you can't make money. It's just an understanding on what you're getting into. Too many people play them just looking for the end game of a big payout on longer odds.

                                                  There are situations where you're going to be able to ride it out and maybe hit something like that, but the majority of the time - your futures plays are for trading purposes. If you understand that, you can make money just like you can make a daily bet on a match IMO. You won't make a profit necessarily every tournament you try, but guess what - you don't make a profit necessarily playing single bets every day throughout a tourney either!

                                                  Futures IMO are still underutilized.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Punchy
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 04-16-13
                                                    • 289

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Marillion
                                                    i.e. Cornet to win Katowice at @13 was fat value imo)
                                                    She was $11 at the semi final stage alone

                                                    There are some decent ones with smaller fields like Katowice
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kenz
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-09-12
                                                      • 4879

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                      The only way you consistently lose money is if your player loses in their first match (terrible luck or bad capping maybe) or you're stubborn and don't trade out when the opportunity is there. Otherwise, there is no reason you can't make money. It's just an understanding on what you're getting into. Too many people play them just looking for the end game of a big payout on longer odds.

                                                      There are situations where you're going to be able to ride it out and maybe hit something like that, but the majority of the time - your futures plays are for trading purposes. If you understand that, you can make money just like you can make a daily bet on a match IMO. You won't make a profit necessarily every tournament you try, but guess what - you don't make a profit necessarily playing single bets every day throughout a tourney either!

                                                      Futures IMO are still underutilized.
                                                      Dont see how you make money from this post. Dont get how you guarantee to make money when your guy passes first but loses the second.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #28
                                                        We will just agree to disagree. To me, it is kind of like playing draws in soccer. You're going to lose more than 50%, but you hit for better odds so you don't have to win as much as laying -110 every day. If you don't have patience though, it's tough because you will have tournaments where your guy goes out early.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kenz
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-09-12
                                                          • 4879

                                                          #29
                                                          I think it is time to hedge it tomoz. Ferrer is way more solid this week
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bababooey13
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-13-13
                                                            • 1897

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by kenz
                                                            I think it is time to hedge it tomoz. Ferrer is way more solid this week
                                                            you think? he looked like shit against ramos.
                                                            ferrer is a horrible matchup for gulbis. ferrer's game is literally made for beating someone like gulbis.

                                                            kei hasn't lost a set for like 3 weeks
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kenz
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-09-12
                                                              • 4879

                                                              #31
                                                              But I dont like how he plays more
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bababooey13
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-13-13
                                                                • 1897

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by kenz
                                                                But I dont like how he plays more
                                                                r u drunk brother? you mean his style?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kenz
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-09-12
                                                                  • 4879

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Nishi too many ues dont you see it? Cant keep the ball in the field + misses overhead s?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kenz
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-09-12
                                                                    • 4879

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by bababooey13
                                                                    r u drunk brother? you mean his style?
                                                                    SOber
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bababooey13
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-13-13
                                                                      • 1897

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by kenz
                                                                      Nishi too many ues dont you see it? Cant keep the ball in the field + misses overhead s?
                                                                      ya ya true hes a bit off today. good thing lopez suck donkey dick.
                                                                      Comment
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